◆ Daily Global-Macro Brief LIVE
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Risk-off sentiment dominates as Japan's economic concerns weigh on markets, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid US-China AI tensions.

  1. Global Clean Energy Investment Surpasses Fossil Fuels
  2. Israel resumes strikes on southern Lebanon, testing newly‑signed peace agreement
  3. Oil prices rise as US and Iran exchange airstrikes, stock futures edge higher · 5 sources
  4. Sovereign investors managing $29 trn shift toward energy assets, cite dollar concerns · 2 sources
  5. Putin says Russia facing fuel shortages after Ukrainian strikes on infrastructure · 2 sources

Markets 4

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  • Dow Jones futures up 124 points (+0.2%)
  • S&P 500 futures up 0.4% and Nasdaq-100 futures up 0.5%
  • Brent crude rose 0.8% to $72.57/bbl; WTI up 1.1% to $70/bbl
  • Tech-heavy indices remain weak, with the S&P down 3% month and Nasdaq down over 6%
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  • Foreign investors are increasing their holdings of U.S. equities and bonds
  • The U.S. dollar remains the dominant global reserve currency
  • Recent inflows challenge the earlier 'sell America' narrative
  • Onshore IPO activity in China shows a rebound after a year of decline
  • Artificial intelligence and semiconductor companies account for the bulk of new listings
  • Regulatory reforms and supportive policies are encouraging domestic tech IPOs
  • FAW Jiefang and Foton are rolling out more electric heavy‑duty trucks.
  • Government subsidies are cutting ownership costs and encouraging domestic uptake.
  • Export demand is growing, with Southeast Asia and Africa earmarked as key growth regions.

Macro/Economy 21

  • Inflation is rising again, with supply disruptions risking entrenched expectations
  • AI-driven investment surge is seen as a potential over‑investment bubble, raising job‑security concerns
  • Record‑high public debt and sovereign bond exposure to leveraged hedge funds create a new fiscal‑financial stability nexus
  • Core bond markets show fragility due to elevated valuations and reliance on non‑bank financing
  • Philippines records the fastest per‑capita growth in solar capacity worldwide
  • Sharp increase in electricity tariffs is spurring demand for solar installations
  • Government incentives and net‑metering schemes are accelerating the solar rollout
  • CBI confidence index for business growth fell to its lowest point in 2024
  • Only about a third of companies expect revenue growth, down from the previous quarter
  • Pessimism rises amid cost pressures and weak consumer demand
  • Negotiations on the state‑enterprise chapter were concluded in the 9th round on June 25 in Brussels.
  • Enterprises with annual commercial revenue under US$200 million are exempt, and governments may support SOEs in crises.
  • Q1 2026 bilateral trade rose 13.6% YoY to $12.2 billion, with the EU as Thailand's fourth‑largest trading partner.
  • The chapter paves the way for lower or zero tariffs, expected to boost Thai exports of agriculture, food, automobiles and parts.
  • Both sides aim to complete the full FTA by year‑end, bringing completed chapters to 11 of 24.
  • Bangkok Metropolitan Administration controls a 92.7 billion baht budget for city projects.
  • The capital houses 8.2‑11 million residents and saw 30.3 million foreign arrivals last year.
  • Governor urged to set up welcome centres, tighten flood and traffic controls, and enforce land‑tax policies to spur growth.
  • Around 5,000 micro‑SMEs (revenues under 30 million baht) require stronger BMA backing amid a sluggish economy.
  • USDA reports whey protein inventories down roughly 50% since 2023
  • Whey protein isolate prices have risen to about $14 per pound
  • 70% of Americans now aim to increase protein intake, spurred by GLP‑1 drugs and fitness trends
  • Dairy processing capacity is constrained; plant upgrades cost $15‑$150 million
  • Analysts expect the price spike to moderate as new capacity comes online
  • Study reveals a large proportion of Hong Kong seniors living below the poverty line
  • Demographic trends project a sharp rise in elderly poverty over the next decades
  • Proposed pension reforms could lessen the impact but will require years to take effect
  • Nations plan to expand nuclear generation capacity substantially over the next few decades
  • Sanctions on Russian energy products are driving a shift toward alternative uranium fuel sources
  • New fuel technologies are seen as key to diversifying energy mixes and enhancing long-term security
  • Government sets target of 60% renewable electricity in the power mix by 2040.
  • Private sector investment in solar and wind projects is accelerating under supportive policies.
  • Egypt's geography—vast deserts, high solar irradiance and strong wind corridors—offers strong renewable potential.
  • Current electricity generation remains heavily fossil‑fuel based, making the transition a long‑term effort.
  • 58% of surveyed Americans say owning a home is needed to achieve the American Dream.
  • Renting now costs less than buying in every major U.S. metro, according to a January LendingTree analysis.
  • Higher‑income households have driven rental demand over the past 5‑10 years, boosting premium‑amenity rentals.
  • Mortgage payments average $2,200 versus $2,900 rent for a typical two‑bedroom townhouse (Boston example).
  • Slower home‑value appreciation makes equity buildup longer than in previous decades.
  • IRA assets reached $19.2 trillion at end‑2025, versus $10.1 trillion in 401(k) plans
  • In 2023, rollovers added $682 billion to IRAs while direct contributions were only $89 billion
  • About 6 million people rolled money into IRAs in 2023, up from ~4 million in early 2000s
  • Forecasts project IRA rollovers to hit $941 billion in 2026 and $1.3 trillion in 2031
  • More than 11,000 Americans turn 65 each day, fueling retirement‑age rollover activity
  • European Council introduced the term "global macroeconomic imbalances" to describe the EU's trade deficit and dependency issues.
  • EU leaders debated prioritising new weapons procurement before fully diagnosing the underlying economic problems.
  • Commission President Ursula von der Leyen was assigned to address these imbalances, signalling a shift toward structural reforms.
  • USTR proposes 12.5% tariffs on Thailand, Vietnam and the Philippines for lacking forced‑labour import bans.
  • Malaysia and Cambodia face 10% tariffs, reflecting commitments to introduce such systems within two years.
  • The investigation is seen as a lever to enforce U.S. trade conditions rather than a pure human‑rights probe.
  • ASEAN is urged to coordinate customs, certification and non‑tariff reforms to advance a single market.
  • Bain forecasts US new vehicle sales could fall by >2 million units to around 14 million by 2040
  • Birth rate at 1.6 per woman and halved immigration are expected to curb population growth, limiting auto demand
  • Monthly car payments are up 30%, with 1 in 5 new vehicles costing >$1,000 per month, pressuring affordability
  • Registrations for ages 18‑34 fell below 10% in mid‑2025, while buyers 55+ hold nearly 50% of new registrations
  • Vehicle longevity hit a record 12.8 years in 2025, lowering deregistration rates to an estimated 4.4% by 2040
  • China eliminated import tariffs for 53 African nations, opening its market to African goods
  • UN forecasts Africa's GDP to grow 4% in 2026, underscoring the continent's growth outlook
  • African exporters, such as Kenyan avocado producers, anticipate higher margins from Chinese demand
  • The tariff removal is expected to reshape trade flows and deepen China-Africa economic ties
  • Finance Secretary Paul Chan says Hong Kong can add value to Beijing's "China Opportunity 2.0" narrative
  • Hong Kong positioned as a bridge and catalyst for global expansion of mainland Chinese enterprises
  • Northern Metropolis megaproject highlighted as a hub for commercialising research and deepening tech collaboration
  • Chinese tourists now constitute a sizable share of Malaysia's arrivals, largely funneled through the RedNote app
  • RedNote-driven bookings have accelerated the post‑COVID tourism rebound, lifting hotel occupancy rates
  • Heavy reliance on a single foreign platform creates volatility risk if user engagement shifts
  • Appraisal gap to be reduced from 30-40% to 20-25% below market prices
  • New appraisal rates effective Jan 1 2027 through Dec 31 2030; current rates hold through 2026
  • Higher loan values for borrowers, but increased land tax and transfer fees for owners
  • Surat Thani land prices rose 117% over the 2023-26 measurement period
  • Vacant land rights transfers fell to 115,000 plots in Q1, down from 123,000 YoY
  • Social Security benefits are exempt from state income tax in many states.
  • Deferring benefits can increase the eventual monthly payout.
  • High earners weigh tax-free state treatment against the value of earlier payments.
  • Public health agency estimates 1,000 excess deaths in France during the heatwave.
  • The majority of fatalities involve older individuals, with additional deaths in care homes pending.
  • Authorities caution the death count may increase as more information is gathered.
  • Design‑savvy Singapore travelers are flying to China specifically for home furnishings
  • Trips focus on sourcing custom sofas, cabinets and other furniture rather than leisure activities
  • Travelers bring detailed plans, Pinterest boards and precise measurements to guide purchases

