◆ Daily Global-Macro Brief LIVE
TODAY IN 30 SECONDS

Risk-off sentiment prevails as Fed's rate hold fuels global growth concerns, while AI and energy risks weigh on markets.

  1. GBP Slides as Hawkish Fed Overshadows BoE Hold · 3 sources
  2. Iran Reconstruction Fund Sparks Ceasefire Deal Tensions · 2 sources
  3. Stocks Rally, Oil Hits Pre-Iran-War Lows as Strait of Hormuz Reopens
  4. Euro set for weakness as ECB hikes alone
  5. Yen slides to near two-year low after Fed holds rates steady

Markets 38

+
  • Fed dots show 9 policymakers eyeing hikes in 2026.
  • BoE holds rates, but Pill and Greene back tightening.
  • GBP/USD falls 0.39% to 1.3234, its lowest level since April 7.
+
  • U.S. stocks gain 1.9% as Strait of Hormuz reopens
  • Brent and WTI crude prices drop to pre-Iran-war lows
  • Dollar hits one-year high on rate hike bets
+
  • ECB hikes without regional backing from BoE, SNB, Norges Bank, and Riksbank
  • Euro-area inflation and growth concerns largely domestically priced
  • EUR/USD forecast at 1.1600, below consensus expectations
+
  • Yen fell to its weakest level in almost two years against the dollar
  • The drop erased gains from recent Japanese government and BOJ interventions
  • Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged heightened the yen‑dollar rate gap
  • BOJ raised its policy rate to 1% the day before, offering little support
+
  • USD/JPY approaches 160.95, near July 2024 highs amid US-Japan rate divergence
  • Fed signals potential additional hike in 2024, supporting USD strength despite geopolitical easing
  • Japan warns of intervention as JPY trades at levels last seen before 2024 FX moves
+
  • End of Iran conflict reduces geopolitical risk, prompting equity investors to consider buying
  • Analysts forecast a rally in US large‑cap indices, with potential 2‑3% upside in the near term
  • Risk‑off assets such as gold and the dollar may see modest declines as investors shift to stocks
  • Market sentiment turns bullish ahead of upcoming earnings season
+
  • Nasdaq Composite rose about 2% after reversing Wednesday's decline.
  • Progress on a US-Iran peace deal boosted risk sentiment in equity markets.
  • U.S. gasoline prices fell, reflecting lower crude price expectations.
  • Broad equity indices rallied alongside the Nasdaq gain.
+
  • S&P 500 up 1.08% to 7,500.58
  • Nasdaq Composite up 1.91% to 26,517.93
  • Dow Jones up 0.14% to 51,564.70
  • Intel shares jump 10.6% after Apple partnership announcement
  • Fed dot‑plot shows 9 of 18 officials now expect a rate hike in 2026
+
  • US equity indices closed higher, ending the week on a positive note
  • Gasoline prices continued to decline following the US‑Iran interim agreement
  • The interim pact aims to wind down the conflict, easing geopolitical risk for markets
+
  • GBP/USD hovers near 1.3210, a two‑month low, after the BoE kept its Bank Rate at 3.75%
  • BoE vote was 7‑2 to hold rates; two members favored a hike to 4.00%
  • Fed left rates unchanged at 3.50‑3.75% and removed “additional rate adjustments” from its statement
  • Technicals show GBP/USD below the 20‑period SMA (1.3363) and 100‑period SMA (1.3404), with RSI around 25, indicating bearish bias
+
  • S&P 500 up ~1% for the week, recouping most Wednesday losses after the Fed meeting
  • Crude oil prices fell on reports of tankers exiting the Strait of Hormuz
  • Amazon's custom chip business could generate $50 bn annual revenue if sold to third‑party data centers, rivaling AMD forecasts
  • Nvidia shares rose ~2% and semiconductor equipment makers like Applied Materials and Lam Research gained on AI chip demand
  • Key U.S. data ahead: May PCE price index, weekly jobless claims, and Q1 GDP
  • SpaceX is gearing up for a bond issuance of at least $20 billion.
  • Proceeds will be used to refinance a $20 billion bridge loan taken earlier this year.
  • The deal would mark SpaceX's first investment‑grade dollar bond issuance.
  • Bank of America, Citi, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are expected to run the transaction.
  • SpaceX's valuation topped $2 trillion after its Nasdaq debut; shares fell 6% in afternoon trading.
