Daily Global-Macro Brief LIVE

Markets 51

  • US stock futures rise 1% to 1.4% on potential Iran deal
  • Nikkei 225 surges 5% to record intraday high
  • US crude down 5% to $80 per barrel
  • S&P 500 jumped roughly 1% at the open following the news
  • Nasdaq Composite rose more than 2% on the interim peace announcement
  • The market rally was driven by optimism over a U.S.-Iran interim agreement
  • Broad U.S. equity indices rallied, reflecting heightened geopolitical confidence
  • US and Iran agree to end war and reopen Strait of Hormuz, boosting stocks futures
  • Anthropic halts access to AI models due to US government restrictions
  • SpaceX shares surge 5% premarket after record-breaking IPO
  • Fox Corporation to acquire Roku in $25 billion deal
  • SpaceX's initial public offering values the company at $2.1 trillion, the largest ever recorded
  • Shares gained in premarket trading following the IPO announcement
  • The valuation surpasses previous record‑setting IPOs, highlighting strong investor demand
  • Dow Jones futures rise 1% to 51,750
  • S&P 500 futures gain 1.24% to 7,530
  • Nasdaq 100 futures advance 1.97% to 30,250
  • US Dollar Index loses 0.3% as risk-positive market atmosphere prevails
  • Crude Oil prices decline sharply, with WTI losing 5% near $79
  • EUR/USD gains 0.4% as ECB Governing Council member hints at rate hike
  • US stock-index futures rose 1.5%
  • WTI crude oil prices fell 3.5%
  • Brent crude oil prices fell 3.2%
  • Roku's stock surges to 4-year high
  • Deal valued at $22 billion
  • Fox to acquire Roku in an all-stock transaction
  • Tech sector surges 34% since US-Iran ceasefire on April 8
  • iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) jumps 71% in same period
  • Micron Technology, Marvell, and Arm Holdings more than double
  • JPMorgan projects the Mag-7 stocks to keep outperforming the broader market
  • Analysts warn that heavy weighting in these seven names raises concentration risk
  • Potential upside tied to ongoing AI demand and strong earnings momentum
  • Nvidia to raise at least $20 billion in bond sale
  • Bond sale aims to finance expansion and debt repayment
  • Move expected to impact Nvidia's credit profile and investor sentiment
  • Perpetual futures on Hyperliquid closely aligned with SpaceX stock prices
  • Over 7 million perps traded on Hyperliquid for $1.2 billion in volume
  • Hyperliquid's token up 150% this year
  • SpaceX up 5% as it prepares for its second day of trading
  • Energy stocks down 2.5-5% due to falling US oil prices
  • Airlines and cruise stocks up 2.5-5% due to lower fuel prices
  • Fox shares down 12% after acquiring Roku for $160 per share
  • Micron Technology up 7.5% after price target hike from TD Cowen
  • Oil and AI-related trades surged during conflict
  • Bonds, European equities, and precious metals fell
  • Lower Oil and bond yields with rising equities and precious metals is a fitting market reaction
  • Semiconductor stocks may decline due to reduced AI model demand
  • Software companies could benefit from increased adoption of AI models
  • Potential impact on tech sector valuations and earnings
  • AUD/USD up 0.35% to 0.7070 as risk appetite increases
  • US Dollar weakens, with DXY falling 0.3% to 99.50
  • Oil prices decline sharply, with WTI losing 5%
  • US and Iran reached an interim deal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The announcement pushed the US Dollar index lower, extending its recent losses.
  • Fed rate‑hike expectations have been trimmed; further USD weakness is possible if rates stay on hold.
  • Traders remain cautious ahead of the Wednesday FOMC meeting, limiting short‑position builds.
  • SpaceX shares rose ~6% in pre‑market, trading around $170 after debut.
  • IPO priced at $135, closed at $161, giving market cap above $2 trillion.
  • CFRA sets a $115 target (‑29% from close) while NewStreet targets $165.