Central Banks 1

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  • Japan's top banks and JBIC have begun financing the first tranche of projects from the US‑Japan tariff deal.
  • Private sector firms are requesting government and BOJ assistance to secure more US dollars for subsequent investment rounds.
  • Officials warn that obtaining additional foreign‑exchange without market disruption will be challenging.

Energy/Oil 7

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  • Global clean energy investment reached $1.4 trillion in 2025, surpassing fossil fuel investment for the first time
  • Renewable energy accounted for 83% of global power generation capacity additions in 2025
  • IEA expects clean energy to become the dominant source of global power generation by 2030
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  • Oil prices climb amid renewed US‑Iran airstrikes in the Persian Gulf
  • Fears of a Strait of Hormuz closure lift risk premium on crude
  • US stock‑index futures tick higher despite geopolitical tension
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  • Sovereign wealth funds hold roughly $29 trillion in assets worldwide.
  • Funds are increasing allocations to energy, especially oil and gas exposures.
  • The reallocation is driven by worries about a weakening U.S. dollar.
  • Higher sovereign demand could support crude prices and benefit oil producers.
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  • Talks to end the US‑Iran war are on hold after US jets struck 10 Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Oil prices dropped: Brent fell 4.34% to $71.99/barrel and WTI fell 3.74% to $69.23/barrel.
  • The M/T Kiku tanker was carrying over 2 million barrels of crude when hit, but vessel transits continue.
  • Iran retaliated by hitting US‑linked sites in Kuwait and Bahrain with missiles and drones.
  • US officials say technical cease‑fire talks remain scheduled despite the escalation.
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  • Ukrainian drones set fire to a major southern Russian oil refinery, killing at least two people.
  • The attack is part of a recent surge in long-range strikes on Russian energy and military facilities.
  • President Vladimir Putin said Russia is experiencing a "difficult period" amid mounting war pressures.
  • The incident could temporarily curb Russian crude output and weigh on global oil prices.
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  • HK Electric has received no gas from Qatar since March following Iranian strikes on production facilities.
  • The cut off removes a significant portion of fuel for the Lamma Island power plant, prompting higher electricity tariffs for customers.
  • CEO Francis Cheng warns steeper supply costs will pressure the utility's earnings.
  • Aramco-owned helicopter crashed in Ras Tanura, killing 14 Saudi nationals.
  • Crash occurred near the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a major oil shipping route.
  • Aramco resumed crude oil loadings at Ras Tanura terminal on Friday after a four‑month halt.
  • Authorities have opened a full investigation; cause of the crash is still unknown.