+
  • Euro fell to about 1.1470, its lowest in two months, down 0.22% on the day
  • Fed kept policy rate at 3.5%-3.75% but about 50% of members expect at least one more hike this year
  • US initial jobless claims dropped to 226K, while continuing claims rose to 1.81M, supporting a restrictive stance
  • Germany's IFO forecast 0.8% growth and 2.9% inflation for 2024, weighing on the euro
+
  • DXY back above 100.00, testing 12-month range top near 100.50-100.60 after Fed’s hawkish shift under Chair Warsh
  • Markets price 80% chance of September hike (up from 36%) and 44bps of tightening by Q2-2025, lifting 2-year Treasury yields to 4.19%
  • ING sees rally near ceiling; MUFG warns of potential breakout but maintains long-term weaker-dollar view
  • CME CEO Terrence Duffy announced plans to sue the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
  • The lawsuit challenges the CFTC's approval of Kalshi's perpetual futures product earlier this month.
  • Duffy argues the product is a 'swap' under the Dodd-Frank Act, not a 'future,' and was therefore improperly approved.
  • CME seeks clarity on regulatory rules before considering listing its own perpetual futures contracts.
  • A CFTC spokesperson called CME's action 'lawfare' and an attempt by incumbents to avoid competition.
+
  • SpaceX options saw nearly 1 million call contracts traded on June 16, with most expiring Thursday
  • Samsung’s forward‑earnings multiple fell from 26× in early 2023 to about 8.5× a year later
  • Call options on Samsung and Hynix now account for roughly 60‑70% of Hynix’s daily trading volume
  • KOSPI volatility has risen as meme‑driven derivatives activity spikes
  • SpaceX may join the Nasdaq‑100 in early July, while Korean chipmakers represent ~15% of the MSCI emerging‑markets index
  • New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signals departure from traditional monetary policy framework
  • Analysts warn that removal of guardrails could increase volatility for growth and tech stocks
  • Investors may see heightened downside risk across broad market indices
+
  • Memory chips such as Micron have recorded their strongest yearly gains amid AI demand
  • Valuations for these memory makers stay low despite the robust performance
  • Analysts view the sector as a cheap entry point as AI growth continues
+
  • SpaceX stock fell 3.6% to about $184.98 per share on Thursday
  • Five‑day VWAP sits at $181.71, putting the average post‑IPO buyer roughly at break‑even
  • Shares have retreated roughly 20% from the intraday high above $225 since the debut
  • IPO price was $135; market value briefly neared $3 trillion before the pullback
+
  • USD/CHF rose to 0.8059, surpassing the previous YTD peak of 0.8042
  • RSI broke its recent high, signaling increasing buyer momentum
  • Key resistance targets: 0.8100, then 0.8124 and 0.8171; support at 0.8015 and 0.8000
+
  • Put volume on HYG jumped to 190,000 contracts, five times the call volume
  • Investor paid $1.3 million for 20,000 Jan‑27 75‑strike puts
  • Most‑traded strike was the Aug‑21 77‑strike put, with 40,000 contracts at $0.39 each, needing HYG to fall ~4% to break even
  • Energy sector makes up >11% of HYG, linking the bearish bets to recent crude price declines
+
  • Dow hovered around 51,600, with resistance near 51,800 and a ceiling at 51,900.
  • Semiconductor rally lifted Intel ~10%, Micron ~6% and Nvidia >1%, but the Dow’s chip exposure is minimal.
  • WTI crude fell about 3% to $74 (Brent near $77) after the Strait of Hormuz clearance.
  • Fed Chair Warsh’s first FOMC left the dot plot hawkish, with nine of 18 officials now expecting higher rates in 2026.
+
  • Treasury yields slipped modestly following Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair
  • The decline was limited to a few basis points across the yield curve
  • Investors now await Warsh's policy guidance and upcoming economic data
+
  • US initial jobless claims fell to 226,000, close to the 225,000 forecast
  • Continuing claims rose to 1.81 million, slightly above consensus
  • AUD/USD traded around 0.7030, with resistance near 0.7041 and support at 0.7018
  • Risk sentiment lifted after the US‑Iran agreement easing Strait of Hormuz concerns
+
  • National Bank of Canada projects USD/CAD to trade within a broad range absent major data surprises
  • A sustained break below support could trigger further Canadian dollar strength
  • A move above resistance may signal renewed USD outperformance against the CAD
  • Volatility could rise if economic data or central‑bank communication shifts interest‑rate expectations
+
  • USD/CAD up 0.21% to around 1.4130, staying above the 1.4100 support level
  • Fed left rates unchanged at 3.5‑3.75% but about half of members now expect at least one more hike this year
  • WTI crude fell below $75 per barrel, down over 0.9%, adding pressure to the CAD
+
  • Rupiah slipped to record lows, trading above 18,000 per USD, an 8% depreciation year‑to‑date
  • Jakarta Composite Index has fallen about 33% since the start of the year
  • Social media users allege a "Sell Indonesia" narrative benefiting Singapore, though no evidence is provided
  • The sell‑off underscores heightened regional risk aversion toward Indonesian assets
+
  • EUR/GBP rose to 0.8674, its highest level in three weeks.
  • Bank of England left its Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% (7-2 vote), with two policymakers urging a 25 bps hike.