  • Q1 capital expenditures jumped to $10.1 bn from $4.1 bn a year earlier, mainly for AI.
  • Zhipu shares rise 33% after Wall Street banks raise bets on the company's ability to capture global AI demand
  • JPMorgan maintains overweight rating and raises target price to HK$1,400
  • Bank of America initiates coverage with 'buy' ratings and sets targets of 1,250 HKD for Zhipu and 500 HKD for MiniMax
  • DXY fell to a 10‑day low of 99.30, trading in the lower 99.00s.
  • The decline follows news of a US‑Iran memorandum to end the 100‑day war.
  • Technical analysis shows DXY breaking its upward channel, with RSI below 40 and MACD in negative territory.
  • Near‑term support is around 99.15‑98.75, while resistance lies near 99.65‑100.00.
  • SpaceX has filed for an initial public offering, targeting a large-cap valuation.
  • Analysts warn the new listing could increase volatility in index funds tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
  • Potential inclusion of SpaceX may shift weightings in major US equity indices and affect passive fund performance.
  • Citizens raises Mirum Pharmaceuticals' (MIRM) stock price target to $5.50 from $4.50
  • The target increase is due to the company's recent deal with a pharmaceutical distributor
  • MIRM stock price has risen 12% in the past month
  • Barclays published its top picks for European energy services equities
  • The list features five companies, including Saipem and Technip Energies
  • Analysts cite rising demand for energy transition services as a catalyst
  • The recommendation could boost sector exposure amid broader market shifts
  • Inflation and employment figures remain elevated, obscuring weaker economic trends
  • Citrini views the hidden slowdown as favorable for equity valuations
  • Strategists anticipate a rally in U.S. stock indices if the outlook holds
  • Cantor Fitzgerald reiterates Overweight rating on Strategy stock
  • Rating reaffirmed following the company's purchase of Bitcoin
  • Analysts signal a bullish outlook for the stock
  • GBP gains as markets price in potential US‑Iran agreement
  • FX traders view the deal as easing geopolitical risk for the pound
  • Pound strengthens against the dollar and other major currencies
  • Salesforce announced purchase of AI agent platform Fin for approximately $3.6 billion
  • Deal is a cash transaction valued at about $3.6 billion
  • Fin's AI agents will be integrated into Salesforce's CRM offerings
  • Closing expected in Q4 2026, subject to regulatory approval
  • Fiserv stock fell approximately 7% after the announcement of CEO Mike Lyons stepping down.
  • The leadership change was disclosed without details on a successor or transition timeline.
  • The decline reflects a bearish reaction from investors to the unexpected executive departure.
  • American Express stock up 2.5% after $700M TheFork acquisition
  • TheFork acquisition expands Amex's food delivery and restaurant booking services
  • Deal valued at $700 million
  • Morgan Stanley upgrades Ferrari to overweight from equal weight
  • TD Cowen raises Micron price target to $1,500 ahead of earnings
  • Citi downgrades Old Dominion to sell from neutral and C.H. Robinson to neutral from buy
  • Doncasters is seeking a $4.4 billion valuation in its upcoming US initial public offering.
  • The aerospace parts manufacturer will list on a US exchange, increasing sector exposure for investors.
  • Analysts consider the valuation in line with peers, suggesting modest impact on overall US equity market volume.
  • Morgan Stanley upgrades Ferrari to overweight from equal-weight
  • Price target lifted to $438 from $388, implying ~23% upside from Friday's close
  • Ferrari shares have fallen 23% over the past year and dropped 5.6% after Luce EV debut
  • Analyst consensus: 11 of 13 analysts rate Ferrari as buy or strong buy
  • USD/CAD has been consolidating sideways with no clear directional catalyst.