Crypto 14

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  • BIS says private digital tokens fall short of sound‑money requirements
  • The bank urges policymakers to speed up tokenised central‑bank and commercial‑bank money
  • Warning that widespread stablecoin use may fragment the global financial system
  • EBA proposes penalty framework that could levy fines up to 12.5% of a token issuer’s annual revenue
  • Fines target “significant” token issuers that fail to comply with new EU crypto regulations
  • The proposal aims to enforce the EU’s MiCA rules, marking the first major enforcement action
  • Potential impact could raise compliance costs for major crypto projects operating in Europe
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  • Bitcoin fell below $60,000, down ~7% this week and ~12% in Q2 after a 22% drop in Q1.
  • Ether slid about 9.5% this week and is down roughly 25% in the second quarter.
  • Outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, a hawkish Federal Reserve and a strong dollar pressured crypto prices.
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  • Binance shuts down services in Europe after failing to obtain a regulatory license.
  • EthLabs, a new nonprofit backed by BitMine and Ethereum co‑founder Joe Lubin, aims to accelerate Ethereum adoption.
  • The move highlights growing regulatory scrutiny of crypto platforms in the EU.
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  • CZ wants the US to become the "capital of crypto" and push Binance.US to use Binance Global liquidity
  • He cites AI fund shifts, geopolitical events and the typical four‑year cycle as drivers of a 2026 crypto bear market
  • CZ served four months in prison in 2024 for Bank Secrecy Act violations but says it hasn't harmed his reputation
  • No Senate hearings are scheduled; only 20 working days remain before the Sep 1 deadline for the pending crypto bill
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  • Past July gains suggest Bitcoin could climb toward $75,000
  • Key support level sits near $55,000; breach would keep downside risk
  • Heavy short positions increase upside potential if price rebounds
  • Market sentiment remains mixed as price hovers near support
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  • Mow says Bitcoin's price bottom is set after an all‑time high 37 days before the April 2024 halving.
  • Analysts point to bear crosses on 50‑week/100‑week averages and the 200‑week level, warning of possible drops to $40,000‑$55,000.
  • Forecasts range from a $55,000 bottom by Aug‑Oct 2024 to a $40,000 trough within six months.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs have spurred institutional demand, fueling debate over the traditional four‑year cycle.
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  • Strategy now holds 847,363 BTC worth $50.9 bn (avg cost $75,653 per coin) as of June 28 2026
  • Saylor says the firm will need more charts, indicating intent to keep buying bitcoin
  • MSTR shares fell 8% to $86 and later to $82.31 (down 3.54%), raising dividend‑coverage concerns
  • Company’s dollar reserves are said to cover roughly 10 months of dividend payouts
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  • SBI pays $289 million for Bitbank, doubling its crypto custody assets to about ¥1.1 trillion.
  • The acquisition adds nearly 1 million customer accounts, making SBI a leading regulated exchange in Japan.
  • New Japanese digital‑asset rules are spurring consolidation, with 144 crypto M&A deals totalling $11.8 bn in 2026.
  • Framework Ventures raised a $400 million fund focused on tokenization, stablecoins and frontier tech
  • The fund targets financing of capital‑intensive sectors such as AI compute hardware, robotics and energy infrastructure
  • Over $300 billion of stablecoins circulating on‑chain are cited as a capital source for asset‑backed lending
  • Investments include Daylight (solar financing) and Uranium Digital (tokenized uranium marketplace)
  • Binance saw net outflows exceeding $400 million in the latest week
  • Outflows occurred despite rivals' efforts to attract users before the EU MiCA rollout
  • No clear sign of a mass migration from Binance was detected
  • The EU MiCA deadline is approaching, increasing regulatory focus
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  • Grayscale research head Zach Pandl recommends selling $3 bn of Bitcoin.
  • Sale intended to cover Strategy's cash obligations and restore investor confidence.
  • CryptoQuant argues Strategy has other ways to support its holdings.
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  • Two outages on Thursday and Friday lasted 116 minutes and 20 minutes respectively
  • Bug stemmed from a race condition that left stale journal state after an invalid transaction
  • Base’s single sequencer architecture caused the halt; patch applied to fix journal state update
  • Previous outages: 17 minutes in Sep 2024 and ~30 minutes in Aug 2025
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  • UTXO profit-loss ratio fell to its lowest level of the current bear market, a signal historically linked to market bottoms
  • The metric last hit similar lows in mid-2023 when Bitcoin slid to around $26,000
  • Bitcoin price dipped to $59,800 on Sunday before rebounding above $60,100
  • Analysts say long-term holders are entering capitulation while short-term inflows to exchanges drive the correction

