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Risk-on, driven by tech and energy optimism, despite lingering China and geopolitical concerns

  1. NZD Falls Amid Hawkish Fed, Fragile US-Iran Truce · 2 sources
  2. US-China Rare Earth Tensions Escalate · 2 sources
  3. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigns after two years in office · 2 sources
  4. ECB's Lagarde Discusses Monetary Policy in Face of Geopolitical Tensions
  5. Japanese yen weakens toward 161.00 after four-decade highs amid intervention risks · 3 sources

Markets 36

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  • NZD/USD trades at 0.5730, down 4th consecutive day
  • US Dollar Index (DXY) recoups losses, boosted by hawkish Fed and geopolitical tensions
  • RBNZ turns hawkish, signals 3 rate hikes by year-end, but fails to stem NZD decline
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  • USD/JPY trades near 161.10 after peaking near 162.00, four-decade high
  • Japanese authorities maintain elevated intervention risks as currency approaches key level
  • US PCE data on Thursday may shift Fed policy expectations, impacting USD/JPY momentum
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  • GBP/USD trades around 1.3250, still below the 1.3300 resistance and 1.3400 EMA ceiling
  • Keir Starmer's resignation adds a political discount to the pound, weighing on sentiment
  • Fed holds rates at 3.75% with a hawkish dot plot; upcoming US core PCE data heightens downside risk
  • CFTC data shows net short positions on the pound deepening, indicating bearish positioning
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  • AUD/USD breaks 0.7000 mark ahead of US PCE inflation data
  • US PCE reading could support hawkish Fed stance and pressure AUD/USD
  • China's PBoC leaves rates unchanged at 3%
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  • U.S. IPO pipeline could trigger a market correction of up to 40%
  • Current equity issuance levels match historic peaks in 1929 and 2000
  • High‑profile IPOs such as SpaceX and OpenAI are cited as potential catalysts
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  • USD traded near 101.00, close to the 13-month high of 101.13.
  • EUR/USD fell to around 1.1430 after weak consumer confidence data.
  • GBP/USD held near 1.3250 despite UK political uncertainty.
  • WTI oil dropped over 3% to about $74.20 per barrel on US‑Iran peace optimism.
  • Spot gold rose 0.84% to $4,190 per ounce as lower oil eased inflation concerns.
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  • Treasury prices fell as yields rose amid ongoing U.S.-Iran talks
  • Yield increase reflects concerns over possible disruptions to crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz
  • Investors watch negotiations for further impact on oil supply and bond markets
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  • DXY up 0.26% trading around 101.00, supported by firm US Treasury yields
  • Fed likely to keep monetary policy restrictive longer, boosting the dollar
  • Upcoming US PCE inflation data could swing the index higher or trigger profit‑taking
  • Geopolitical risk from Iran war adds safe‑haven demand for the dollar
  • Technical support at 100.99‑100.81; resistance near 101.06
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  • Mexican Peso (MXN) weakens 0.34% as US Dollar (USD) recovers, driven by Fed's hawkish tilt.
  • Banxico expected to hold rates steady at 6.50%.
  • USD/MXN trades at 17.35, with US Dollar Index (DXY) up 0.22% at 100.98.
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  • Andy Burnham, mayor of Greater Manchester, is the frontrunner to become UK prime minister, likely confirmed by Sept 1
  • UK gilt yields have risen on expectations of higher spending; markets now focus on the next chancellor and budget timing
  • Sterling is largely priced in; downside risk remains if the transition becomes chaotic, with BoE rates expected to stay on hold
  • IMF projects UK GDP growth at just 0.8% in 2026, down from 1.3% earlier, underscoring fiscal challenges for the new PM
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  • SpaceX shares dropped over 10% after a post‑IPO rally as the company launched a notes offering
  • Alphabet fell 6%, wiping out more than $256 billion in market value; Amazon slid 4.8% and Meta and Microsoft each fell around 3%
  • Combined, the three hyperscalers could lose over $248 billion in market cap amid growing AI‑spending anxiety
  • Memory chipmaker Micron rose 5.8% to record highs after announcing a strategic AI partnership with Anthropic
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  • EUR/USD trades around 1.1498, hovering near its three‑month low
  • US Dollar Index (DXY) sits near 101.0, its highest level in 13 months
  • Hawkish Fed expectations keep the dollar favored despite easing US‑Iran tensions
  • ECB raised rates by 25 basis points this month and says it must stay agile amid Iran shock
  • Upcoming week features ECB speeches, global PMI data, US PCE and Q1 GDP releases
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  • BNY's iFlow Carry index turns negative for the first time in 2026, signaling ongoing unwinding of carry trades.
  • Improved risk appetite and a limited Fed hawkish pivot could support a strong recovery in FX carry as liquidation completes.
  • BRL longs offer a strong risk-reward profile, while CHF is a rare case of a currency with zero rates and positive holdings score.
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  • British Pound (GBP) reacted calmly to Keir Starmer's resignation, with focus shifting to potential PM Andy Burnham.
  • Nomura sees BoE's dovish reaction function and narrowing policy rate differentials as key medium-term drivers for GBP.
  • Fiscal rule changes and potential tax hikes are highlighted as ongoing tail risks for GBP.
  • Nomura forecasts policy rate differentials to narrow by 125bp by end-2027 (75bp ECB hikes, 50bp BoE cuts), supporting a long EUR/GBP trade idea.
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  • USD index up 0.2% to 102.50
  • Dollar gains on reduced Middle East tensions
  • Risk assets mixed as talks continue
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  • China imposes its toughest cross-border investment restrictions to date
  • Hong Kong's position as the world's largest cross-border wealth hub is at risk
  • Potential penalties on brokers could extend to banking, insurance and real estate firms
+
  • USD/SGD quoted around 1.2917, showing a bid tone on a firmer USD.
  • Resistance at 1.2940; key support at 1.2840‑1.2850 (200‑day MA) and 1.28 (38.2% fib).
  • Focus on Singapore CPI (Tue) and July MAS policy meeting; a core CPI rise could trigger further tightening.
  • Higher US Treasury yields and fragile risk sentiment may keep USD/SGD supported.
  • Apollo's private credit fund holds about $26 billion in assets.
  • Redemption requests are limited to 5% of net asset value per period.
  • The cap follows a 17% increase in withdrawal requests.
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  • Euro slipped 0.37% to $1.1428 as USD rose on optimism over US‑Iran talks
  • ECB President Lagarde downplayed second‑round inflation, keeping rate hikes within the 1.75‑2.50% neutral range
  • Market pricing shows a 45% chance of a Fed rate hike at the July 29 meeting, with some banks forecasting up to three 25‑bp hikes in 2026
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  • Best Buy (BBY) returned $1.1 bn via buybacks and raised dividend for 13 straight years; shares up ~15% YTD
  • Colgate‑Palmolive (CL) added a $5 bn repurchase program, raised dividend to $0.53, and is up 13% in 2026
  • JPMorgan Chase (JPM) posted Q1 earnings beat, dividend yield 1.8%, shares up ~3% YTD; CEO hints at $20 bn M&A budget
  • Honeywell (HON) yields ~2.1%, up ~17% YTD, and will spin off its aerospace unit into Honeywell Technologies on June 29
  • Growth stocks remain the market's favorite, keeping valuations elevated.
  • Contrarian investors are accumulating positions in ten undervalued "loser" stocks.
  • Elon Musk's $1 trillion SpaceX valuation is widely considered unrealistic.
  • Analysts expect the selected value plays to outperform as growth momentum eases.
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  • Yen slipped to about 161.9 per dollar, just below a two‑year low reached last week
  • A break above 161.96 would mark the weakest yen level since 1986
  • Tokyo intervened with a record 11.7 trillion yen ($72.4 bn) in FX markets from late April to early May
  • Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent held an online meeting to consider policy responses
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  • NZD/USD slipped to about 0.5720, its lowest level in two months.
  • US Dollar Index rose roughly 0.24% to 101.00, bolstering the greenback.
  • Oil prices fell sharply after the US eased sanctions on Iran.
  • Fed rate expectations dominate ahead of the US PCE inflation report; a strong PCE could push NZD/USD lower.
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  • Nvidia shares down ~3% in the past month, versus a 12% YTD gain.
  • B200 GPU compute price fell from $6.11 on May 30 to $4.22 on June 21.
  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) up 84% YTD and +15% in the past month, outpacing Nvidia.
  • Google to pay SpaceX $920 million/month for AI compute, using ~110,000 Nvidia GPUs.
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  • USD/CHF up for fourth consecutive day, near 0.8090, targeting 0.8100‑0.8172
  • EUR/CHF bullish above 200‑day SMA at 0.9223, eyeing 0.9266‑0.9349
  • SNB kept policy rate at 0% and warned of intervening if CHF appreciates sharply
  • Fed’s hawkish tilt after meeting, with half of members favoring further tightening, supports USD
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  • USD/MYR pushed up toward the 4.14 handle last week, closing at 4.1360.
  • Supportive domestic data (trade prints, contained inflation) failed to offset external headwinds.
  • Fed-led hawkish repricing keeps US Treasury yields and the USD firm, limiting MYR upside.
  • Softer oil prices offer a modest buffer but are not a clear catalyst for the currency.
  • Near‑term bias stays skewed to the upside despite RSI entering overbought territory.
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  • USD/CAD rose to near 1.4200, its highest in 14 months, before easing back to around 1.4150
  • Canada's May CPI accelerated to 3.2% YoY (vs 3.0% consensus) and 1.0% MoM, yet the Loonie weakened
  • Higher Brent and WTI prices failed to boost the CAD as U.S. tariff pressures dampen Canadian growth
  • Key technical levels: resistance at 1.4200 (next targets 1.4250, 1.4400); support at 1.4150, 1.4100, 1.4000
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  • Growth differentials in AI‑export economies (Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, Singapore) could boost KRW, TWD, MYR and SGD
  • A stronger USD and persistently high US yields under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh weigh on regional FX
  • Oil prices have risen but remain low enough to keep risk sentiment supportive; INR and PHP have shown resilience
  • If the Fed turns more hawkish, risk appetite may decline, pressuring Asian currencies
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  • Dow closed up ~167 points (0.3%) at ~51,750 while the S&P 500 fell 0.3% and Nasdaq dropped 1.1%
  • Gain driven by rotation out of mega‑cap tech: Alphabet -6%, Amazon -4%, Meta -3%, SpaceX -8%
  • Crude oil fell >3% (Brent to $77) and >2% (WTI to $74) after US‑Iran talks on a 60‑day oil roadmap
  • Core PCE expected to rise to 3.4% YoY (0.3% MoM) on Thursday, a key catalyst for Fed rate outlook
  • Valuations remain elevated, raising concerns over future earnings
  • Potential monetary policy tightening could curb market momentum
  • Geopolitical and supply-chain uncertainties add downside risk
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  • USD/CNH rose to 6.7980 before pulling back to 6.7807, a +0.04% move.
  • UOB expects the pair to stay within a 6.7740‑6.7900 band, with strong support at 6.7600.
  • Over the next 1‑3 weeks another test of the 6.8000 resistance is possible if support holds.
  • Elon Musk became the first trillionaire after SpaceX's June 12 public debut.
  • Kalshi traders assign a 32% probability that Mark Zuckerberg will reach a $1 trillion net worth by 2033.
  • Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has a 21% chance, while Dell CEO Michael Dell has a 6% chance.
  • Kalshi contracts have low volume, with just over $7,500 traded to date.