  • NBC forecasts the pair to stay within a broad range, upside limited by resistance near recent highs and downside supported by demand on dips.
  • A breakout would need a material shift in Fed or BoC rate expectations or a significant oil price move, which appear unlikely now.
  • AUD/USD holds gains near 0.7090, buoyed by risk appetite and lower Oil prices.
  • Pair breaks above trendline resistance, hinting at a deeper bullish correction.
  • Technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum, with RSI in upper mid-range and MACD in positive territory.
  • Kura Oncology reports strong trial results, boosting its clinical outlook.
  • Citizens maintains its existing rating on KURA shares following the data release.
  • Analysts see potential upside for the stock as the trial outcomes exceed expectations.
  • War-driven fuel price spikes raise operating costs for RV owners
  • Rising gasoline prices curb consumer demand for RV travel
  • Industry forecasts predict slower sales growth in upcoming quarters
  • Berenberg lowered Telia's rating to "sell" citing high valuation
  • The downgrade comes ahead of the company's Q2 earnings release
  • Telia shares slipped following the rating cut
  • Duro Felguera shares rose sharply during trading
  • The surge follows recent positive developments for the company
  • Analysts note potential upside if momentum continues
  • Hedge funds added $1.3 billion to global equities
  • Tech stocks saw $1.2 billion in net selling
  • Global stocks have seen four consecutive weeks of buying
  • Court approval of restructuring plan triggers a sharp surge in Duro Felguera stock
  • Investors view the plan as a positive step toward financial stability for the company
  • The move highlights potential recovery prospects for the engineering firm
  • EUR/USD trading between 1.1569 and 1.1622 overnight
  • Euro bid above 1.16 handle on US–Iran MoU and lower Oil prices
  • Support at 1.1555, resistance at 1.1700
  • EUR/GBP bulls push toward one-week highs in the 0.8645 area
  • Improved market sentiment driven by US-Iran peace deal and hawkish ECB comments
  • Technical picture shows signs of bottoming at 0.8620
  • USD/CAD loses ground to near 1.3975 amid overbought conditions
  • First upside barrier at 1.4025, initial downside target at 1.3931
  • US and Iran announce peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
  • NZD/USD rallies to 10-day highs past 0.5850
  • Bullish Head & Shoulders pattern forms on technical charts
  • Renewed risk appetite driven by US-Iran peace agreement
  • Cantor Fitzgerald maintains Rocket Lab's (RKLB) stock rating
  • Index inclusion drives rating decision
  • Rating reiteration with no change
  • Satellogic stock price declined following CFO departure news
  • Cantor Fitzgerald maintains Overweight rating on the stock
  • No change in earnings estimates or price target
  • Adjusted EPS topped forecasts by $0.08 per share
  • Quarterly revenue missed consensus, falling short of analysts' expectations
  • Earnings beat was offset by revenue miss, resulting in a mixed market reaction
  • Truist lifts Datadog (DDOG) rating from Hold to Buy
  • Bank highlights ongoing upside momentum for the shares
  • Upgrade may support further price appreciation in the near term
  • Commerzbank chief publicly said he was taken aback by statements from UniCredit
  • The nature of UniCredit's claims was not detailed in the report
  • No immediate impact on share prices or market sentiment was observed
  • UK regulator delays flu vaccine trial for Traws Pharma
  • Stock tumbles sharply on the news
  • Analysts point to regulatory risk as a downside factor
  • USD/CHF slipped ~0.5% to around 0.7930, testing the 0.7950 nine‑day EMA barrier.
  • Primary support at the ascending channel bottom near 0.7920; 50‑day EMA at 0.7881.
  • 14‑day RSI around 54‑60 signals modest positive momentum, sustaining a short‑term bullish bias.