Geopolitics 31

  • Israel launched air strikes on southern Lebanon a day after a US‑brokered cease‑fire framework was signed
  • Hezbollah rejected the agreement, calling it a surrender, and protests erupted in Beirut
  • One Israeli soldier, Capt. David Hazutt, was killed and another wounded in the renewed fighting
  • The deal ties Israel's withdrawal to Hezbollah's disarmament, raising doubts about its durability
  • Iran’s foreign minister urged the US to pressure Israel to halt the strikes
  • Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy sites have caused a "certain shortage" of fuel, though Putin says it is not critical.
  • Crimea declared an emergency over fuel shortages and power cuts following strikes on logistics and oil facilities.
  • Recent drone strikes hit the Slavyansk refinery in Krasnodar and a refinery near Moscow, sparking fires.
  • Putin pledged to boost anti‑aircraft defenses and ensure fuel supplies to Crimea while signaling openness to US‑led peace talks.
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  • US and Iran agreed to pause retaliatory strikes in the Strait of Hormuz and will hold technical talks in Qatar on Tuesday.
  • Iran's IRGC said it destroyed eight US military sites in Kuwait and Bahrain, and Iran claims control of the Strait for the next 30 days.
  • Markets shifted risk‑off, boosting the US Dollar Index (DXY) and WTI crude as investors await progress in US‑Iran negotiations.
  • Risk‑off sentiment lifts safe‑haven assets while risk assets face pressure amid ongoing Middle East tensions.
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  • Iran's top diplomat said any ship avoiding Iran's chosen Hormuz lane will increase tensions
  • Warning follows renewed US‑Iran naval attacks despite a Pakistan‑mediated ceasefire that began in April
  • Threats to the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt oil shipments and lift crude prices
  • Israeli drone strike in al‑Salatin, north Gaza kills at least two and wounds one.
  • Airstrike on a tent in Khan Younis injures several; a 13‑year‑old girl killed by tank shrapnel.
  • Israeli forces restrict worship at Al‑Aqsa Mosque and block the call to prayer at Ibrahimi Mosque for the eighth consecutive day.
  • West Bank raids lead to arrests of dozens, including journalists and activists.
  • Gaza Health Ministry reports death toll at 73,054 and 173,480 wounded since Oct 7.
  • The United States retains the world’s largest economy and defense budget, underpinning its global influence.
  • Emerging challenges include rising national debt, political polarization, and growing competition from China.
  • Strong alliance networks such as NATO and extensive bilateral ties help sustain U.S. superpower status.
  • Analysts expect the U.S. to maintain its preeminent position in the near to medium term despite these headwinds.
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  • China announced new offshore RMB financing facilities and expanded cross‑border trading at the Lujiazui Forum
  • The initiatives are linked to the start of the 15th Five‑Year Plan, making finance a national strategic priority
  • Beijing aims to build infrastructure to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar, though analysts doubt rapid dollar displacement
  • New liquidity lines will be offered to foreign central banks and sovereign investors, deepening Shanghai's international finance role
  • The push is framed as a geopolitical effort to dilute dollar‑centric financial power
  • Iran launched missiles and drones at US military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait
  • The strikes follow a tentative interim deal aimed at halting a four‑month war
  • Both Tehran and Washington accuse each other of breaching the agreement
  • President Trump warned the US could "militarily complete the job"
  • Israel reported hitting Iran‑backed Hezbollah militants in southern Lebanon
  • President Aleksandar Vucic said he will step down within weeks, without setting a specific date.
  • Thousands of demonstrators gathered in Kraljevo and Belgrade, maintaining pressure on the government.
  • Protesters reference the December 2024 Novi Sad railway station roof collapse that killed 16 as a corruption symbol.
  • Analysts warn Vucic may move to the prime‑minister post, preserving his party's grip on power.
  • The EU has condemned Serbian police for detaining hundreds of protesters during the unrest.
  • Russian attacks caused five fatalities in Ukraine
  • Local officials confirmed the deaths
  • Incident adds to ongoing conflict casualties
  • No further details on location or damage provided
  • Andy Burnham is the sole declared candidate to succeed Keir Starmer as UK prime minister
  • He will unveil a governance plan to devolve authority from London to regional bodies
  • Burnham won a parliamentary seat earlier this month and returned to Westminster
  • The transition could see him in Downing Street within weeks
  • Rats infest displacement camps across Gaza, increasing health risks
  • Overcrowded shelters face piles of garbage and overflowing sewage
  • Doctors report rising cases of severe skin diseases among displaced families
  • Sanitation and medical care remain inadequate, worsening public health crisis
  • The Democratic Republic of Congo has lodged a case at the ICJ accusing Rwanda of direct involvement in the eastern DRC war.
  • Kinshasa seeks a court order forcing Rwanda to halt support for armed groups and to pay reparations to victims and the government.
  • The filing marks a formal legal escalation amid ongoing high tensions between the two neighboring countries.
  • International actors are monitoring the case, hoping the ICJ process could aid broader diplomatic efforts to end the conflict.
  • Israeli forces destroyed olive trees in Zububa village, west of Jenin in the occupied West Bank.
  • The demolition follows a broader pattern of attacks on Palestinian farmland and olive groves.
  • Olive groves are a vital agricultural resource for Palestinians, heightening food‑security concerns and regional tensions.
  • Keir Starmer resigns after a brief tenure as UK prime minister
  • Andy Burnham is expected to become the UK's seventh prime minister in ten years
  • Media environment reshaped by Brexit and the rise of Reform UK presents new challenges
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  • Both sides accuse each other of breaching the newly signed MOU on navigation in the Strait of Hormuz
  • The United States claims Iran attacked commercial vessels, while Tehran blames the US for violating navigation rules
  • The incident occurs just days after the agreement, raising concerns over regional security and oil shipping
  • Lebanon and Israel signed a US‑brokered 14‑point framework agreement after months of direct talks
  • Protesters in Beirut, many waving Hezbollah flags, condemned the deal for not mandating Israeli troop withdrawal
  • The conflict since October 2023 has killed over 4,200 people and displaced hundreds of thousands since early March
  • Agreement states Israel has no claim to Lebanese territory and LAF will assume authority in the south pending Hezbollah disarmament
  • Chinese FM Wang Yi met Iran's security council deputy in New Delhi to discuss reconstruction cooperation.
  • Beijing aims to position itself as lead contractor for rebuilding Tehran after war.
  • Strategy targets long‑term access to Iran's oil reserves as US influence recedes in the region.
  • Rep. Julia Letlow defeated state Treasurer John Fleming in the GOP runoff to claim the Senate nomination.
  • Trump endorsed Letlow, underscoring his influence in the primary as Cassidy, a Trump critic, placed third in the first round.
  • Letlow is now the favorite in the heavily Republican state ahead of the November general election against Democrat Jamie Davis.
  • Trump's backing highlights his continued sway over Republican primaries, though its impact on the general election remains uncertain.
  • Five members of Israel's Arab minority died in a single day of violent incidents.
  • Two fatalities resulted from car bomb explosions in Jaffa and Holon.
  • Three additional deaths occurred in separate killings within Arab communities.
  • Police link all four incidents to organized or criminal violence.
  • Authorities note an escalation in criminal violence across the country.
  • Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi ordered a sweeping anti-corruption drive
  • Security forces detained several politicians, lawmakers and senior officials in Baghdad
  • Elite Counter Terrorism Service units carried out dawn raids in the Green Zone
  • The operation marks a high‑profile crackdown on corruption within Iraq's government
  • Chinese defense firms showcased air-defence systems at the Eurosatory fair, targeting export markets.
  • Analysts say China's lower prices could win contracts in the Global South, but lack of combat-proven pedigree hampers sales to NATO-aligned nations.
  • The surge in drone warfare in Ukraine and the Middle East is boosting global demand for advanced air-defence solutions.
  • Japan and South Korea launched fighter jets in response to a joint Russian-Chinese bomber patrol.
  • The patrol was the 11th joint operation since 2019 and the first in 2024.
  • Aircraft flew over the Sea of Japan, East China Sea and western Pacific, per the PLA Air Force.
  • Japan's defence ministry tracked two separate flights during the incident.
  • Pakistan's navy took delivery of PNS Hangor on June 11, the first of an eight‑submarine class.
  • Four of the submarines are built in China; the remaining four will be constructed in Pakistan.
  • The arrival revives a historic rivalry, recalling the 1971 sinking of a Pakistani sub by India.
  • The move signals Pakistan's intent to boost its naval presence in the Bay of Bengal amid regional tensions.
  • Former transport minister Chadchart Sittipunt wins a second term as Bangkok governor.
  • Exit polls estimate his vote share between 53% and 75%.
  • He inherits ongoing challenges of floods, traffic congestion and pollution.
  • The election was marked by high voter turnout and a clear lead across districts.
  • Law on Promoting Ethnic Unity and Progress, passed in March, will take effect next month
  • Article 63 extends liability to overseas persons and organisations deemed to undermine ethnic unity
  • Analysts say the measure is intended as a deterrent against Western ideological influence
  • The legislation signals Beijing's tighter control over diaspora narratives
  • AI rivalry described as a new cold war pitting the United States against China
  • Analysts argue no single nation can match the combined capabilities of the two superpowers, urging multilateral collaboration
  • Deutsche Telekom and NVIDIA showcase AI infrastructure with the Industrial AI Cloud data centre
  • Beijing and Pyongyang are using the Ukraine war as a model to accelerate their own weapons development
  • Both nations are expanding drone production and networked warfare capabilities
  • The shift highlights a broader trend of conflict-driven innovation influencing civilian sectors
  • Trump labeled Democratic mayoral nominee Janeese Lewis George a "communist" in a Truth Social post
  • He warned that George would "destroy" Washington if elected
  • Trump highlighted his own development plans, including refurbishing a Potomac-area golf course
  • George won the Democratic primary, positioning her as the likely winner in the heavily Democratic city
  • Pritam Singh faced a special conference called by 25 WP cadres demanding his resignation.
  • Around 79% of the 107 cadres present voted against the no-confidence motion.
  • The landslide vote allowed Singh to retain leadership of Singapore's main opposition party.
  • PM Rob Jetten delivered a formal apology on June 21 to the Malukan community.
  • The community comprises roughly 75,000 people, descendants of migrants who arrived 75 years ago.
  • Apology targets systemic mistreatment of first‑generation Malukans; reactions are mixed, with calls for concrete actions.