Macro/Economy 41

  • Beijing has stepped up corporate regulatory enforcement, but analysts say it's unlikely to pursue a repeat of the 2021 crackdown.
  • Regulators are constrained by the need for private tech companies to boost investment in AI infrastructure and computing infrastructure.
  • Beijing is attempting to act without 'triggering another broad investor panic' amid a sluggish job market and lackluster domestic demand.
  • Senate approved the housing bill 85-5, keeping a 350‑unit cap on institutional investors.
  • The bill drops the earlier seven‑year sell‑by rule for investors owning 350+ units.
  • Lawmakers cite a shortage of over 4.7 million homes and average prices above $500,000.
  • House vote expected later this week; bipartisan backing includes Tim Scott and Elizabeth Warren.
  • Over €23 billion (≈$26.3 bn) invested in Greece's energy sector in the past month
  • Funding comes from BlackRock, Capital, Covalis, QIA and K Group
  • EU plans to fully phase out Russian gas imports by 2027
  • Greece aims to become a key transit hub for Central, Eastern and Southeast Europe
  • Chinese grid operators concerned about increased risks for power firms due to unpredictable peak demand at data centers
  • Industry analysts and officials question feasibility of having renewables power majority of data center demand by 2030
  • Data centers struggle to adjust power consumption load, making it difficult to forecast peak demand
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  • Australia's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.2 in June, a stronger-than-expected figure.
  • The reading is seen as bullish on the Australian Dollar (AUD).
  • The AUD/USD pair holds negative ground near 0.6998, still marginally down from Monday's closing price.
  • Trump hinted at prohibiting Wall Street firms from purchasing residential properties
  • Analysts say the bipartisan housing bill will take time to impact affordability
  • The legislation is unlikely to address voter frustration over housing costs soon
  • Young Chinese consumers prioritize emotional value over status symbols
  • Purchases of low-cost toys such as elf figures and robot dogs are increasing
  • Trend signals a broader shift in domestic consumption patterns
  • Thailand's top-up tax, aligning with OECD's 15% global minimum corporate tax, took effect in 2025 with collection starting this year
  • Revenue Department estimates the measure could add about 10 billion baht in annual tax revenue
  • Board of Investment will review how investment promotion policies will adapt to the top-up tax while awaiting guidance on OECD Pillar 1
  • Retrenchment incidence for degree holders rose to 3.1 per 1,000 resident employees in Q1 2026, up from 2.6 per 1,000.
  • Workers in their 50s saw retrenchment incidence increase to 3.1 per 1,000, the highest among all age groups.
  • Degree‑holder re‑entry rate fell to 58.3% in Q1 2026, below the overall 60.7% and diploma/professional 69.4% rates.
  • A senior programme manager reported applying to ~180 jobs with no offers, highlighting tougher re‑employment prospects.
  • Two-month public consultation opened for Hong Kong's inaugural five-year plan.
  • Plan seeks a clearer vision and systematic growth under the "one country, two systems" framework.
  • Goal is to align Hong Kong's development with China's broader national strategy.
  • Three U.S.-based solar manufacturers (Canadian Solar, SEG, Heliene) filed a petition on June 18.
  • They allege Korean-made solar cells are being used to bypass existing U.S. tariffs on Chinese products.
  • The petition asks the Department of Commerce to launch an anti-dumping investigation into South Korean imports.
  • A probe could extend tariff measures to Korean suppliers, impacting supply chains.
  • Up to $329 bn could be lost to childcare shortages over the next decade.
  • Only 13% of private‑sector workers have employer childcare benefits; about 12% of eligible taxpayers claim the child‑and‑dependent‑care credit.
  • The 45F employer tax credit is used by less than 1% of firms, though it can provide up to $500 k (or $600 k for small businesses) in annual tax savings.
  • A hypothetical firm could save $820 k in taxes over five years and generate more than $8 m in ROI by fully leveraging childcare incentives.
  • UK tops the global green finance rankings for the eighth year running.
  • The Net Zero Delivery Summit celebrates its fifth edition in London.
  • Article cites ongoing global instability – Ukraine war, Middle East conflict, tariff disputes and high inflation.
  • Permit processing times fell 72% in a year, with simple licenses now approved same day.
  • Governor Shapiro's GRID standards require data center developers to cover 100% of local utility costs and meet transparency criteria.
  • Emerson College poll shows 42% of Pennsylvania adults would oppose a data center in their community, versus 34% support.
  • State catalogued 2,400 licenses and permits and offers a money‑back guarantee for late processing.
  • A $3.5 billion Eli Lilly investment underscores the attraction of faster permitting for large projects.
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  • Lagarde urged G7 leaders to address perceived undervaluation of the Chinese yuan
  • China denies currency manipulation despite large trade surpluses
  • Yuan issue joins G7 concerns over US deficits and Europe's fiscal imbalances
  • The inaugural CNBC Elite Advisors list features 25 leading firms specializing in ultra-high net worth (UHNW) individuals and family offices.
  • UHNW clients are defined as having $25 million or more in investable assets, or a total net worth of approximately $50 million.
  • These advisors focus on complex financial and relationship dynamics beyond investment management, including tax, estate, and family governance.
  • In 2024, there were about 442,000 U.S. UHNW households, holding $22.5 trillion in investable assets, representing nearly 25% of all U.S. investable assets.
  • Average fees for UHNW advisors were 0.54% of assets under management (AUM) in 2025, an increase from 0.45% in 2021.
  • SEC Watch plans to camp outside Government House until the SEC bill is withdrawn
  • Draft SEC Act would permit foreign investors 90‑year land leases and suspend job protections for Thai nationals
  • Bill slated for approval by December, but government doubts financial viability of the related Land Bridge project

Central Banks 19

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  • Euro area economic growth slows due to war in the Middle East, with real GDP growth expected at 0.8% in 2026, 1.2% in 2027 and 1.5% in 2028
  • Inflation rises to 3.2% in May, driven by energy inflation, but longer-term expectations remain around 2%
  • ECB raises key interest rates by 25 basis points to navigate uncertainty caused by the war
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  • BofA now expects three Fed hikes in 2024, totaling up to 75 basis points.
  • Core PCE inflation is projected at a 3.5% annual rate.
  • CME FedWatch shows >50% odds of a September hike and another in December.
  • Fed's 2% inflation target has been missed for five consecutive years.
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  • Emmanuel Moulin: Central banks must shape monetary innovation alongside market players
  • 82% of European citizens support the euro, a major achievement in monetary sovereignty
  • Central banks must remain the anchor of trust in digital payments, tokenised assets, and stablecoins
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  • Fed Governor Waller notes rapid growth in stablecoin transactions and blockchain-based payment systems
  • Research explores stablecoin impact on FX markets, dollar funding conditions, and U.S. Treasury market linkages
  • Digital innovation may reinforce or challenge the dollar’s global dominance, per conference papers
  • Senate approved the housing affordability bill with an 85-5 vote, inserting a four‑year prohibition on a Fed CBDC.
  • The ban would remain in effect until the end of 2030 unless the House or President reverses it.
  • The provision follows a 2025 executive order and reflects Republican opposition to a digital dollar.
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  • BoT likely to leave benchmark rate unchanged at 1% at the upcoming MPC meeting
  • Headline inflation projected to average 3%‑3.1% for 2024, with peaks in Q3‑Q4
  • Thailand's economy forecast to grow 2% this year; current‑account surplus 2% of GDP, fiscal deficit 3.5% of GDP
  • Declining global oil prices expected to ease inflationary pressure despite temporary energy‑price spikes
  • Foreign investors remain net buyers of Thai stocks and bonds, keeping the baht only marginally weaker
  • May headline inflation rose to 2.0% year‑on‑year, the highest since July 2024.
  • Year‑to‑date inflation (Jan‑May 2026) stands at 1.7%, backing a full‑year forecast of 2.0%.
  • Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep the Overnight Policy Rate unchanged at 2.75% through 2026.
  • Supply‑side shocks from the Middle East conflict and El Niño pose upside risks to inflation.
  • Alan Greenspan, former Fed chairman (1987-2006), dies at 100 after complications from Parkinson's disease
  • Known for 'irrational exuberance' warning in 1996, which briefly roiled global markets
  • Greenspan's tenure marked by economic booms, crises, and lasting influence on monetary policy
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  • Norges Bank kept policy rate unchanged at 4.25%, citing persistent inflation above 2% target (latest CPI: 3.1%)
  • Wage growth projected at 4.5% in 2026, easing to 2027; inflation seen returning to target by 2029 with tighter policy
  • Policy rate path raised slightly to just above 4.5% by year-end, signaling potential hike in forthcoming meetings