  • UK unemployment fell to 4.9% and average earnings (ex‑bonus) stayed at 3.4% YoY.
  • German IFO forecasts show inflation at 2.9% this year and GDP growth at 0.8%.
  • SpaceX is valued at $2.6 trillion, tying for the world’s fifth‑largest company.
  • A roughly 70% rally to $340 per share would place SpaceX at third behind Apple and Alphabet.
  • Options pricing shows about a 50% chance of reaching $340 by July 2028 (≈46% by June 2028).
  • There is a 38% chance SpaceX could overtake Nvidia by June 2028 and 41% by December 2028.
  • Option deltas are used to gauge the market’s probability of these price targets being hit.
+
  • AI investment surge fuels higher corporate earnings this quarter
  • U.S. equity indices rise on strong earnings, with the S&P 500 up about 1.2%
  • Analysts warn that escalating AI-related capital spending could pressure margins later
  • Tech-heavy Nasdaq gains roughly 1.5% as AI‑focused firms report record profits
  • Europe confronts multiple headwinds: Russia, China, strained US ties, ageing population, climate change and lagging productivity
  • EU stock market capitalization is about 70% of GDP, roughly half the UK's level
  • More than 11 million people joined automatic pension enrolment (2012‑2023) with opt‑out rates below 10%, adding long‑term capital
  • European Commission proposes reforms in four key areas—supply, demand, market infrastructure, supervision—to boost the Savings and Investment Union
  • Capital‑market integration progress described as "snail's pace" versus rapid rearmament, prompting calls for accelerated action
  • Japanese pension funds increased overseas bond holdings to a record high
  • Rebalancing driven by soaring equity prices, a weakening yen and rising interest rates
  • Higher foreign bond demand may boost global sovereign debt markets
+
  • KOSPI index breaches the 8,800 level, marking a sharp upward move.
  • Growth is heavily linked to a single AI sector bet, boosting exports and corporate strategies.
  • Analysts caution that the rapid rise may signal an AI-driven asset bubble.
+
  • Retail investors in Japan are increasingly buying corporate bonds, favoring higher yields over stocks and investment trusts.
  • SoftBank Group and Rakuten bonds are among the most popular, drawing strong demand from individual investors.
  • The shift is driven by rising interest rates that boost bond yields, benefiting asset‑rich older households.
  • Analysts note the trend could increase debt burdens for working‑age families as they allocate more to fixed‑income.
+
  • DSI will announce names of individuals tied to a suspected illegal forex investment and trading network on Friday.
  • Investigation included raids at 24 locations and questioning numerous alleged victims; no arrests or summonses issued yet.
  • Politician Pawoot Pongvitayapanu and a male actor (initial “F”) are among those speculated to be linked, both deny involvement.
+
  • Dollar Index rose 0.35% to 97.08.
  • Marks the second consecutive trading day of increase.
  • U.S. dollar gains reflect continued strength against major currencies.
+
  • GBP/JPY trades at 213.11, down 0.21% in the North American session.
  • Pair testing 100‑day SMA at 212.79; break below could expose supports at 211.26 and 210.45.
  • RSI at 41.7 signals downside momentum; 50‑day SMA at 214.25 needed for upside.
+
  • The S&P/BMV IPC index closed down 0.06% on the trading day.
  • The modest decline reflects limited sell pressure across the market.
  • No specific sector or macro catalyst was highlighted in the move.

Macro/Economy 28

+
  • Core PCE inflation expected to rise 0.37% in May, exceeding Fed's 0.21% forecast
  • 2-year Treasury yield spikes 16 basis points to 4.21%, signaling interest rate hike expectations
  • Rising inflation risks may lead to tighter financial conditions and stock market pullback
+
  • U.S. Treasury yield curve flattens, signaling higher interest rates for longer
  • Fed's updated dot plot shows policy rates staying higher through 2028
  • Higher interest rate expectations make fixed-income assets more attractive relative to bitcoin
+
  • Japan's May core inflation 1.4% y/y, below BOJ's 2% target
  • Fuel subsidies offset rising raw material costs from Middle East conflict
  • Analysts expect re-acceleration in coming months, further rate hikes
+
  • Oil prices fell to $75-78 per barrel after the US-Iran deal, easing inflation and supporting potential economic growth.
  • Thailand's inflation outlook is revised to less than 3% and GDP growth upgraded to 2% from 1.7% previously.
  • The deal may support improvements in Thailand's exports for the remainder of this year.
  • Bunker fuel prices surge, pushing up overall shipping expenses.
  • Peak cargo shipping season advanced to spring ahead of higher fuel costs.
  • Vessel owners will embed increased fuel costs into annual contracts starting July 1.
  • Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel stated the economy needs "urgent changes" to address a major crisis, intensified by a US oil blockade.