Tech/AI 19

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  • Chinese firms provide 30% of AI-related imports to the US
  • Companies like CATL, Victory Giant, and Foxconn Industrial Internet have doubled in value over the last 12 months
  • Optical and networking names like InnoLight and Eoptolink are key contributors to China's AI edge
  • China now leads the US in GPS‑style navigation, space‑based reconnaissance and anti‑satellite (ASAT) tech, according to a US think‑tank report.
  • The report highlights a rapidly expanding Chinese commercial space sector backed by strong state support.
  • China is narrowing the innovation gap with the United States in key strategic space technologies.
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  • Five mega-cap tech firms (Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Apple) face growing political and public scrutiny over data-center builds.
  • Investors view recent returns as sub‑par, questioning earnings potential versus other equities.
  • White‑collar job‑loss concerns rise amid automation, while blue‑collar labor shortages persist.
  • SpaceX IPO hype is seen as unrelated to alleviating data‑center cost pressures for these companies.
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  • Apple introduced the M3 Pro AI chip delivering up to 30% faster machine‑learning performance
  • iOS 18 will embed on‑device AI in over 50% of native apps, expanding generative features
  • Apple announced an AI‑as‑a‑service subscription at $9.99 per month for developers
  • The company set a roadmap to double AI‑related patents by 2028
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  • NHTSA and NTSB opened investigations into Tesla's Full Self-Driving system after a fatal Texas crash
  • Tesla settled a lawsuit tied to a 2023 fatal crash involving its FSD technology
  • Waymo is on track to import 3,156 Ojai robotaxis to the U.S. in 2024, roughly 300 per month
  • Aseon Labs raised $10 million in seed funding; Terawatt Infrastructure secured a $300 million credit facility for EV charging depots
  • Lyft announced a multi-sensor safety standard that excludes single-camera autonomous vehicles like Tesla's FSD
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  • Firmus will deliver 170,000 Nvidia GPUs from Q1 2027 to early 2028 for AI cloud services
  • Deal targets up to $30 billion in revenue for Firmus over the first six years
  • Nvidia will earn product revenue and a share of cloud revenue from the partnership
  • Firmus raised $1.35 billion in the past six months, valuing it at $5.5 billion and eyeing a potential IPO
  • China's commercial space market is estimated at about 1 trillion yuan, with insurance limited to mandatory third‑party liability.
  • Hong Kong insurers see a gap in coverage for R&D, manufacturing, testing, launches and in‑orbit operations, offering a growth opportunity.
  • Elon Musk's record‑breaking SpaceX IPO has brought the space economy into mainstream finance, highlighting the insurance shortfall.
  • Austria's digitalisation chief proposes the EU create a legal and market framework for Anthropic within Europe.
  • The move aims to counter recent US measures that limit foreign access to Anthropic's most advanced AI models.
  • It aligns with the European Commission's recent proposals to strengthen domestic AI, cloud and semiconductor industries and reduce reliance on US Big Tech.
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  • Sodium‑ion batteries projected to capture 20% of battery market by 2030 and 37% by 2035
  • Global capacity expected to reach 830 GWh by 2030, rising to 2.4 TWh by 2035
  • $800 bn of new investments anticipated for the sodium‑ion sector through 2035
  • Sodium‑ion cells are 30‑40% cheaper than Li‑FePO4 and perform better in cold weather
  • GM holds exclusive U.S. manufacturing rights; analysts see up to 20% upside for GM shares
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  • Google informed Meta in March it could not meet the requested Gemini AI capacity, imposing usage limits
  • The shortfall delayed several internal Meta AI projects and prompted staff to conserve AI tokens
  • Google Cloud revenue reached $20 billion in Q1, but computing constraints kept growth below potential and doubled its backlog quarter‑on‑quarter
  • Other Google Cloud clients also experience reduced access, though to a lesser extent
  • China’s CRAFT project fires up the largest superconducting magnet ever built for a nuclear fusion reactor
  • The magnet, comprising a toroidal-field coil and a central solenoid, passed all final performance tests
  • Successful test clears a major engineering hurdle toward achieving sustained plasma confinement
  • UPI processes over 750 million daily transactions, targeting more than 1 billion daily.
  • NPCI plans to deploy AI for fraud detection, credit distribution and multilingual onboarding.
  • AI-powered voice assistants and small language models are in development; FIMI model already serves over 1 million users.
  • Regulators may cap UPI app market share at 30% by Dec 31 2026 to encourage competition.
  • HK$2.84bn (US$364m) allocated to build a semiconductor centre
  • HK$3bn dedicated to an AI subsidy scheme for adoption projects
  • HK$1bn set aside for an advanced AI research and development institute
  • Officials aim to accelerate AI uptake, but critics call for broader vision and realistic targets
  • Penalties for non‑compliant platforms will be doubled, raising maximum fines per breach
  • Regulator will gain expanded powers to enforce age‑verification and blocking measures
  • The crackdown targets major platforms such as Instagram, TikTok, Snapchat, YouTube, Facebook, Twitch and Reddit
  • Japan's Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications will roll out eight new communications infrastructure projects.
  • Projects focus on undersea cable networks and satellite communications to boost regional connectivity.
  • The initiative targets the Indo-Pacific, linking Japan with Taiwan, India and other partner economies.
  • Goal is to strengthen economic security and digital ties amid growing geopolitical competition.
  • California law prohibits streaming ads louder than accompanying video, effective July 1.
  • The rule applies only to California for now; similar legislation is slated for Illinois next year.
  • Streaming platforms have not disclosed compliance plans, and industry groups argue ads already meet volume standards.
  • Book argues that convenience technologies have stripped sensory texture from daily activities
  • Cites the decline of stick‑shift cars and automated airport restrooms as examples of dematerialization
  • Suggests reclaiming gratification through ordinary sensory experiences rather than broad societal change
  • Digital health records give clinicians full patient history for better care
  • AI-driven diagnostic tools can analyze data to support treatment choices
  • Insurers' role in dictating treatment plans is challenged by expert and AI input
  • Retail price is $500 for the premium smart ice maker.
  • Can produce nugget ice in as little as 6 minutes and up to 60 lb per day.
  • Offers app and voice control, operates at ~40 dB, and includes customizable lighting.
  • Dimensions are 17.3×14.0×17.0 in and it weighs about 50 lb.