Macro/Economy 11

  • Indian Rupee (INR) rises against US Dollar (USD) to near 94.60
  • Oil prices plummet on US-Iran deal finalization, with MCX Crude Oil down 5.5% to 7,630
  • US-Iran deal expected to boost appeal of currencies from oil-importing economies
  • 90% of global businesses expect to electrify operations by 2035
  • Geopolitical instability drives demand for renewable energy
  • Survey of 1,994 business leaders across 18 markets
  • 10-year Treasury yield falls 2.1 bps to 4.459%
  • 2-year Treasury yield drops 3.1 bps to 4.054%
  • Oil prices tumble 5% on Strait of Hormuz reopening
  • USD/CAD holds above 1.3950, with seven-month highs at 1.4020 on sight.
  • Lower Oil prices weigh on the Canadian Dollar, offsetting risk appetite.
  • Market volatility remains subdued ahead of the Federal Reserve decision.
  • Higher oil prices, China's export surge, and US AI investment drive a hawkish shift at central banks.
  • Supernormal profits and manageable funding costs support risk assets through 2026.
  • Spikier inflation and hawkish central bank thinking complicate the macro landscape.
  • India's WPI Inflation rises to 9.68% YoY in May, higher than 9.1% estimates
  • Faster-than-expected growth in inflationary pressures boosts expectations for interest rate hikes by RBI
  • USD/INR trades 0.54% lower at 94.59, the lowest level seen in two weeks
  • Unemployment among U.S. military spouses exceeds 20% according to a 2024 DoD report.
  • Over 920,000 active‑duty spouses face relocations every 2.5 years on average, limiting job opportunities.
  • Proposed SBA legislation would waive loan fees up to $1 million and reduce down‑payment requirements by at least 5% for military‑spouse entrepreneurs.
  • Only about 2,800 members of the Association for Military Spouse Entrepreneurs earn under $10,000 annually.
  • Cece Meadows grew Prados Beauty to 600 JCPenney stores and achieved profitability from day one despite 50 funding rejections.
  • India's solar capacity to surge 22% annually by 2035
  • Total power demand to rise 6% every year over next decade
  • Solar growth to outpace overall power demand
  • Eurozone industrial production rises 0.1% in April, missing 0.3% estimates
  • Annualized industrial output rises 0.3% after 2.8% decline in March
  • EUR/USD up 0.35% to near 1.1610 due to cheerful market sentiment
  • Warren cites SSA trustees report projecting trust fund depletion by late 2032, with only 78% of benefits payable without action
  • Raising the retirement age by two years could cut median retirees' monthly benefits by $345‑$741 (17‑35%)
  • Current full retirement age is 67 for those born 1960+, and experts say an increase would not fix short‑term funding gaps
  • USD/IDR falls 2.5% as US-Iran peace deal weakens US Dollar
  • Bank Indonesia expected to maintain hawkish tightening bias in June
  • Rupiah gains as traders wager on BI's rate hike stance

Central Banks 17

  • USD/JPY trading near 160, with dips bought despite lower Oil and expectations of a 25 bp BoJ hike
  • Speculative short Japanese Yen positioning at multi-year highs
  • Focus on what might narrow 2-year UST/JGB spreads and ease intervention pressure
  • USD/JPY above 160.00 ahead of BoJ meeting
  • Record short Yen positions, up 4x since late February
  • Expecting a fully priced 25 bps BoJ hike
  • ECB Governing Council member Peter Kazimir says further rate hikes are needed, favouring front‑loading.
  • He warns core inflation will stay above the 2% target even with the US‑Iran peace framework.
  • Energy‑price shock remains a risk, requiring the ECB to stay vigilant and ready to tighten.
  • Euro rose 0.37% to around 1.1610 against the dollar following his comments.
  • ECB’s Joachim Nagel states Strait of Hormuz normalization could take months, prolonging oil supply disruptions
  • ECB remains data-dependent for July meeting, with second-round inflation effects still a concern
  • EUR/USD rises 0.35% to 1.1605 as markets digest Nagel’s remarks amid risk-on sentiment
  • USD/JPY pair depreciates as US Dollar weakens due to eased inflation fears
  • CME FedWatch tool shows 47% probability of December Fed rate hold
  • Japanese Yen's upside remains capped by wide US-Japan interest rate differential
  • All 35 economists polled by Reuters expect SNB to keep policy rate at 0% this week
  • 28 economists forecast 0% interest rates for the rest of 2026
  • Four economists predict one or two quarter-point rate rises in 2027
  • Riksbank expected to keep policy rate at 1.75% for sixth consecutive meeting
  • Extended Riksbank hold signals headwind for Swedish Krona
  • First full 25bps hike potentially brought forward to late 2027
  • BoE expected to hold at 3.75% with a 7-2 vote
  • GBP/USD forecast to fall to 1.3100 due to stronger US growth outlook
  • UK political risks, including Makerfield by-election, may amplify Pound decline
  • BoE rate hike expectations pushed back to November
  • Lower energy prices may question need for rate hike
  • Labour by-election outcome to impact UK politics and Pound
  • DXY pressured by energy price drop and risk asset rally
  • Fed meeting expected to cap DXY losses near 99.00/99.15
  • Central banks to address inflationary mess at short end of yield curves
  • GBP/USD hits 10-day high at 1.3460
  • US Dollar drops on reports of US-Iran peace deal
  • Fed and BoE decisions to influence Pound's direction
  • ECB to launch Pontes project in 2026 for tokenised transactions settled in central bank money
  • Digital euro proposed to ensure EU retains public money access amid cash decline and foreign-dominated card networks
  • Cross-border payment links via TIPS to India’s UPI and ASEAN systems to reduce costs and speed transfers
  • RBA expected to pause at 4.35% after three consecutive hikes
  • 60% odds of one final 25bps hike by year end, but BBH fades this risk
  • AUD/USD may undershoot 0.7000 in the near term based on Australia-US 2-year yield spreads
  • USD may edge higher near term due to resilient US economic activity
  • Hawkish Fed stance expected to support USD
  • FOMC dot plot to shift from 25bps cut to 25bps hike
  • Rabobank maintains mildly constructive EUR/USD profile over coming months
  • Strong technical resistance expected at 1.1673/77 area
  • EUR/USD forecast to reach 1.17/1.18 area on 6-9 month horizon
  • HSBC assesses low probability of surprise Fed policy changes at the upcoming FOMC meeting
  • The bank maintains a positive outlook on equities, recommending investors add stock exposure
  • HSBC expects continued market stability, supporting its buy recommendation for equities
  • ECB and Eurosystem portfolios' emissions fell 13% in 2025, driven by portfolio run-off
  • Green bond share in ECB own funds rose to 33% (€7.6bn) in 2025, target 35% for 2026
  • First-time inflation-adjusted emissions metrics introduced to reflect real decarbonisation
  • Portfolios remain on track for Paris Agreement-aligned emissions reduction targets