Energy/Oil 19

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  • Higher vessel flows through the Hormuz Strait cut the perceived war premium on crude.
  • Brent fell about $2 per barrel (roughly 1.5%) and WTI slipped a similar margin.
  • Market volatility remains elevated as traders watch geopolitical risk reassessment.
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  • 12 ships transited the strait on Sunday, down from more than 21 the previous day.
  • Pre‑war traffic exceeded 100 ships daily; current levels remain far below that.
  • Five of eight inbound vessels were dark, disabling AIS transponders.
  • Iran announced the strait closed again, while the U.S. says it remains open.
  • U.S.–Iran talks aim to keep the strait open toll‑free for at least 60 days.
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  • Brent crude for August up 1.23% to $81.56 per barrel
  • WTI crude for July up 3.04% to $78.93 per barrel
  • Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, heightening supply concerns
  • Analysts warn current supply relies on inventory drawdowns, not production gains
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  • A U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding was signed but is unlikely to avert an imminent energy cliff.
  • Global commercial and strategic oil inventories are depleting rapidly, eroding the buffer built after the Strait of Hormuz shutdown.
  • Tankers through the Strait, which carry roughly 20% of world oil, have been largely halted, tightening supply.
  • Analysts warn that the shrinking stockpiles could pressure crude prices upward in the coming weeks.
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  • Treasury issued a 60‑day general license authorizing Iranian oil production, delivery and sale until Aug. 21.
  • Potential export capacity could rise from 260,000 bpd in May toward pre‑war levels of over 1.5 million bpd.
  • Hormuz vessel transits remain low, with 17‑35 crossings daily versus >100 pre‑war.
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  • Jet fuel spot price dropped to $2.85 per gallon, down from $4.88.
  • Brent crude fell to $79.22 per barrel, about $20 lower after the ceasefire agreement.
  • U.S. airlines' annual fuel expenses could be reduced by more than $40 billion.
  • The price decline follows a US‑Iran ceasefire and a 60‑day negotiation commitment.
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  • Front-month Dutch TTF gas futures up 1.75% to $49.04 per MWh
  • Prices rose nearly 2% amid a European heatwave boosting short‑term power demand
  • Geopolitical risk from U.S.–Iran talks and renewed Trump threats added upward pressure
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  • India’s crude imports from Russia rose to 40% of total in Q2 2024, up from 1% pre-Ukraine war
  • Hormuz Strait disruptions risk 20% of global oil supply, driving India to diversify sources
  • Russian ESPO blend now accounts for 15% of India’s crude slate, replacing Middle Eastern grades
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  • China's green-energy exports to the US rose 346% YoY to $39.96m in unassembled photovoltaic cells
  • Demand in the US AI sector drives growth, as trade tensions ease and energy-security fears rise
  • Iran war boosts global appetite for renewable-energy equipment
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  • Iran was cleared to sell crude oil in U.S. dollars, lifting a previous restriction
  • Brent crude fell about 1% and WTI slipped roughly 1.2% after the announcement
  • The decline erased recent gains, indicating bearish pressure on oil markets
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  • Chevron entered a 20-year agreement to provide natural gas to Microsoft's Project Kilby data center in West Texas.
  • The data center will require roughly 2.7 GW of electricity, comparable to powering about 2 million homes, using gas turbines from GE Vernova and Caterpillar.
  • Power delivery is slated for 2028, with a final investment decision expected later this year.
  • Microsoft's AI-driven data‑center expansion includes $190 bn of capital expenditures this year, adding natural‑gas power to its renewable and nuclear mix.
  • Cobalt-free batteries gain traction in EV sector
  • LFP batteries help reduce production costs and reliance on cobalt
  • Tesla and BYD lead adoption of cobalt-free battery tech
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  • California drivers sue BP, Marathon, 7‑Eleven, Walmart and others alleging AI‑driven price fixing at the pump
  • Plaintiffs claim AI tool raised gasoline prices by up to $0.30 per gallon, costing consumers $134 million annually
  • The lawsuit invokes Assembly Bill 325, a new law targeting algorithmic collusion, and seeks unspecified damages
  • California's average regular‑gas price is $5.58/gal, the highest in the U.S., versus a $3.93 national average
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  • U.S. natural gas futures inched higher as traders priced in warmer weather for July.
  • Warmer temperatures are expected to boost demand for cooling, supporting price gains.
  • Market moves were modest, reflecting a cautious outlook on near‑term supply.
  • Mexico will resume oil exports to Cuba using commercial and privately owned firms instead of state-owned companies.
  • The move aims to alleviate Cuba's acute fuel shortages amid its deepening economic crisis.
  • Mexico became a key fuel supplier after the US halted Venezuelan oil shipments in early January.
  • No specific volume or exact start date disclosed, but shipments are expected to begin soon.
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  • Saudi Arabia increases imports of Russian fuel oil amid Hormuz crisis‑driven power shortages
  • Russian fuel oil and VGO vessel shipments fell about 6% in May versus April
  • Russian fuel oil exports dropped to roughly 3.2 million tonnes in May
  • The shift reflects Saudi reliance on Russian fuel oil to offset domestic supply cuts
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  • Oil production and exports are climbing under interim leader Delcy Rodriguez
  • President Trump urges major oil firms to invest in Venezuela's near‑failed state
  • Uncertainty remains on whether output can reach historic peak levels
  • As of June 21, gas stations in Crimea will sell fuel only to state agencies
  • The measure follows a severe fuel shortage and a weak tourist season
  • Ukrainian drone strikes continue to disrupt Russian oil and transport infrastructure in the region
  • Restricted sales are expected to tighten regional gasoline supplies and may lift local fuel prices
  • Energy prices show modest upward pressure
  • Market participants anticipate gradual demand growth
  • No major supply disruptions reported

Gold/Metals 15

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  • Faster‑than‑expected Fed rate hike could drive gold down to $3,600/oz (≈55,000 baht per baht weight).
  • YLG sees immediate support at $4,000/oz (≈61,000 baht per baht weight); breach may trigger $3,600 level.
  • Gold has fallen 9.4% ($430) in the past 30 days amid higher oil prices and conflict‑driven risk aversion.
  • Central banks bought a net 244 tonnes of gold in Q1, a 3% YoY increase, supporting long‑term demand.
  • Goldman Sachs cut its 2024 gold forecast by $500/oz, expecting year‑end price near $4,400 if Fed hikes.
+
  • Fed left policy rate unchanged at 3.50%‑3.75% but signaled higher hike risk
  • Gold futures around $4,207/oz; BofA $6,000 target now deemed unlikely
  • Gold could drop to $3,800/oz if 3‑4 Fed hikes occur, per Deutsche Bank
  • Goldman Sachs cut year‑end target to $4,900/oz from $5,400
  • Higher real yields and reduced ETF buying pressure weigh on gold
+
  • Gold (XAU/USD) rose 0.5% to $4,179 after dipping to $4,136 earlier in the session
  • WTI crude fell 2.4% to $73.67 as diplomatic talks eased oil‑price pressure
  • Money markets see a 45% probability of a Fed rate hike at the July 29 meeting
  • Technical outlook remains bearish, with resistance around $4,200‑$4,350 and support near $4,000
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  • Front-month gold futures settled lower at the start of the week
  • Silver futures also fell, mirroring the gold decline
  • Analysts anticipate further downside for both metals in the near term
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  • Gold price flat around $4,190‑$4,200 in early Asian session
  • CME FedWatch shows 89% chance of a Fed rate hike in December, up from 61% last week
  • Progress in US‑Iran peace talks could support gold by influencing oil prices
  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish stance adds downside pressure on gold
+
  • Gold fell in June, erasing recent gains and marking its biggest monthly drop since early 2023
  • Analysts describe the move as a correction, not a sign that the longer‑term uptrend has ended
  • The pullback leaves gold still above the 200‑day moving average, supporting a bullish bias
  • Market participants watch upcoming US inflation data for clues on future price direction
+
  • Silver has slipped about 15% since its March high, approaching a potential bottom
  • The 200‑day moving average sits near $22.50 per ounce, acting as key support
  • RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions that could trigger a rebound
  • Analysts watch for a break above $24.00 as a bullish signal
+
  • Discovered in the early 2000s, Oyu Tolgoi is among the world’s largest copper deposits.
  • Rio Tinto and the Mongolian government have poured over $10 billion into the project.
  • Years of political disputes culminated in a blockade of the mine last week.
  • The mine is listed on ASX, LSE and NYSE under the ticker RIO.
+
  • Guinea prohibits export of unprocessed gold as part of new mining policy
  • President Mamadi Doumbouya aims to develop local refining capacity and add value domestically
  • The export ban could tighten global gold supply and influence spot prices
+
  • Silver is hovering around $67.14 per ounce as of the latest session
  • A close above $67.14 is seen as the trigger to validate a recovery trend
  • Failure to break the $67.14 level would keep bullish momentum in doubt
+
  • Lithium spot price in China dropped almost 10% over the last two trading sessions.
  • The decline follows rumors that a major Chinese mine owned by CATL may resume production.
  • Analysts note the slide could pressure battery manufacturers reliant on Chinese lithium supply.
+
  • Gold is hovering around $2,300 per ounce, close to a key support level.
  • Six consecutive candles have formed a bearish pattern, hinting at further downside.
  • A break below $2,280 could open the path to $2,200, while a bounce above $2,320 may trigger a rally toward $2,400.
  • Technical indicators show mixed momentum, keeping the market outlook uncertain.
+
  • Gold price is currently at a significant technical crossroads.
  • A potential breakout could occur if prices move above $4,235.
  • Conversely, there is a risk of a drop if prices fall below $4,180.
  • These specific price levels are crucial for determining gold's short-term direction.