Companies 14

  • Kunlunxin, Baidu's AI chip subsidiary, plans a Hong Kong initial public offering.
  • Target valuation for the IPO is set at $50 billion.
  • The Information reports the plan, citing two unnamed sources.
  • If completed, it would rank among the largest tech listings in Hong Kong this year.
  • Reuters has not yet verified the report.
+
  • Volkswagen plans to end its collaboration with Bosch on automated driving technology
  • The move signals a shift in VW's strategy for autonomous vehicle development
  • Bosch may lose a key automotive partner, affecting its self‑driving unit revenue
  • Analysts expect both firms to reallocate resources to alternative partnerships
+
  • Self-rejection now accounts for ~50% of failed property transfers, surpassing bank loan rejections at 40%
  • Conventional buyer cancellations represent the remaining ~10% of failed transfers
  • Sena's Livnex rent‑to‑own scheme has 900‑980 participants, with 187 completions and about 100 exits; 80 customers become eligible for unit transfers this year
  • Company targets 400‑500 unit transfers (~1 bn baht) by year‑end and aims to cut debt‑to‑equity to 1.0 from 1.2‑1.3
  • Residential revenue share fell to 62% from 78%, while green business revenue rose to 13% of total
+
  • Ford will rehire 350 veteran engineers, many from suppliers or former staff
  • AI-driven automated quality systems fell short, prompting the move
  • Ford expects the rehiring to reduce costs by $1 billion this year
  • Ford topped the JD Power Initial Quality Survey among mainstream brands
+
  • Williams Companies (WMB) is close to finalizing a $5.5 bn purchase of Momentum Midstream.
  • The deal would broaden Williams' midstream assets in the Permian and Gulf Coast regions.
  • Closing is targeted for the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approvals.
  • Financing will combine cash and debt, with limited immediate impact on earnings.
+
  • Micron's market cap hit roughly $1.27 trillion, briefly overtaking Meta and Tesla
  • Shares rose about 236% in the past month, closing at $1,132
  • Q3 revenue jumped to $41.45 billion (4× YoY) and profit to $28.2 billion
  • Company projects Q4 revenue of $49‑$51 billion and has sealed 16 strategic customer agreements
  • AI-driven memory shortage expected to persist into 2027, underpinning demand for Micron's DRAM and HBM
+
  • Micron's profitability set to rank just behind Nvidia and Google among U.S. companies
  • AI memory demand drives big‑tech customers to pay premium prices
  • Micron forecasts a sharp earnings turnaround, targeting double‑digit profit growth this year
  • 14 nationals died when an Aramco helicopter crashed in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia
  • The crash occurred shortly after Aramco resumed crude oil loadings after a nearly four‑month halt
  • Authorities are investigating the cause of the accident
  • The incident follows a recent surge in Middle East oil output ahead of a US‑Iran cease‑fire deal
+
  • BofA raises Credo Technology (CRDO) price target to $340 from $252, lifts FY27‑28 sales outlook 2‑11% and EPS 5‑15%
  • Evercore ISI maintains buy on Meta Platforms (META) with $930 price target, citing new AI-driven subscription suite
  • Guggenheim reiterates buy on Pinterest (PINS) with $24 target, noting AI-powered ads now account for ~30% of lower-funnel revenue and tvScientific acquisition could add ~2 ppt to quarterly growth
  • Semiliquid funds often impose high fees on unrealized (paper) gains.
  • Fee arrangements can significantly erode net returns for investors.
  • Private-equity managers benefit from fee income even when assets are not sold.
  • Global functional drinks market valued at $160 bn, driven by health‑focused millennials and Gen Z.
  • Around 75% of millennials and 80% of Gen Z consumers regularly purchase functional beverages.
  • Starbucks reports protein coffee sales comparable to flat whites, pricing $5.75‑$6.75 per drink.
  • Danone’s acquisition of Huel valued at $1.15 bn; Pepsi’s purchase of Poppi valued at $2 bn.
  • Over half of surveyed consumers are willing to pay a premium for health‑benefitting drinks.
  • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will invest more than $618 million in its Japan and U.S. gas turbine businesses.
  • The firm plans to double large gas turbine production capacity by fiscal 2030 compared with 2024 levels.
  • Growth is driven by rising data‑center power demand and new gas‑fired plant construction, particularly in the United States.
+
  • Morningstar reduces Reece's fair value by 2%, setting it at A$10.30 per share.
  • The prior fair‑value estimate was roughly A$10.51, indicating a modest downgrade.
  • The adjustment suggests limited upside for the stock in the near term.
  • Lin Heung Lau's Sheung Wan branch spent more than HK$200,000 on World Cup‑related marketing.
  • Around 30 customers gathered to watch the South Africa vs South Korea match in the restaurant.
  • Management expects the football‑focused initiative to boost foot traffic and sales.