Energy/Oil 7

  • Brent crude down 3.95% to $83.88/bbl, WTI down 4.62% to $80.96/bbl
  • Deal aims to reopen the Strait of Hormuz after more than 100 days of closure
  • Prices had peaked in mid‑May and have been trending lower on deal rumors
  • U.S. President Trump announced the agreement on Sunday night
  • Brent crude fell back to around $80 per barrel, down from recent highs.
  • Optimism is driven by expected normalization of Strait of Hormuz flows after the US‑Iran deal.
  • Analysts say prices are unlikely to drop below $70 per barrel due to depleted inventories and a persistent geopolitical risk premium.
  • China may increase crude purchases after months of low demand
  • Reopening of Strait of Hormuz could ease oil supply concerns
  • Potential inflationary pressures despite eased oil flows
  • Brent fell to $82.7/b, down 35% from April peak but still above pre‑war levels.
  • SG identifies technical support zones at $82‑$81, $78 and $75, with the 200‑DMA near $78.
  • SG assigns a 35% probability of Strait of Hormuz reopening by end‑June and projects Brent at $80/b by end‑2026.
  • WTI crude falls 5% to $78.60, a three-month low
  • US-Iran deal eases supply concerns, lifting blockades and sanctions
  • WTI price may take weeks or months to recover to pre-crisis levels
  • OPEC+ to raise output by 2.2 mb/d starting October, reversing prior cuts
  • Saudi Arabia and Russia to lead production increases with 1.0 mb/d and 0.5 mb/d respectively
  • Decision aims to stabilize markets amid demand concerns and high inventory levels
  • Fair Work Commission rejected Inpex's bid to suspend the Ichthys LNG strike
  • The 9.2‑million‑ton per year Ichthys facility faces continued labor disruption
  • Production and export volumes could be reduced until a settlement is reached