Crypto 44

+
  • Bitcoin ETF investors have withdrawn billions from funds amid rising market fears
  • May combined exchange volumes fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since September 2024
  • RWA perpetual futures volumes rose 10.4% to a new all‑time high
  • Wall Street firms including BlackRock, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley are expanding tokenization despite weak sentiment
  • The CLARITY Act debate adds regulatory uncertainty; passage could boost markets, delays may trigger short‑term declines
+
  • Acquisition of 250 Digital completed, launching a new "Franklin Crypto" unit led by former 250 Digital executives
  • On‑chain assets under management rose from roughly $768 million to over $2.5 billion in the past year
  • Tokenized assets now exceed $2.5 billion, while the broader on‑chain RWA market grew to $32.2 billion
  • The division will offer actively managed cryptocurrency strategies to institutional investors
+
  • Anchorage Digital introduces platform for banks to issue and manage tokenized deposits
  • Platform enables 24/7 settlement capabilities without core banking overhauls
  • Growing interest in tokenized deposits as alternative to stablecoins
+
  • Attackers stole $400k via fake Google ads impersonating Uniswap decentralized exchange
  • Scammers exploit top search results and sponsored ads to mimic trusted crypto platforms
  • Hardware wallets protect keys but cannot prevent user approval of malicious transactions
+
  • Switzerland-based Enso launched a real-world asset (RWA) application providing access to over 500 tokenized assets.
  • The platform integrates with xStocks, Ondo Finance, and Anchorage Digital's Porto, offering tokenized stocks, ETFs, Treasurys, commodities, and stablecoins.
  • Key assets include major US companies like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Amazon, catering to high European investor demand for US equity exposure and yield-bearing dollar assets.
  • The number of tokenized asset holders increased by 13.4% over 30 days to 930,612, though total tokenized asset value slightly fell by 0.9% in the same period.
  • US Treasury debt remains the largest tokenized asset category with $15 billion onchain value, followed by tokenized commodities ($4.6B) and stocks ($1.6B).
+
  • Strategy acquired 520 Bitcoin for $34.9 million at an average price of $67,068, bringing total holdings to 847,363 BTC.
  • The company increased its USD Reserve by $300 million to $1.4 billion, funded by $335.5 million in MSTR Class A common stock sales.
  • Strategy's cumulative Bitcoin purchases now total $64.1 billion, with an average acquisition cost of $75,651 per BTC.
  • MSTR shares dropped 3.46% to $112.53, and STRC perpetual preferred stock slipped 0.46% to $88.59 at Thursday's close.
+
  • Bitmine purchased 52,203 ETH ($92M) last week, bringing its total holdings to 5.67M ETH, or 4.7% of Ethereum's circulating supply.
  • The firm is 94% towards its goal of owning 5% of ETH supply and plans to continue steady accumulation through 2026.
  • Chairman Tom Lee maintains a bullish long-term view on crypto, believing in 'crypto spring' and foreseeing ETH demand driven by tokenization and AI.
  • Bitmine funds its strategy partly through dividend-paying preferred shares (BMNP) and projects $223M-$268M in annual staking revenue from its 4.72M staked ETH.
+
  • MoneyGram becomes a validator on the Solana blockchain to process and secure transactions.
  • The move supports MoneyGram's stablecoin payments strategy, following the launch of MGUSD on Stellar.
  • MoneyGram joins Solana Developer Platform to help institutions build financial products on the blockchain.
+
  • Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rate jumped to 7%, highest in nearly three weeks
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $228 million net outflows last week, limiting a rally to $70,000
  • Order‑book bids exceeded offers by $12 million, indicating bullish pressure despite weak equities, bonds and gold
  • Brent crude fell to $77.50 per barrel, its lowest since March, supporting the funding rate rise
  • tZERO holds 105 patents across 23 families related to tokenized securities
  • tZERO sent a cease‑and‑desist letter accusing Securitize of infringing its patents
  • Securitize filed a Delaware federal suit seeking a declaratory judgment of non‑infringement
  • Forecasts estimate tokenized assets could reach $5 trillion by 2030 and $18.9 trillion by 2033
+
  • Strive attributes digital credit selloff to leverage liquidations, not credit crisis
  • Underlying credit fundamentals remain intact, according to Strive
  • STRC and SATA prices rebounded after sharp declines, with STRC reaching $90.50 and SATA $98.59
+
  • SharpLink Gaming and Bitmine Immersion Technologies, two of the biggest ETH treasury firms, back Ethlabs.
  • Ethlabs is led by five former Ethereum Foundation researchers focusing on scaling, data availability and protocol economics.
  • Ethereum controls about 53% of the $300 bn stablecoin market and half of the $32 bn tokenized asset market, underscoring institutional interest.
  • The nonprofit will operate independently with external grant oversight and publish all research openly.
+
  • Solana accounted for 95% of tokenized equity volume last week, totalling $1.29 bn.
  • SOL trades over 75% below its $295 all‑time high, hovering around $60 (≈77% decline).
  • On‑chain app revenue hit $21 m weekly, outpacing Ethereum and others.
  • Analysts split on bottom: some see $45‑$60 as accumulation zone, others await a move above $90 for confirmation.
+
  • Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo will co-chair a joint venture between crypto exchange OKX and ICE.
  • The partnership aims to build infrastructure for tokenized and digitally native financial products and give OKX users access to ICE futures and NYSE tokenized equities.
  • The venture is subject to regulatory approval; ICE previously invested at a $25 billion valuation and pledged $2 billion to Polymarket.
+
  • Bitcoin has closed above $63,000 for three consecutive weeks, holding near a key support zone.
  • Futures open interest fell 19.5% to $20.9 billion since early June, while funding rates dropped to 0.02% from 0.1%.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETF outflows slowed to $540 million over the past two weeks, down from $5.5 billion the prior month.
  • Long-term holder realized supply reached 12.42 million BTC, the highest level linked to supply maturation.
  • Bitcoin's sales pressure metric has been inactive for 1,256 consecutive days, the longest on record.
+
  • Hsiao-Wei Wang steps down as co-executive director, marking at least eight senior departures over the past five months
  • The Foundation introduced the "CROPS" strategic framework (cypherpunk values, resilience, open-source, permissionlessness, security)
  • Critics label the talent exodus bearish for Ethereum, while supporters see it as a move toward broader decentralization
  • Crypto exchange volumes fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion in May, the lowest level since September 2024
  • Crypto advocacy groups urged the House Ways and Means Committee to advance the Tax Clarity for Mining and Staking Act
  • Bill sponsored by Rep. Mike Carey would let miners and staking reward recipients defer income recognition until assets are sold
  • Industry argues the proposal does not allow unlimited deferral, countering critics' concerns
  • May crypto exchange volumes fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since September 2024
+
  • Bitcoin broke $65,500, its highest level since Wednesday.
  • Traders target a near‑term upside toward $70,000, with $67,000 as next resistance.
  • WTI crude fell to about $73 per barrel, near a 16‑week low after the Iran deal.
  • BTC liquidations reached $2.5 billion over the past seven days.
  • Fomo secured $75 million in Series B funding, valuing the company at $550 million.
  • Platform has over 625,000 traders and generated $4 billion in trading volume in its first year.
  • More than 68,000 users made their first crypto purchase on Fomo, totaling about $25 million in transaction volume.
  • Crypto venture funding in Q2 2026 reached $4.1 billion across 147 rounds, per RootData.
+
  • Joint venture led by Andrew Cuomo to bridge OKX’s 120M users with ICE futures and NYSE tokenized equities
  • Project aims to operate as a U.S.-registered broker-dealer and futures commission merchant pending regulatory approval
  • Follows ICE’s $25B strategic investment in OKX and broader push into digital assets including Bakkt and Polymarket
+
  • Nikkei investigation found a Chinese organization exporting fentanyl precursors also ran a large-scale crypto fraud scheme
  • The illicit operations were coordinated through a base in Japan, involving U.S.-sanctioned entities
  • Authorities warn of the convergence of drug trafficking and digital asset money‑laundering risks
  • Tokenization can improve settlement but banks lack integrated infrastructure for blockchain assets.
  • Key operational gaps include books‑and‑records, compliance workflows, and risk‑management frameworks.
  • Scaling to U.S. capital‑market volumes is a hurdle; $1 billion is negligible versus traditional financial flows.
  • Adoption will be slow as institutions complete cloud migrations and adapt or rebuild software.
  • Polymarket paid dozens of social media users to film fake bets for a promotion.
  • Influencers posted 145 staged bets between January and May, including a fabricated $100,000 win.
  • The platform created replica sites and concealed payments, according to a Wall Street Journal investigation.