Thai Markets 3

+
  • President Bakery plans 5 billion baht investment over three years, allocating 2 billion baht each for a new Lat Krabang plant and a flour mill, both targeted for 2028 completion.
  • The company aims to add up to 100 electric vehicles per year, upgrading its fleet despite logistics costs staying 10‑20% above pre‑war levels.
  • Tokyu, Saha Pathana Inter‑Holding and Saha Tokyu sign MOU to study development of 700 rai in Si Racha, with a three‑year feasibility period covering commercial, office, residential and education projects.
  • Around 7,000 Japanese expatriates reside in Si Racha, supporting confidence in continued foreign investment in Thailand.
+
  • Average Thai life expectancy: men 85, women 88; retirees need 20‑30 years of funding
  • Only 17% have 3‑6 months of emergency savings; 45% of elderly have no savings; 64% of savers hold <100,000 baht
  • To sustain 15,000 baht/month for 20 years requires ~4 million baht; 20,000 baht/month to age 90 needs ~5.5 million baht (4% return)
  • Bank deposit rates <1% lag inflation (~1.3%); cash‑only retirees would need ~7.2 million baht for a 30‑year retirement
  • Diversified portfolios across assets and geographies are urged to mitigate longevity and inflation risk
+
  • Daily trading turnover sits at 40-45 bn baht; profitability improves if it reaches 60 bn baht.
  • Investment accounts grew from ~2 m to 3 m over the past decade, but only ~14% of Thais actively invest.
  • Brokers are expanding into wealth management, investment banking and DRs to offset falling commission income.
  • M&A activity remains limited despite regulator push, with consolidation expected to favor larger, bank-affiliated firms.