Gold/Metals 9

  • Gold price has not yet reached the 2008 cycle top
  • Current price is still 15% below the 2008 peak
  • Historical data suggests a potential 20% rally from current levels
  • Gold (XAU/USD) up more than 2.5% to around $4,344, its highest since early March
  • WTI crude fell to about $79 per barrel, its lowest in nearly three months
  • US‑Iran framework agreement eases geopolitical risk, reducing inflation worries and rate‑hike expectations
  • XAU/USD remains below its 20‑day SMA (~$4,414) with RSI near 44, suggesting limited upside
  • Silver (XAG/USD) rose 3.94% to about $70.70, its highest level in several days
  • US Dollar Index slipped roughly 0.25% to around 99.55 after the US‑Iran agreement
  • The US‑Iran framework aims to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, boosting risk appetite
  • Markets await the Federal Reserve's policy decision later this week
  • Gold dropped 26% from peak to trough in recent correction
  • Central-bank buying of gold has paused, reducing demand support
  • A stronger U.S. dollar and higher real interest rates pressured gold prices
  • Barclays sees potential rebound and recommends select stocks
  • Gold up 2.86% to about $4,340, its highest level in a week
  • US‑Iran framework agreement lifts equity futures (up 1‑2%) and pushes crude oil lower
  • Dollar Index fell roughly 0.3% to near 99.5, bolstering gold demand
  • Fed meeting later this week keeps focus on monetary policy, but gold gains despite lingering geopolitical risks
  • Silver's Square of 9 technical model indicates a breakout above $70.90
  • Target levels align with historical resistance zones
  • Breakout could signal further upside toward $75-$80
  • Gold futures up ~1.2% to $2,350/oz as PMI data points to accelerating recovery
  • US Composite PMI at 54.8 (May), highest since April 2023, boosts risk appetite
  • Investors rotate into gold amid expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts
  • Gold price stalled after recent gains, indicating weakening momentum
  • Technical indicators point to a potential deeper correction
  • Analysts warn further downside could test recent support levels

Geopolitics 17

  • US and Iran strike preliminary deal to extend ceasefire for 60 days
  • Framework set up for future negotiations on Tehran's nuclear program
  • Iran to be rewarded with loosened sanctions if it abides by deal commitments
  • US and Iran agree to end Middle East war with immediate and permanent ceasefire
  • European nations signal readiness to lift sanctions on Iran in exchange for nuclear program curbs
  • Strait of Hormuz to reopen within 30 days, with free and safe navigation ensured
  • US and Iran agree to end military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon
  • Strait of Hormuz to open on Friday, lifting naval blockade against Iran
  • Deal includes measures to ensure freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz
  • US VP Vance expects Strait of Hormuz to be open toll-free in the long term
  • Two-step verification process planned for the Strait
  • Details still to be sorted out, Tehran's concessions to be determined
  • Kalshi market odds place a 58% probability that Strait of Hormuz traffic will normalize before August.
  • Broader market odds estimate a 75% chance the strait will be back to normal by year‑end.
  • US President Trump announced a US‑Iran agreement to lift the naval blockade, with a signing slated for Friday.
  • US Vice President Vance said traffic has already increased in the past 24 hours.
  • Iran's Baghaei: Respecting Lebanon's sovereignty part of US agreement
  • US to commit to unfreezing Iranian funds, but no direct payment
  • Tehran to ensure safe Strait of Hormuz passage with Oman and others
  • Iran's oil production is unlikely to rise significantly in the near term
  • US sanctions on Iran's energy sector remain in place for now
  • Oil prices may stabilize, but a sustained rally is uncertain
  • UK to ban social media services for users under 16
  • Regulations to take effect as early as spring 2027
  • Additional restrictions on features deemed harmful to children
  • Japanese shipping companies hold back on resuming operations despite Hormuz deal
  • Several hundred tankers and cargo ships stuck since March
  • Waiting for formalization of agreement set to be signed on Friday
  • SoftBank surged 10% as Iran-U.S. peace deal boosts risk appetite in Asian tech
  • Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix gained 4.5% and 6.4% respectively, lifting Kospi tech sector
  • Deal to end Middle East conflict expected to be signed June 19, easing geopolitical oil risks
  • Trump warns France to scrap 3% tech 'sales tax' or face 100% tariffs on US wine imports
  • French wine exports to US fell 15.9% in value to 1.9 billion euros in 2025
  • US wine imports make up about 1/5 of French wine industry's total global sales
  • Israel's National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir stated that the US-Iran deal does not bind Israel.
  • Ben Gvir emphasized that Israel is an independent and sovereign country, not subordinate to the US.
  • The WTI oil price is down 4.42% at $79.25 due to market reaction
  • A LNG tanker is en route to the Strait of Hormuz following a Trump‑Iran preliminary agreement.
  • The agreement to reopen the Hormuz chokepoint is set for signing on Friday, with a 60‑day cease‑fire period.
  • Iran secured commitments to end the Lebanon war and unfreeze U.S.-held oil funds as part of the deal.
  • Italy, Japan and the United Kingdom say the collaborative fighter jet development is on track
  • The program aims to deliver a next‑generation aircraft for the three partner nations
  • Progress underscores deepening defence cooperation among the participating countries
  • A US‑Iran diplomatic agreement has led to a noticeable de‑escalation of fighting in Lebanon.
  • UN agencies report hundreds of thousands displaced, but humanitarian groups warn residents not to return prematurely.
  • The cease‑fire remains fragile, with both sides urging caution to avoid a resurgence of violence.
  • Middle East war resolution may trigger global economic recovery but energy prices unlikely to return to pre-war levels
  • Thailand plans 200B baht loan to reduce oil dependency via renewable energy adoption
  • Oil prices expected to remain elevated for years due to damaged production/storage facilities
  • Qatar to hold separate meetings with US and Iran officials in Doha before deal signing on Friday
  • No immediate reaction seen in US Dollar (USD) following US-Iran deal-related headlines
  • US Dollar Index (DXY) trades 0.3% lower to near 99.50