Geopolitics 42

  • China imposes export controls on 10 US rare earth companies
  • US-China truce tested as tit-for-tat moves return
  • Escalation marks significant move since October's Busan agreement
  • Starmer announced his resignation on 22 June 2026, ending a two‑year tenure
  • Resignation follows internal party pressure and criticism over recent policy reversals
  • Polls show declining support for Starmer within the Labour Party ahead of the next election
  • US and Iran held 18 hours of talks in Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan
  • Technical teams are now taking negotiations forward
  • Qatar PM said the talks laid groundwork for a final agreement
  • Iran agrees to invite IAEA inspectors back into the country
  • US-Iran talks make progress towards ending Middle East war
  • IAEA inspectors' return seen as major milestone
  • Rep. Ro Khanna challenges Elon Musk to a televised debate on the impact of DOGE's cuts
  • The debate would focus on wealth tax and potential deaths caused by USAID's shutdown
  • Khanna cites a study claiming 4.5 million children may die due to USAID's closure
  • UK Labour leader Keir Starmer announced his resignation as prime minister.
  • President Trump accused Starmer of hurting UK‑US relations and mishandling immigration.
  • Trump claimed Starmer failed to exploit North Sea oil and promoted excessive wind power.
  • US strike on oil tanker in Gulf of Oman killed three Indian sailors, raising US‑India friction.
  • Quad (US, Japan, Australia, India) seeks to dilute China’s control over critical minerals.
  • Persistent US‑India rift could slow the Quad’s coordinated mineral diversification efforts.
  • Success would broaden supply sources for rare‑earths and other strategic minerals.
  • US Vice President JD Vance and Qatar's prime minister met Lebanese President Joseph Aoun to set up a deconfliction cell aimed at enforcing a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah.
  • Iran has tied any US‑Iran peace deal to ending the Lebanon conflict, with its foreign minister calling the deconfliction cell a key test.
  • UNIFIL reported no air strikes on Sunday, suggesting a tentative calm after the March 2 escalation that caused $1.38 bn in building damage and over 4,100 deaths.
  • Lebanon and Israel are scheduled to resume direct talks in Washington on Tuesday, while Hezbollah demands a full Israeli withdrawal.
  • No actual deal signed between US and Iran, despite reports
  • 14-point Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) sets 60-day negotiation window
  • All 14 points in MoU up for renegotiation, according to Iran
  • Tajikistan requested extradition of 18 Austrian-based refugees, alleging terrorism ties to opposition groups
  • Charges rely on protest footage and YouTube videos, with no violence or plot alleged
  • Tajik secret police (GKNB) tracked refugees via diaspora surveillance networks in Europe
  • Austria forwarded dossier despite acknowledging risk of political persecution
  • Austria previously extradited Tajik asylum seeker in 2020, raising concerns over refugee safety
  • China says Japanese warplanes and ships conducted at least four close-range encounters with its Liaoning carrier group.
  • The Liaoning carrier group warned off the Japanese vessels and surveillance aircraft during live‑fire exercises.
  • The incidents occurred as Japan’s carrier strike group operated in the western Pacific, heightening regional tensions.
  • Trump said he cannot assure Iranian oil profits won't fund its military, but expects the money to purchase US corn and soybeans
  • Treasury Secretary authorized import of Iranian oil and refined products into the US through at least August
  • Iran's central bank governor said there is no obligation to buy US agricultural products, purchases will depend on price and quality
  • US Navy lifted blockade of Iran's ports, ending a restriction that had sharply cut Iranian oil exports since April
  • Police officer, a civilian and the suspected gunman died in a shooting in Montreal's Jewish neighbourhood
  • Video footage shows the gunman firing toward police officers
  • Authorities have not yet determined a motive for the attack
  • Japan highlighted its defence outreach at the Shangri‑La Dialogue in Singapore on May 31.
  • China’s defence minister skipped the forum for the second consecutive year, creating a diplomatic vacuum.
  • Defence Minister Shinjiro Koizumi rejected Beijing’s "new militarism" claim and warned of China’s expanding military capabilities.
  • Trump warned he will take unspecified action if Iran fails to honor the interim agreement
  • The interim US‑Iran deal was signed last week after recent attacks by both sides
  • The statement raises concerns of renewed Middle East tensions
  • PM Peter Magyar announced "Operation Cleansing Fire" to overhaul the constitution, judiciary and presidency
  • Government aims to unlock €16.4 billion of EU funds frozen over rule‑of‑law concerns by August
  • Proposed reforms include removing President Tamás Sulyok, setting a 70‑year age cap for Constitutional Court judges, and limiting lawmakers to 12‑year terms
  • Anti‑corruption office to be created, citing corruption costing 8‑10 % of Hungary's GDP
+
  • US and Iran disagree on interpretation of the June 17 ceasefire framework, especially control of the Strait of Hormuz
  • Washington claims total command of the strait, while Tehran describes it as a shared communication line
  • Both sides clash over unfrozen Iranian funds, with Iran saying they can purchase non‑sanctioned goods
  • The agreement includes a de‑confliction line for ship passage and a pledge to respect Lebanon's territorial integrity, but tensions remain
  • UN Committee on the Rights of the Child says Palestinian children are “increasingly unprotected” due to NGO restrictions.
  • Israeli authorities have labeled many aid groups as “terrorists” and imposed travel bans, financial sanctions and raids.
  • Doctors Without Borders was banned after refusing to provide a list of Palestinian staff; 17 aid groups petitioned Israel’s Supreme Court in February.
  • The UN urges the international community to hold Israel accountable and lift restrictions on humanitarian workers.
  • Crypto-aligned PACs disclosed $8.1 million in media spending for primary races in NY, MD and UT.
  • Protect Progress PAC allocated $5.5 million to Maryland’s 5th district and $1.4 million to New York’s 15th district.
  • Defend American Jobs spent $400,000 supporting Republican Blake Moore in Utah’s 2nd district.
  • The Fellowship PAC contributed $300,000 to Ritchie Torres’s New York campaign; future focus may shift to Colorado and Arizona primaries.
  • US State Department says RSF is massing forces around el-Obeid and warns of mass atrocities
  • UN says 500,000 civilians are at risk and 50 civilians have been killed in drone strikes over 10 days
  • Conflict since April 2023 has killed tens of thousands and displaced millions in Sudan
  • China’s foreign ministry congratulated Colombia on its runoff election results
  • Abelardo de la Espriella, a far‑right lawyer backed by former U.S. President Trump, is president‑elect
  • Preliminary counts show de la Espriella narrowly ahead of leftist rival Ivan Cepeda
  • Beijing pledged cooperation with the new government despite its pro‑U.S. tilt
  • Primary on June 25 will pick House candidates, influencing which party controls the US House of Representatives
  • Early voting ran June 13‑21; polls open at 6 am and close at 9 pm GMT on primary day
  • Progressive Brad Lander leads incumbent Dan Goldman in NY‑10, with Israel policy as a key battleground issue
  • DSA‑backed Darializa Avila Chevalier challenges long‑time incumbent Adriano Espaillat in NY‑13
  • Outcomes in swing districts such as Long Island and the Hudson Valley could tip the congressional majority
  • High Court ruled Health Minister Aden Duale in contempt for ignoring orders to halt construction of a US Ebola quarantine facility.
  • The site at Laikipia Air Base near Nanyuki was to house US nationals exposed to Ebola from DRC and Uganda, sparking protests.
  • Contempt penalties carry up to 200,000 Kenyan shillings ($1,500) fine and/or six months imprisonment; Duale faces sentencing.
  • Kenya has recorded zero Ebola cases, while the outbreak in DRC has 896 cases and 232 deaths; Uganda reports 19 cases.
  • President William Ruto approved the project, citing a $13.5 million US preparedness contribution.
  • Taliban approved a new 4,000-person Hebati Unit dedicated to Afghanistan’s side of the Durand Line
  • Unit is organized into four 1,000-member formations and headquartered at Kandahar International Airport
  • Commanded by Mullah Hamidullah Musafir, a senior battlefield commander previously leading operations against AFF and NRF
  • Creation reflects Taliban’s view of the Afghanistan‑Pakistan frontier as an active military theater amid Pakistan’s intensified cross‑border strikes
  • The move follows recent Pakistani airstrikes in Nangarhar, Khost and Paktika targeting militant networks
  • Law amendment ends direct elections for district and city akims, appointing them via regional akims with maslikhat consent
  • 2021 village akim elections had 85% winners from ruling party; 2023 pilot elections saw 82% Amanat victories
  • Direct elections will continue only for village akims; all district and city akims now appointed
  • Kazakhstan's 39 cities of regional significance are affected by the reversal
  • Independent committee rules out statutory powers to compel witness testimony
  • Survivors concerned key figures may avoid scrutiny
  • Investigation into Wang Fuk Court blaze resumes after six-week pause
  • Crimean authorities suspend summer camps and tourist activities until September 1 due to fuel shortages
  • Ukrainian strikes on sea routes and northern supply roads disrupt fuel and product deliveries to Crimea
  • Fuel availability in Russia impacted as third-largest oil producer faces supply disruptions
  • Europe's defence sector will gradually lower its dependence on China rather than fully decouple.
  • G7 leaders signed a declaration to secure supply chains for critical minerals, targeting a single non‑European supplier.
  • The move is part of a broader European rearmament drive to diversify military supply sources.
  • Trial of prominent politicians and former government officials charged with coup attempt and abuse of office closed to public
  • Prosecutors cited 'secret witnesses' as reason for closure, despite defendants' initial request for maximum transparency
  • Former head of State Committee for National Security, Kamchybek Tashiev, shouted at witness and leaked video of interrogation sparked controversy
  • Vice-President J.D. Vance proposed Iran use unlocked funds to purchase US agricultural products.
  • The plan aims to feed Iran's population and enrich American farmers.
  • Vance credited Jared Kushner with the idea, labeling it a 'classic Trump deal'.
  • The White House is actively seeking new export markets beyond China.
  • Canada will deploy HMCS Ottawa, HMCS Regina and submarine HMCS Corner Brook to RIMPAC from Wednesday through July 31.
  • RIMPAC, the world’s largest multinational naval drill, expects participation of over 25,000 personnel from 31 countries.
  • The deployment is viewed as a demonstration of Canada’s Indo‑Pacific seriousness and a rebuttal to U.S. claims of “freeriding.”
  • Summer Davos in Dalian will host over 1,700 leaders to discuss AI, trade and jobs
  • BRICS national security advisers meet in New Delhi, with Chinese FM Wang Yi attending
  • Thailand's monetary policy committee will decide whether to keep the policy rate at 1.0% amid inflation concerns
  • Bangkok governor election on Sunday, incumbent Chadchart Sittipunt favored at about 60% in recent poll
  • On June 22, 2026, a protester approached the Israeli Embassy in Tokyo and shouted “Stop the genocide.”
  • Police surrounded and detained the activist before he could enter the embassy premises.
  • The protest references Israel’s ongoing war in Gaza, reflecting heightened tensions in Japan.
  • Israel's war has devastated Gaza's once-active surf community.
  • A small group of resilient surfers still chase waves along the Gaza coast.
  • They operate under constant threat of Israeli military targeting.