Other 40

  • Death toll confirmed at 1,430 after twin 7.2 and 7.5 magnitude quakes near La Guaira.
  • More than 50,000 people reported missing; at least 33 rescued over the weekend.
  • International rescue teams from the US, El Salvador, Peru, Colombia and Mexico participated.
  • A 60-year-old woman was rescued after being trapped for 86 hours.
  • EU pledged €5 million and the US pledged $150 million in humanitarian assistance.
  • Twin earthquakes of magnitude 7.2 and 7.5 struck Venezuela's La Guaira region
  • At least 1,430 people killed and more than 3,200 injured
  • Over 50,000 individuals remain missing as rescue teams search collapsed buildings
  • Three firefighters killed while fighting the Knowles and Gore fires on the Utah-Colorado border
  • Nearly 3 million acres (1.2 million ha) have burned in the U.S. this year, exceeding the 10‑year average
  • Over 30 wildfires remain uncontained nationwide; Utah and Colorado have declared state emergencies
  • Governors activated emergency measures, including a fireworks ban in Utah and National Guard deployment in Colorado
  • Eligible Medicare beneficiaries can obtain obesity drugs for a $50 monthly copay under the Bridge demonstration program beginning July 1.
  • The program runs through 2027 and requires prior authorization; enrollment is not automatic and patients must be in a Part D plan.
  • A June survey shows 82% of adults 65+ are unaware of the upcoming coverage, with similar lack of awareness across political lines.
  • Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly’s GLP‑1 drugs have seen heavy advertising, but no public campaign targets seniors for the new benefit.
  • CMS plans limited outreach before launch, aiming to expand promotion after the program is live.
  • HK regulator flags prediction market activities could fall under “financial products” rules
  • At least one international brokerage is already running a prediction‑market platform in Hong Kong
  • Legal opinions diverge on whether existing laws clearly separate financial products from illegal gambling
  • Europe experiences unprecedented heatwave, with temperatures hitting record highs
  • French health officials say death toll from heat-related illnesses is expected to increase
  • Multiple countries have issued heat alerts and are taking emergency measures
  • UK charities predict a surge in domestic abuse calls coinciding with the tournament
  • Past World Cups saw up to a 20% increase in reported incidents in host nations
  • Experts cite factors such as heightened alcohol consumption, stress and large crowds as drivers
  • Authorities are urged to bolster support services and hotlines ahead of the event
  • Powerful quake kills hundreds and leaves thousands missing
  • Thousands displaced, many sleeping outdoors without shelter
  • Search and rescue operations continue in hardest-hit areas
  • Police detained at least 50 individuals, including a journalist.
  • The Pride march continued despite a local authority ban.
  • Authorities sealed off Taksim Square and limited subway service in Kadikoy.
  • Father signed a forgiveness letter for his girlfriend who killed their 18-month-old son by kicking him in the belly
  • The incident occurred in Guangdong province; the child's mother, the father's ex-wife, demanded a thorough investigation
  • The couple had been married for over a decade and had two sons together
  • JIL celebrated its 25th anniversary, founded in March 2001.
  • The network has been in disarray for most of the past decade.
  • Traditional Islamic bodies NU and Muhammadiyah face elite co-option for state resources.
  • Liberal and progressive Islamic movements in Indonesia are losing relevance.
  • Executive Council member Dr. Lam Ching-choi urges expansion of mental health services to all students, not just high‑risk ones
  • Increasing social‑media influence linked to rising mental‑health concerns among Hong Kong youth
  • Prominent local tycoon pledges to mobilise young philanthropists to address the growing problem
  • Canada beat South Africa 1-0 in the group-stage match
  • The game was part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup tournament
  • The original live page has been closed; a summary is available online
  • 17-year-old Thai girl discovered dead in a suitcase in Pattaya
  • Australian suspect Simon Peter Carman, in his 40s, arrested at Suvarnabhumi airport
  • Police have charged him with murder, concealment of a body and moving a corpse
  • Pattaya is located about 150 km (93 miles) east of Bangkok
  • Bay Area matches attracted higher-than-expected attendance despite "boring" label
  • Local fans showed strong support, contradicting predictions of low interest
  • Sponsorship and merchandise sales rose modestly, indicating growing enthusiasm
  • Two seismic events occurred in Venezuela
  • Quakes described as capricious, violent, and arbitrary
  • Potential humanitarian and infrastructure impacts anticipated
  • Farmer placed more than 170 surveillance cameras on his hillside orchard in Badong, Hubei.
  • The camera forest was intended to boost compensation under a local land purchase scheme.
  • Videos of the camera setup went viral on social media, prompting widespread speculation.
  • Local village committee later explained the purpose of the cameras.
  • Customs seized more than 12 kilograms of cocaine concealed in coffee and chocolate packets.
  • The drugs were valued at approximately 36 million baht.
  • Arrest took place on June 25 after the suspect arrived from São Paulo, Brazil.
  • Iran finished third in Group G with three points from three draws, failing to advance.
  • A VAR decision in the 93rd minute nullified a potential winning goal against Egypt.
  • Iran needed three other match results to go its way, but all three (Croatia‑Ghana, DR Congo‑Uzbekistan, Algeria‑Austria) went against them.
  • Ireland won the two-match T20 series 2-0, beating India by 34 runs in the first game and by 1 run in the second.
  • Harry Tector scored 50 on his 100th T20 international appearance as Ireland posted 154-8.
  • India's chase fell short at 153-9 despite a 55 from Tilak Varma and 21 from Harshit Rana.
  • Teen prodigy Vaibhav Sooryavanshi was left out of India's squad for both matches.
  • Pope Leo expressed solidarity with Venezuelans following two deadly quakes
  • Official death toll reported at least 1,400 people
  • Approximately 68,000 individuals remain missing after the disasters
  • Netherlands (FIFA rank 7) vs Morocco (rank 6) on June 29
  • USA faces Bosnia on July 1 as Pochettino restores first‑choice lineup
  • Portugal (rank 8) meets Croatia (rank 13) on July 2, featuring Ronaldo (41) and Modric (40)
  • Argentina vs Cape Verde on July 3, pitting Messi (39) against goalkeeper Vozinha (40)
  • France takes on Sweden on June 30 after a 4‑1 reserve win over Norway
  • Scaled the three highest UK mountains within a 24‑hour period
  • Climb aimed at raising funds for a cancer charity
  • Kate Middleton is in remission after chemotherapy
  • Naturwissenschaften removed the two Planck papers from its archive, leaving only a blank page
  • The papers date from the 1940s and were withdrawn without detailed explanation
  • Historians Yves Gingras and Mahdi Khelfaoui identified the retractions via Retraction Watch and posted a preprint on arXiv
  • Algeria's World Cup match sparked a major controversy
  • FIFA responded by amending tournament regulations
  • The incident is described as one of the biggest scandals in World Cup history
  • George Russell wins from pole, his second victory of the season
  • Antonelli leads the drivers' standings with 171 points, Russell at 131 (40‑point gap)
  • Mercedes leads constructors' championship with 302 points, ahead of Ferrari's 204
  • Max Verstappen finishes 1.6 seconds behind the winner after a qualifying crash
  • Undergrad, HKU's longest-running student newspaper, shuts down after 74 years of operation.
  • The 2025 editorial committee failed to recruit enough members for a new board despite two recruitment drives since September.
  • The closure takes effect immediately, ending the campus news outlet's presence.
  • Children as young as 7 are now being referred for online gaming addiction counselling in Hong Kong.
  • Counselling centre reports a growing number of younger children seeking help, with roughly 70 recent cases.
  • Experts warn the trend could signal a broader societal issue as digital habits become entrenched early.
  • Hospital sent a letter after gallbladder surgery asking for a financial contribution in a caregiver's honor
  • The request included a question about the patient's favorite caregiver
  • The author raises concerns about the appropriateness of soliciting donations from patients post‑treatment
  • Eleven people dead, including the pilot and ten parachutists
  • Aircraft was a small plane used by a parachuting school
  • Crash occurred shortly after take‑off in Tomblaine, near homes
  • Victims comprised five trainee skydivers and five instructors
  • 401(k) withdrawals trigger ordinary income tax and a 10% early‑withdrawal penalty if under age 59½.
  • Using retirement savings reduces future retirement security and may affect compound growth.
  • Explore alternatives first, such as a family loan, debt‑consolidation loan, or using other liquid assets.
  • If a withdrawal is unavoidable, consider a qualified hardship distribution to mitigate penalties.
  • Fifth installment of a six-part Health Matters series examines the hidden psychological burden of cancer patients in Hong Kong.
  • 67-year-old retiree diagnosed with breast cancer in June 2024 and lung cancer in 2025.
  • Support programmes that promote mindset changes are reported to improve patients' coping and mental wellbeing.
  • One pedestrian killed and two seriously injured after minibus mounted pavement on Argyle Street
  • Accident occurred near Kowloon City Court at about 5:48 pm
  • Vehicle was traveling from Mong Kok to Tsz Wan Shan
  • 13 passengers and the driver also sustained injuries
  • Hundreds of residents and former residents assembled in Kwun Tong overnight.
  • People photographed the Yue Man Square and Tung Yan Street signs before demolition.
  • The area will be permanently closed as roads are removed for redevelopment.
  • The gathering highlighted community attachment to the historic town centre.
  • Police seized 241 kg of suspected cocaine, valued at HK$180 million (about US$23 million).
  • Three suspects, including the alleged mastermind, were arrested during the operation.
  • The raid at Aberdeen Typhoon Shelter marks the largest cocaine bust in Hong Kong over the past year.
  • Hong Kong star Stanley Yau's iPhone was found for sale in Shenzhen after being lost.
  • Experts warn that retrieving stolen devices from mainland China is challenging.
  • Recommendations include remote lock, data wipe, and using strong passwords to prevent breaches.
  • Users advised to enable device tracking and report loss to authorities promptly.
  • Survey shows rising popularity of Korean musical adaptations in major Chinese cities
  • Chinese theatregoers cite tight logic and engaging plots as reasons for preference
  • Western shows see slower ticket growth compared to Korean imports
  • Amber rainstorm warning issued at 11:10 am Sunday
  • Warning lasted roughly 3½ hours
  • Cancellation announced Sunday afternoon
  • Bulu, a 4-year-old German shepherd trained for narcotics detection, refused food and water while awaiting handler Awei.
  • The emotional reunion video attracted millions of views online.
  • Yunnan police confirmed the incident occurred in Chuxiong, Yunnan province.
  • Tourist information centre recorded a 50% increase in foreign visitors year to March 2026.
  • Growth linked to anime fans traveling to see Crayon Shin-chan related sites.
  • A Spanish couple highlighted the trend by visiting with Shin-chan plush dolls.