Companies 11

  • Salesforce announced a $3.6 billion acquisition of AI service platform Fin.
  • Deal expected to close in Q4 of fiscal 2027 and will expand the Agentforce suite.
  • Fin’s AI agent handles chat, email, WhatsApp, text, phone and Slack interactions.
  • Salesforce shares have fallen over 33% in 2026 amid AI competition concerns.
  • The purchase follows Salesforce’s history of multibillion‑dollar deals, including a $27 billion Slack acquisition.
  • Fiserv CEO resigns after 71% stock drop in short tenure
  • Stock continues to fall, down further
  • Analyst describes company as 'strategically adrift'
  • United Bankshares stock price reaches 52-week high at 45.93 USD
  • Stock price up 1.45% on the day
  • 52-week high marks a 12.5% increase from the stock's 52-week low
  • Exxon Mobil stock fell on the day, extending recent losses
  • Drop aligns with falling oil prices and weaker demand outlook
  • Analysts cite concerns over upcoming earnings and dividend sustainability
  • SPCX index rebalancing is expected to lift the weight of semiconductor stocks
  • Analysts point to a specific chip company as the primary winner of the pull effect
  • The stock could see price appreciation if its index weighting rises
  • Nuvei announced acquisition of Payoneer for $2.75 billion.
  • Deal represents roughly a 20% premium to Payoneer’s last closing price.
  • Transaction aims to boost Nuvei’s cross‑border payment volume to over $1 trillion annually.
  • Closing expected in Q4 2024, pending regulatory approvals.
  • KeyBanc upgrades Firefly Aerospace and Rocket Lab to overweight
  • Price targets set at $50 for Firefly (57% upside) and $135 for Rocket Lab (32% increase)
  • Analyst cites accelerating NASA activity and rising institutional interest in aerospace businesses
  • Umb Financial Corp stock closed at $136.48, its highest price on record
  • The surge reflects bullish investor sentiment toward the company
  • The record level may lift confidence in the financial services sector
  • Valens Semiconductor submitted a Form 144 filing on June 15
  • Form 144 indicates insiders plan to sell restricted shares
  • Filing complies with SEC Rule 144 disclosure requirements
  • Lindblad Expeditions Holdings stock (LIND) reached an all-time high of 24.3 USD
  • The stock has gained 15% in the past month
  • The company's recent earnings report was seen as positive
  • Verra Mobility secured a contract to supply speed‑camera equipment to the city of Los Angeles.
  • The announcement sent the company's stock higher in intraday trading.
  • Analysts view the deal as a boost to Verra's revenue pipeline, though contract size was not disclosed.

Thai Markets 3

  • CKPower (SET: CKP) Q1/2026 net profit rose 82.9% YoY to THB 115.9m driven by hydroelectric plants
  • Xayaburi Power (XPCL) profit surged 190.7% YoY to THB 198.6m on higher water inflow and lower financing costs
  • Liquidity ratio at 1.78x and debt-to-equity at 0.47x underscore strong financial resilience
  • Thailand should focus on developing world-class AI 'super talents' to drive a new economic S-curve
  • Importing top-tier innovators from the region and leveraging unique datasets can help the country compete globally
  • Establishing supportive sandboxes and incubation spaces can open markets for deep-tech startups
  • 7 co-located exhibitions in Bangkok (17–20 Jun 2026) featuring 2,000+ brands from 30 countries
  • Strong focus on automation, plastics, electronics, and sustainable manufacturing solutions
  • 91% exhibitor growth in PCB technologies; energy-efficient machinery showcased