Tech/AI 29

  • Five Eyes alliance says frontier AI models could enhance offensive hacking within months
  • Officials cite Anthropic's Mythos and OpenAI's GPT-5.5-Cyber as emerging threats
  • U.S. CISA shortens vulnerability remediation deadline to three days amid AI-driven risk
  • Anthropic disabled a Mythos version after U.S. ordered suspension for foreign nationals
+
  • Alphabet's market value could fall by roughly $225 billion amid AI talent worries
  • Two top AI researchers, including a Nobel laureate, plan to leave Google for rival labs
  • Investors view the talent outflow as a sign Google is losing the AI race, pushing shares lower
  • Anthropic warned about AI risks 5 times more often than OpenAI in 2026
  • US barred foreign nationals from using Anthropic's Mythos and Fable models
  • Critics accuse Anthropic of triggering the export ban with its warnings
  • Google DeepMind and independent studio A24 will collaborate on AI-driven creative workflows
  • A24 will gain access to DeepMind's research, infrastructure and global reach
  • Alphabet has already invested $75 million in A24, though the AI deal has no disclosed financial terms
  • The partnership emphasizes creator control with no IP or data‑training rights transferred
+
  • Analysts view Alphabet (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) as lower‑risk AI investments compared with pure‑play startups.
  • Smart‑money funds have increased exposure to these big‑tech AI stocks over the past quarter.
  • The AI race is now split between established cloud providers and emerging specialist firms like OpenAI.
  • Expect continued capital inflows to Alphabet and Microsoft as they expand AI services and cloud offerings.
  • Committee leaders announced a bipartisan deal to require social‑media safeguards for children and parents.
  • The agreement omits a "duty of care" provision, leaving that issue for future Senate consideration.
  • States may still pass stricter child‑protection laws; over 20 states enacted such measures last year.
  • Major platforms including Meta, TikTok, YouTube and Snap were not given comment on the deal.
+
  • Britain may mandate platforms like Meta, YouTube and TikTok to surface public‑service news in feeds and searches
  • The proposal follows a recent ban on under‑16s accessing most social media and aims to curb misinformation
  • Ofcom data shows 40% of UK adults encountered online misinformation in a month, with most users getting news from social media
  • Ministers also plan to extend public‑service status to online‑only providers and consider internet‑based TV from 2034‑2044
  • NASA OIG report says Kennedy Space Center's launch facilities are aging and lack capacity for growing demand
  • Increased launch cadence from SpaceX's Starship and Blue Origin's New Glenn could stress existing infrastructure
  • Report also reviews Wallops Flight Facility but highlights KSC as critical bottleneck for future super‑heavy missions
+
  • IBM joined OpenAI's Daybreak Cyber Partner Program to integrate AI into security workflows
  • New application security service uses OpenAI models to accelerate vulnerability detection
  • IBM shares rose 3.6% in after‑hours trading after the announcement
  • Project Lightwell, backed by a $5 billion IBM/Red Hat commitment, will employ frontier AI for code review
  • Cherny confirms AI loops are a genuine step, not just hype
  • One agent refactors code architecture while another merges duplicate abstractions, continuously submitting pull requests
  • Loops consume tokens rapidly, making costs high for firms without token‑selling models
  • The method relies on unlimited compute, iterating until a performance threshold is reached
  • China conducts more clinical drug trials than the US, according to the Cure Innovation Index survey.
  • The US is seen as the clear leader in scaling experimental biotech products, capital access and commercialisation.
  • China leads in clinical development and supply‑chain capabilities but lags in commercial reach and quality.
  • U.S. District Judge rejected Workday's motions to dismiss the class-action over AI bias claims.
  • Plaintiffs allege the software discriminates against disabled, Black, women, and applicants over 40; Asian‑American claim was dismissed.
  • The suit is the first broad case targeting algorithmic hiring tools, potentially shaping future litigation.
  • FAA signs 12‑year, $875 million contract with Air Space Intelligence to revamp flight scheduling.
  • New SMART system will use data on airline schedules, weather and airport capacity to predict traffic flows and reduce congestion.
  • FAA faces rising demand, runway construction, severe weather and controller shortages; recent flight cuts at O’Hare, Newark and other NY airports.
  • Congress previously allocated $12.5 billion for air traffic control tech upgrades and seeks an additional $10 billion.
  • Paradigm Shift disclosed "usbliter8", a Boot ROM vulnerability affecting Apple A12 and A13 chips used in iPhone XS, XR through iPhone 11
  • The exploit requires physical access to the device and can bypass the first security check, potentially enabling a jailbreak
  • Because the flaw resides in immutable chip code, Apple cannot patch it; mitigation is limited to upgrading to newer hardware
  • Anthropic will ask a small subset of Claude users to upload government-issued ID and selfie for age/identity verification, effective July 8.
  • Verification applies when accounts are flagged for potential fraud, not for outright bans; only a “small subset” of its tens of millions of monthly users is affected.
  • The policy uses Persona (backed by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund) to process documents; data retention details were not disclosed, raising privacy concerns.
  • Move comes amid regulatory pressure and a standoff with the Trump administration over AI tool access and a DoD “supply chain risk” designation.
+
  • Cerebras (CRSR) down ~30% since IPO; options imply ~11.5% move after earnings report
  • Micron (MU) implied volatility at 116, highest in S&P 500, with traders eyeing a ~10% swing
  • Micron added ~6% on Monday, up 280% YTD; a $61 million 430‑strike call was the largest single contract
  • Super Micro Computer (SMCI) up 16% after announcing Nvidia‑based data‑center blueprint; call volume >320k vs 64k puts
  • Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM) saw 34,000 call sells versus just under 20,000 call buys, indicating mixed positioning
+
  • Amazon invited select Indian users to test Hindi-language Alexa+ beta, with responses due by June 22
  • Alexa+ currently available only in the U.S.; rollout has expanded to UK, Canada, Brazil, Mexico, Italy, and Germany
  • Hindi support targets over 600 million speakers in India, aiming to capture code‑mixed voice interactions
  • Alexa+ remains a paid add‑on for Prime members, with a subscription option for non‑Prime users
  • Reflection AI will pay $150 million each month from July 2026 through 2029 for Nvidia GB300 AI chips at SpaceX’s Colossus 2 data center
  • The contract totals up to $6.3 billion, with a 90‑day termination option after the first three months
  • Deal size is smaller than SpaceX’s existing agreements with Anthropic ($1.25 billion/month) and Google ($920 million/month)
  • SpaceX is monetizing its Colossus 2 center, originally built by xAI, by renting compute to external AI labs
+
  • Instagram is exploring longer-form videos, episodic series, and live creator experiences for its TV app.
  • The TV app is rolling out to Samsung TVs, adding to existing availability on Amazon Fire and Google TV.
  • New features include tailored channels, phone casting for Reels and saved content, and support for horizontal videos.
  • Meta is also testing a 'Series' feature for Reels to better manage serialized content on Instagram and Facebook.
  • The move aims to capture living room viewership, positioning Instagram against streaming services like Netflix and Amazon Prime Video.
  • Early Bird pricing available until June 26 for TechCrunch Founder Summit 2026
  • Save up to $190 on passes or 30% with group discounts for teams of four or more
  • 1,000+ founders and investors to attend the event on November 4 in Boston
+
  • Nvidia's valuation grew from $300 bn to over $4 trillion in about 2.5 years
  • A $10,000 stake in Nvidia at the start of 2023 would be worth more than $130,000 today
  • AI compute demand has surged while high‑end chip supply lags, leaving Nvidia as the sole provider
  • The AI arms race is increasingly framed around electricity availability rather than pure technology
  • Top five Japanese chipmaking equipment firms saw combined sales to China fall 10% YoY for FY ended March 31
  • First annual decline in China sales for these manufacturers
  • Drop linked to Beijing's push to develop domestic chip equipment industry
  • Potential pressure on Japanese exporters as China accelerates self‑reliance
  • Toto will allocate 80 billion yen (≈$495 million) over the next five years.
  • Investment targets semiconductor materials for next‑generation 1‑nanometer chips.
  • Expansion aims to capture growing AI‑driven demand for advanced semiconductors.
  • Meta will halt the Model Capability Initiative (MCI) that records mouse movements, clicks and keystrokes of U.S. employees.
  • The pause follows a high‑priority SEV report revealing unencrypted storage of sensitive employee data.
  • Exposed data included prompts, private conversations, tax and medical information for thousands of staff.
  • The program, launched in April, remains active for some users as the shutdown is rolled out.
  • Tim Ferriss forecasts an 80% drop in his book sales by 2026 compared with 2022
  • Publisher's Weekly reports a 26.3% decline in self-help book sales in Q1 2024 versus Q1 2025
  • NielsenIQ shows UK self-help sales have fallen from 2022 peaks but stay above 2015 levels
  • Publishers note a shift toward AI-generated summaries and coaching apps over traditional bullet-point books
  • Steam Machine launches June 29 with reservation-based sales
  • Two models: 512 GB storage at $1,049 and 2 TB at $1,349; optional Steam Controller $79
  • Powered by AMD Zen 4 six‑core CPU (4.8 GHz) and integrated RDNA 3 GPU with 28 CUs and 8 GB DDR6 VRAM
  • Includes 16 GB DDR5 RAM and runs Linux‑based SteamOS
  • Initial availability may be limited, potentially delaying purchases
+
  • One fatality: elderly Texas woman killed when a Tesla Model 3 hit her home
  • Driver Michael Butler said Autopilot was engaged; authorities are investigating its role
  • Butler was not intoxicated, was traveling at high speed, left his lane and struck the residence
  • US Space Force launches small satellite from New Zealand
  • Mission aimed at testing rapid response to crisis in low-Earth orbit
  • Launch was barely announced in advance, with no livestream provided