Other 17

  • KFC to expand boneless chicken options and improve tender recipe
  • New sauces and 'Dunked' menu line to appeal to consumers
  • Restaurant redesigns and new store formats to enhance customer experience
  • American Express agreed to purchase TheFork, TripAdvisor's restaurant reservation service, for $700 million.
  • The acquisition expands Amex's merchant network and strengthens its dining rewards ecosystem.
  • Deal expected to close in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approval.
  • ASX agrees to $14.5 million penalty for misleading investors
  • CHESS software upgrade issues led to the penalty
  • ASX takes responsibility for the misleading statements
  • US nuclear reactors face a growing fuel supply gap as existing uranium inventories dwindle
  • Highly radioactive plutonium, while abundant, is deemed too dangerous for rapid deployment as a fuel substitute
  • Experts warn that short‑term fixes are unlikely, urging investment in long‑term fuel recycling and new reactor designs
  • Reverse mortgage scams target people aged 62 or older, with 201,266 complaints and $7.7 billion in total losses in 2025.
  • Common types of reverse mortgage scams include unscrupulous salespeople, foreclosure 'saviors', and nickel-and-dimers.
  • To avoid scams, seek HUD-certified counseling, get quotes from multiple lenders, and don't give sensitive information to unsolicited callers.
  • Second public consultation on Series H banknote wildlife imagery scheduled for June-July 2026
  • Shortlist includes beaver and hare, with final selection to balance recognition and UK representation
  • Governor to make final decision after public input and expert recommendations
  • Panel selects wildlife for UK banknotes based on security, usability, and cultural representation
  • Public consultation received over 44,000 responses, with nature and wildlife being a top theme
  • Panel to shape shortlist of animals for public vote in summer, considering conservation status and recognisability
  • El Al Airlines signs deal with Starlink for high-speed internet on flights
  • Deal aims to enhance passenger experience and improve connectivity
  • No financial details disclosed regarding the partnership
  • Individual is 67, earns $100,000 and holds $950,000 across retirement plans, Roth IRAs and Treasuries.
  • Social Security benefit would be $30,000 annually if claimed immediately.
  • Decision depends on break‑even age, life expectancy and inflation‑adjusted benefit growth.
  • Delaying benefits typically raises payments by about 8% per year, increasing future income.
  • No direct impact on broader markets or asset prices.
  • Shawn Fain announced his bid for a second term as UAW president
  • Fain cites recent strike victories as a key achievement
  • Election will be decided by union members in upcoming vote
  • Ouster and Benchmark expand their collaboration to scale up manufacturing of Rev8 lidar sensors.
  • The partnership aims to boost production capacity to meet rising demand for high‑resolution sensing solutions.
  • Benchmark will leverage its advanced manufacturing facilities to accelerate Rev8 sensor roll‑out.
  • The move is expected to strengthen Ouster's position in the autonomous‑vehicle and robotics markets.
  • Halozyme expects minimal impact from Medicare's drug pricing rule
  • Company's products are not subject to the rule's price controls
  • Halozyme's stock price remains unaffected by the news
  • Ideaya Therapeutics starts a clinical trial of its IDE892 combo therapy.
  • The study will assess safety and efficacy in patients with lung cancer.
  • The same trial will also enroll patients with pancreatic cancer.
  • WeRide's autonomous driving system secured first place in a national intelligent driving contest
  • The competition showcased advanced AI and sensor integration for self-driving vehicles
  • Victory underscores China's rapid progress in autonomous vehicle technology
  • Musk forecasts SpaceX revenue at over $1 trillion
  • Projection is more than double the level bankers expected
  • Analysts note Musk's track record of missing ambitious targets
  • Launch 3 Telecom has secured a new facility in Lakeland.
  • The site will be used to expand the company's telecom infrastructure.
  • The acquisition aligns with Launch 3 Telecom's growth strategy.
  • Social Security gave inconsistent answers about the former spouse's record.
  • The individual was married for 23 years before divorcing due to repeated infidelity.
  • Seeking guidance on how to address the conflicting Social Security information.