Companies 43

+
  • Plans to raise up to $1.62 bn by selling 58 million shares at $26‑$28 each
  • Would value the company at roughly $19 bn, with about 60% of shares from the company itself
  • IPO expected in early July on Nasdaq Global Select under ticker "BSP"
  • Would be one of the largest European IPOs of 2024
  • US IPO market this year has raised $150 bn across 179 offerings
+
  • Lucid Motors lays off 18% of its workforce, approximately 1,500 workers.
  • Second major layoff of the year, following a 12% reduction in February.
  • Company aims to reach profitability with smaller, cheaper models sold in higher volumes.
+
  • Alphabet stock fell about 5% on Monday, its steepest drop since a 7% decline in May 2025
  • Key AI leaders Noam Shazeer (to OpenAI) and John Jumper (to Anthropic) exited the company
  • Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella warned AI market is becoming commoditized, adding pressure on margins
  • Alphabet has raised $141 billion in debt and equity since October to fund AI initiatives
  • User-reported outages on Gmail and YouTube occurred the same day
+
  • SpaceX stock dropped 16% on Monday, extending a three‑day selloff.
  • Shares have fallen nearly 24% over the past three trading days since the IPO.
  • IPO opened at $150 per share with a set price of $135; market cap briefly topped Amazon and Microsoft.
  • Company announced a senior unsecured notes offering and reported $100.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents as of June 19.
  • SpaceX posted a $4.9 billion net loss for 2025 and a $4.28 billion loss in the first quarter of 2024.
+
  • Micron shares have risen more than 300% year‑to‑date, reaching a record high.
  • FactSet consensus Q3 EPS estimate is $20.42, while BofA buyside whisper suggests $22.17.
  • Analyst price targets rise: Needham to $1,550, Bernstein to $1,300, Morgan Stanley base $1,050 with bull case $1,650.
  • Tight DRAM and NAND supply and AI inference demand are cited as key demand drivers.
  • Goldman Sachs remains cautious with a $900 target despite EPS estimate of $22.07.
+
  • Writing Ford July 24th expiration $13.50 strike put at $0.45 premium offers 3.3% yield over 35 days
  • Annualized return of 36% with a margin of safety on a premier industrial giant
  • Potential EBIT lift of up to $1.8 billion from high-margin commercial fleet and heavy-duty truck segment
+
  • Hackers stole data from Klue's corporate customers, including major cybersecurity firms.
  • Icarus cybercrime group took credit for the breach, threatening to publish stolen data.
  • Klue has not disclosed the number of affected customers, but several companies have confirmed data theft.
  • SpaceX raised $75 bn in its initial public offering, the biggest on record
  • The IPO debuted on Nasdaq on June 12, 2024
  • Analysts view the offering as the opening salvo in a race for tech‑sector capital
  • ByteDance has postponed its planned public listing.
  • Company valuation is nearing the $1 trillion mark.
  • Move comes amid signs of resilience in the Chinese economy.
  • Analysts note rising bullish sentiment for Chinese equities.
+
  • NHTSA opened a probe into a June 19 Tesla Model 3 crash that killed a 76‑year‑old woman in Katy, Texas.
  • The investigation adds to nearly 50 special crash probes since 2016 involving Tesla’s Autopilot, with about two dozen deaths reported.
  • Tesla says the driver manually overrode the system and accelerated to 73 mph before the impact, while NHTSA’s broader FSD probe covers 3.2 million vehicles.
  • An earlier October probe targets 2.88 million Tesla vehicles over 50 traffic‑safety violation reports.
+
  • Micron will supply memory and storage products to Anthropic for AI workloads.
  • Micron is making a strategic investment in Anthropic's Series H funding round; terms undisclosed.
  • The deal underscores rising demand for high‑bandwidth memory in data‑center AI model training.
  • Anthropic, valued at $965 billion after a $65 billion Series H, is preparing for a U.S. IPO.
+
  • Shareholders filed a derivative lawsuit accusing Uber's board of ignoring compliance warnings and breaching fiduciary duties
  • Uber faces 3,571 driver‑related sexual misconduct lawsuits as of June 1
  • Shares have dropped more than 25% since the September peak
  • CEO Dara Khosrowshahi is named as a defendant in the suit
+
  • Meta appoints Kunal Shah as WhatsApp CEO, succeeding Will Cathcart after 7 years
  • Meta leads $900M funding round in Indian fintech CRED, valuing it at ~$4.5B post-money
  • India remains WhatsApp’s largest market with 500M+ users, key for Meta’s payments/commerce expansion
+
  • Qualcomm is in advanced discussions to buy Modular Inc for about $4 billion.
  • Modular was valued at $1.6 billion nine months ago, implying a roughly 150% premium.
  • Modular has raised $380 million total, including a $250 million round in September.
  • The deal could be announced in the coming weeks, though terms may still change.
  • Qualcomm is also in talks to acquire Tenstorrent, valued at $8‑10 billion.
+
  • GM installed about 50 FANUC robot arms at its Factory Zero EV plant in Detroit.
  • The rollout follows a layoff of 1,300 workers, with over 1,000 still out indefinitely.
  • UAW leaders condemned the automation, urging GM to recall workers instead of expanding robotics.
  • The development underscores rising tension between automation and labor in the auto industry.
+
  • Caterpillar's share price broke the $1,000 threshold, becoming one of only two Dow stocks above that level.
  • The company is the hottest Dow component this year, outpacing peers in price gains.
  • An AI-fueled industrials rally is driving broader Wall Street gains, with Caterpillar leading the surge.
+
  • Amazon Prime: same-day delivery, Prime Video streaming, exclusive deals, free grocery delivery, and more ($139/year or $14.99/month)
  • Target Circle 360: same-day delivery, free two-day shipping, extended returns, and exclusive deals ($99/year or $10.99/month)
  • Both memberships offer discounts and perks, but Amazon Prime has more benefits and a higher cost
+
  • SpaceX intends to sell at least $20 billion in bonds.
  • SpaceX shares fell 16% following the bond announcement.
  • Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.3% while the Dow Jones rose 0.3%.
+
  • Super Micro shares lead S&P 500 gainers on the day
  • Stock records its strongest performance in the past 12 months
  • Rise linked to a strategic partnership with Nvidia
+
  • Salesforce stock fell for the 14th consecutive trading day
  • Investors remain unconvinced by the company's AI momentum
  • No major corporate news or earnings announcements accompanied the decline
  • Analysts warn the prolonged sell‑off could pressure the stock further
+
  • Workforce fell to 141,000 from 162,000, a 13% reduction (~21,000 jobs).
  • Severance and exit costs rose to $1.84 billion, up from $374 million a year earlier.
  • Shares are down roughly 10% YTD as Oracle plans $40 billion of new debt and equity financing.
  • Oracle targets $70 billion of capital expenditures this fiscal year, including a $20 billion stock issuance.
  • SpaceX disclosed $100.8 billion in cash on its balance sheet.
  • The company is planning a senior unsecured notes sale, targeting roughly $20 billion in proceeds.
  • Shares fell 16% following the bond offering announcement, marking a third consecutive losing session.
  • The bond issuance follows SpaceX’s recent IPO that raised about $86 billion including the greenshoe.
  • Groq raised $650 million in a new funding round led by Disruptive and Infinitum.
  • The raise follows Nvidia’s $20 billion licensing agreement and talent poach earlier this year.
  • Groq pivots to its neocloud business, now operating 13 data centers across four regions.
  • New executives added: Alan Rice as COO, Sinclair Schuller as CTO, and Rakesh Malhotra as CPO.
  • Company last valued at $6.9 billion after a $750 million round in September.
+
  • Prime Day runs June 23‑26, with an extra 10% off grocery items for Prime members
  • Emarketer projects U.S. Prime Day sales to reach $15.6 billion, up 7.1% YoY and covering >60% of U.S. retail sales during the four days
  • 55% of U.S. consumers plan to shop this year, up from 45% last year; 66% expect to spend the same or more
  • Amazon targets grocery and everyday essentials to deepen Prime member engagement amid 4.2% YoY CPI inflation in May
  • Analysts forecast Alexa for Shopping could add $20 billion in incremental retail profit by 2035; BofA maintains a buy rating with $310 target
  • Nvidia's closed-loop coolant can cut on-site water use by up to 100% in favorable climates
  • The system tackles only about 25‑33% of total data center water footprint, as most use occurs outside the facility
  • Fossil‑fuel power plants, supplying ~50% of data‑center electricity, consume 1.2‑2.7 L of water per kWh
  • Wind and solar use less than 0.03 L per kWh, yet are projected to provide under 40% of new data‑center power through 2030
  • Hacker forum claims to have 630 GB of data and over 204,300 files from Tata Electronics.
  • Stolen data includes Outlook emails, SAP information and documents linked to Apple and Tesla customers.
  • Company says operations remain unaffected, but a ransom demand was reported.
  • Apple is investigating the incident; Tata notified some iPhone assembly employees.
+
  • Reflection will pay SpaceX $150 million per month starting July 2026, totalling about $6.3 billion through 2029
  • Deal grants Reflection access to Nvidia GB300 AI chips at SpaceX's Colossus 2 data centre
  • Both parties can terminate the contract with 90‑day notice after the first three months
  • SpaceX shares fell roughly 10.6% in afternoon trading following the announcement
+
  • New drilling in the Island West Extension Zone uncovered several high-grade intersections.
  • Hole MX26-031 identified as a key high-grade target within the zone.
  • The results are expected to enhance resource estimates for the northern Ontario mine.
  • Alamos Gold (AGI) plans to update its reserve model later this year.
+
  • Shareholder support for Executive Chairman Brian Cornell fell to 87.2% at the AGM, a 4‑point drop from a year ago and below the S&P 500 average of 96.6%.
  • The 87.2% vote marks the lowest support level for Cornell since joining the board in 2014 and is deemed “very poor” by proxy‑voting standards.
  • New CEO Michael Fiddelke was re‑elected with 99% approval, and Target reported a 5.6% comparable‑sales increase in Q1, its first positive in five quarters.
  • Target's share price is up about 33% YTD but remains roughly 50% below its 2021 peak, reflecting ongoing investor concerns.
+
  • RWE plans a $4.75 billion capital raise by issuing about 74.4 million new shares.
  • The new shares will be sold to institutional investors through an accelerated bookbuild.
  • Proceeds are earmarked to increase RWE's ownership stake in transmission operator Amprion.
+
  • Lucid plans to reduce its U.S. staff by roughly 18%, affecting full‑time, contractors and hourly workers.
  • The cuts aim to generate about $158 million of annualized cost savings.
  • The company expects a one‑time cash charge of around $32 million for severance and transition costs.
  • COO Marc Winterhoff departs immediately as the role is removed; second‑shift production at the Arizona plant will be ended.
  • Lucid previously cut 12% of its U.S. workforce in February and has suspended guidance amid inventory concerns.
  • HK, Fujian sign 6 deals to boost finance, trade, tourism, education
  • 28 collaborative projects across 11 areas, including aviation and shipping
  • HK encourages Fujian businesses to list on HK bourse for overseas expansion
  • Early-stage investor Seedcamp raised $320 million for its latest funds, its largest to date.
  • The capital is split: $220 million for early-stage Seedcamp VII and $100 million for growth-stage Select fund.
  • The firm plans to expand its US presence, growing its team in New York City and Miami to connect European portfolio companies with US customers and investors.
  • Seedcamp VII will invest approximately $1 million as a first check in 100-120 startups, while Select will invest $3-5 million in Series B and later rounds.
  • Seedcamp will continue its thesis of investing in pre-product/revenue startups, avoiding capital-intensive businesses.
+
  • One year after Nippon Steel's acquisition, U.S. Steel began contributing to the parent company's profits.
  • CEO David Britt says the 'golden share' structure will not impede ongoing reform and cost‑improvement initiatives.
  • Reform efforts are gaining traction with solidified worker support and continued cost‑cutting measures.
+
  • First Carolina Financial Services is now listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • The company will trade under the ticker symbol FCBM.
  • The listing adds a new financial services firm to NYSE's roster.
  • Ambitious Entertainment filed for an IPO seeking $20 million in proceeds.
  • The capital raise will be used to fund new content production.
  • The filing marks the company's first public offering.
  • IPO size targets a modest $20 million, indicating a focused capital raise.
  • OTB Hospitality announced Chapter 7 liquidation filing.
  • All company-owned locations have been closed.
  • Franchised restaurants continue operating and are excluded from the bankruptcy.
+
  • AMD restores Transparent Secure Memory Encryption (TSME) to consumer Ryzen CPUs
  • TSME protects against cold‑boot and other physical memory attacks after being removed silently
  • Reinstatement follows user and security‑expert backlash demanding the feature
+
  • Newmont's Red Chris mine in BC receives regulatory approvals for underground expansion
  • Transition from open-pit to underground operation expected to increase efficiency and reduce costs
  • No specific timeline or production targets mentioned in the announcement
  • Morgan Stanley is weighing a $1.33 billion office‑building acquisition in Dallas.
  • The deal would mark the bank’s latest move to expand its Texas footprint.
  • If completed, Morgan Stanley would join several other financial firms that have recently opened or enlarged Texas operations.
  • The project remains under consideration and has not yet been approved.
  • Industrious will operate its Gaysorn Tower and Park Silom sites in Bangkok under the Industrious brand starting July 1, 2026.
  • The two locations total 72,000 sq ft, serve 1,000 members across 200+ companies, and will join a network of 250+ workspaces in 80+ cities.
  • Industrious aims to grow its global portfolio by 58% since 2025 and plans to open 60+ new locations in 2026, with APAC expansion over 50% and three new Singapore sites.
  • The rebrand follows CBRE’s full acquisition of Industrious in 2025 and reflects a broader APAC unification strategy.
+
  • Gladiator Metals secured more than $35 million (US$24.7 million) via a private placement.
  • Funding will be used to drill the Whitehorse copper project in Yukon.
  • Placement was led by BlackRock and includes participation from existing shareholders.
  • Japan's vending-machine market is shrinking, with unit counts falling year-on-year.
  • A leading operator, a Suntory Beverage unit, is adding new machines targeting pop-idol and anime superfans.
  • The rollout includes custom acrylic "Tag-Live!" cards featuring favorite idols and anime characters to boost sales.

Thai Markets 6

+
  • Foreign inflows hit 154 bn baht Jan‑May, up 73% YoY.
  • Approved investment applications rose 24% to 528, with 254 receiving BOI privileges.
  • Top investor countries: China (30 bn baht), Singapore (36.5 bn baht), US (5.98 bn baht).
  • Eastern Economic Corridor attracted 30% of investors, accounting for 39% of total investment (59.9 bn baht).
  • Key sectors include contract manufacturing, high‑value services and software development.
+
  • First phase of common ticketing to debut by year‑end, covering BTS Green Line and Airport Rail Link
  • Government aims to raise 200 billion baht via the Thailand Future Fund to repurchase electric rail concessions
  • Common Ticket Act and Rail Transport Act cleared Senate; financing model designed to avoid new public debt
  • Standard fares set between 17 and 45 baht; plan to replace Rabbit cards with EMV/contactless or QR payments
  • Cabinet approval for the policy expected by month‑end, with second phase to add buses and boats
+
  • NBTC approves draft of third Digital Television Master Plan after 2-year wait
  • National streaming platform to be developed for terrestrial digital TV broadcasters
  • Licences for digital TV operators to expire in 2029, regulator explores alternative spectrum allocation model
+
  • BBL Asset Management keeps year‑end SET target at 1,600 points, with upside to 1,700 points if foreign inflows return
  • Banks, tourism, commerce and construction‑material firms identified as key growth drivers
  • Index near fair‑value range around 1,600 points may limit near‑term upside
  • Lower oil prices, easing geopolitical tensions and improving domestic fundamentals support the outlook
  • Risks include global uncertainties, US 10‑year yield around 4.5% and potential oil price spikes
  • Middle East fertilizer vessels have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, restarting deliveries to Thailand.
  • Urea prices, which rose about 60% year‑on‑year, are now trending down; nitrogen and phosphate prices have stabilised.
  • The Commerce Ministry will regulate retail fertilizer prices to reflect actual costs.
  • China and Russia are being explored as alternative suppliers if Hormuz disruptions continue.
  • DBD is investigating Feixiang, Gokoo and E‑Gets for possible breaches of Thai law
  • Feixiang reported 2024 revenue of ~3.1 million baht and a loss of >11.2 million baht
  • Gokoo posted 2024 revenue of 231 million baht, up 74% YoY, and a profit of 31.4 million baht
  • E‑Gets generated 6.14 million baht revenue in 2024 but incurred a loss of ~30.7 million baht
  • One firm is classified as foreign; the other two have majority Thai ownership

Other 24

  • Messi reached 18 World Cup goals, overtaking Miroslav Klose's 16 and Marta's 17 records
  • He scored his 18th goal in the 38th minute of Argentina's Group J match against Austria
  • Messi has now become the all‑time leading scorer in both men's and women's World Cups
  • Argentina can secure a knockout‑stage spot with a win over Austria in the final group game
  • Clive Davis, influential record executive, died at age 94
  • Career spanned over five decades, launching artists like Whitney Houston, Santana and Alicia Keys
  • Founded Arista Records and later J Records, overseeing multiple Grammy-winning projects
  • Faced legal issues, including a $10,000 tax evasion fine in the 1990s
  • Continued shaping music into his 80s, including guiding American Idol winners
  • TV and radio employees held a one‑day warning strike demanding the government drop the funding overhaul.
  • The proposal would replace licence fees with direct state financing, cutting budgets to 2008 levels – roughly a 15% reduction next year.
  • Critics, including Reporters Without Borders, warn the move could enable political interference, echoing similar actions in Hungary and Slovakia.
  • Judge Patrick Schiltz dismissed subpoenas aimed at six Minnesota officials, including Gov. Tim Walz
  • Subpoenas were part of a DOJ probe into officials' opposition to immigration raids
  • Ruling issued June 17 and unsealed June 24, halting the administration's attempt to compel state cooperation
  • Labour leader Keir Starmer announced his resignation, sparking public commentary across the UK.
  • Londoners voiced frustration over rising living costs and ongoing political turbulence.
  • Public sentiment was mixed, with many doubting that the leadership change will improve the country's trajectory.
  • Denmark and Germany have opened the continent's first hydrogen superhighway linking key industrial hubs.
  • The corridor is intended to accelerate hydrogen transport for decarbonising steel, chemicals, shipping and aviation.
  • Earlier European hydrogen strategies totalling hundreds of billions of euros faced cost overruns and financing gaps.
  • The launch signals a policy correction, balancing ambitious targets with more realistic cost expectations.
  • At least 15 fatalities reported in the blaze
  • Fire broke out in a commercial complex housing an animation coaching centre
  • Rescue efforts saw people jumping from the building and sliding down wires
  • Three people killed: a police officer, a civilian, and the suspected shooter.
  • Police confirmed the suspect was neutralised during the incident.
  • Montreal police chief and Quebec premier expressed condolences and urged calm.
  • Pilot programme rolled out in Health Region 10 to test biomarker-based early dementia risk screening
  • Collaboration involves the Interior Ministry, Public Health Ministry and local health networks
  • Village Health Volunteers will counsel at‑risk elderly and connect them to health services
  • 30-year-old South Korean man detained in Pattaya on suspicion of posting explicit videos featuring Thai women
  • Authorities seized 21.3 g of crystal meth, 304.3 g of ketamine, 296 ecstasy tablets and nine etomidate vape pods
  • Arrest part of a nationwide crackdown on transnational crime ordered by police chief Pol Gen Kittharath Punpetch
  • Operation carried out by Immigration Division 3 after a search warrant was issued by Pattaya Municipal Court
  • Three students were killed and seven injured at San Jose National High School in Tacloban City.
  • Two Grade 9 students, aged 14 and 15, were arrested in connection with the shooting.
  • The weapons used were a .38 revolver and a 9mm pistol, the latter traced to a police officer.
  • The series earned four nominations at the Emmy Awards for documentary categories.
  • It explores the disputed authorship of the iconic Vietnam War 'Napalm Girl' photograph.
  • Critics have long debated whether the image was captured by an AP staffer or an independent freelancer.
  • John Alite, 63, former Gotti hitman and Englishtown councilman, was arrested in New Jersey on Friday
  • Authorities allege extortion and loan-sharking activities
  • Alite was released after a Saturday court appearance and will return for a detention hearing
  • Doku was granted temporary leave from the Red Devils to attend the birth of his son in London before the Iran match.
  • A French presenter’s comment that fathers are "useless" at childbirth sparked an online backlash and led to her being stood down.
  • Belgium have drawn both group matches (0-0 vs Egypt, 0-0 vs Iran) and need a win over New Zealand to reach the last 32.
  • Doku is expected to rejoin the squad in Seattle ahead of the final group game.
  • FAA and NTSB have opened a probe after two commercial jets came dangerously close at Boston Logan Airport.
  • The incident involved an American Airlines flight and a Delta Air Lines flight on the same runway.
  • No injuries were reported; investigators will review safety procedures to prevent similar events.
  • ACC and City Mountain Bike sign MoU to promote Extreme Cross-Country (XCE) racing across Asia
  • Agreement aims to build an urban competition network and boost sports tourism in Thailand, Malaysia and other host cities
  • Focus on youth development and bringing mountain biking into city centres to increase public exposure
  • Egyptian national team’s request to stay in Seattle was rejected by local security officials.
  • Team will return to training base in Spokane, about 450 km (280 miles) east of Seattle.
  • Egypt earned its first World Cup victory, beating New Zealand 3-1 in Vancouver.
  • A 20‑year‑old Scottish man applied a massage gun to both eyes for relief.
  • Doctors found multiple retinal injuries: six full‑thickness tears in the left eye and retinal dialysis plus bruising in the right eye.
  • The patient had no prior eye trauma or family history, suggesting the damage resulted from the massage gun use.
  • Two children, aged 2 and 4, found dead in locked car in Carpentras, France
  • Car was parked in family driveway; siblings reportedly locked themselves inside
  • Incident occurred amid a heatwave affecting southern France
  • Handmade model replicates the FIFA World Cup trophy using coconut leaf and cardboard
  • Artist recycles discarded materials to create the sculpture
  • The piece was crafted in Kerala, India
  • Design mimics the iconic gold trophy while using sustainable, local resources
  • Approximately 25,000 kites were launched over Fano island.
  • About 5,000 kite enthusiasts from 26 countries attended the event.
  • Organisers claim it is the world's largest kite festival.
  • Professional racer JR Hildebrand set a new production car record at the Pikes Peak International Hill Climb.
  • He completed the 12.4-mile, 156-corner course in 9.5 minutes.
  • The record was achieved in a 1,250 hp hybrid Corvette ZR1X, priced around $210,000.
  • The 2026 event marked the 104th running of the historic Pikes Peak race.
  • Dan Roelker, a former hacker, is now focused on the concept of controlling light.
  • He posits that controlling light enables control over space.
  • Roelker views the pursuit of "collecting the most light" as a significant race.
  • Hong Kong's wild yellow-crested cockatoos may hold genetic traits to save Indonesia's endangered species
  • Study highlights importance of conserving Hong Kong's cockatoo population
  • Cockatoos serve as a 'backup' preserving lineages of subspecies