  • Diaz-Canel admitted internal obstacles like bureaucracy and delayed decisions, alongside external factors, contribute to the economic woes.
  • Reforms are aimed at boosting the private sector and attracting capital from Cubans abroad, with China and Vietnam cited as potential models.
  • The president stressed that some reforms, despite lacking absolute consensus, are necessary and cannot be postponed.
  • These reforms are viewed as a desperate attempt to avert economic collapse, though their impact on US policy remains unclear.
  • China is conducting trials for autonomous navigation and smart shipping solutions on the Pinglu Canal.
  • The US$10 billion Pinglu Canal will connect China's landlocked southwestern regions to Southeast Asia.
  • The project aims to significantly reduce logistics costs and boost trade and connectivity.
  • Intelligent barges and vessels have been tested in the Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region since Wednesday.
  • Analysts predict high withdrawals from private credit to last over a year
  • Risk of forced liquidations increases due to prolonged withdrawals
  • Investors seek safer assets amid market uncertainty
+
  • US Initial Jobless Claims decreased to 226K vs. the previous week.
  • Continuing Jobless Claims went up to 1.810M.
  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) extended its post-Fed gains, reaching fresh yearly highs around 100.80.
+
  • The presentation explores whether exchange rate variability helps absorb or amplifies economic shocks, particularly for small open economies.
  • Pre-GFC, the Icelandic Krona (ISK) amplified shocks, contributing to a banking collapse and devastating balance sheets due to large capital inflows and foreign currency borrowing.
  • Post-GFC reforms in Iceland included reducing macroeconomic imbalances, shifting from a 25% GDP current account deficit to a 6% surplus, and improving the net international investment position.
  • Reforms also limited households' ability to take foreign currency loans, aiming to reduce balance sheet exposure and change the krona's role.
+
  • Core CPI rose 1.4% YoY in May, matching the median economist estimate.
  • Underlying price index, stripping fresh food and energy, climbed 1.8% YoY.
  • Core CPI includes oil products but excludes fresh food, highlighting underlying inflation pressure.
  • GfK survey finds UK consumers expect tighter budgets and higher inflation in the coming months
  • Survey indicates sentiment has not improved despite recent economic stabilisation efforts
  • Households report reduced spending plans, signalling continued weakness in retail demand
  • AI and data centre electricity demand is exceeding traditional grid capacity in Europe, prompting a shift toward nuclear.
  • Regulators across Europe are moving decisively to support nuclear projects to meet climate targets and energy independence.
  • Nuclear is being positioned as the fastest route to provide baseload power for the growing AI and data centre sector.
  • Parliament ratified five major trade deals, including Thailand‑EFTA, Thailand‑Bhutan, ACFTA upgrade and ATIGA revision.
  • The Thailand‑EFTA FTA marks Thailand's first free trade pact with a European group, aiming to boost exports of autos, food, textiles and tech.
  • The Thailand‑Bhutan agreement removes import duties immediately, enhancing bilateral trade in goods and raw materials.
  • ACFTA upgrade adds chapters on digital and green economies, while ATIGA revisions target non‑tariff barriers and supply‑chain transparency.
  • Thailand joins the WTO fisheries‑subsidies agreement, banning illegal‑related subsidies to promote sustainable fishing.
  • Government unveiled 176 free‑market measures, part of a broader package of nearly 200 reforms.
  • Reforms aim to reduce state control and open banking, tourism and agriculture to private investment.
  • Changes come amid a severe economic crisis intensified by a U.S. oil embargo on the island.
  • Bilateral trade between Thailand and Russia totals roughly US$1 billion (≈32 bn baht) currently.
  • Officials aim to boost cooperation in energy, fertilisers, digital technology and emerging sectors such as space and cybersecurity.
  • A Thailand‑Russia Joint Commission meeting is slated for August, and the Thai prime minister plans an official visit to Moscow.
  • Russia intends to increase oil and natural‑gas exports to ASEAN, with Thailand identified as a key market.
  • Hong Kong launches a two‑month public consultation on its first five‑year plan under Chief Executive John Lee
  • The plan is designed to complement Beijing's 2026‑30 blueprint and address "great changes unseen in a century"
  • Key focus areas include economic diversification, talent attraction, and infrastructure development
  • Authorities stress adapting to global headwinds and reinforcing Hong Kong's role in national development
  • Party endorses a package that expands private enterprise, foreign investment and allows private banks
  • Plan includes potential private real‑estate development and conversion of state firms into equity‑share ventures
  • EU adopts a resolution urging sanctions on Cuban leadership while US pressure escalates, including fuel delivery bans
  • Higher energy costs are now passing into services and transport sectors.
  • The baseline inflation outlook for the EU remains highly uncertain.
  • Recovery timeline for oil production and price outlook is unclear.
  • Second‑round wage effects have not yet materialised.
  • Canada producer prices rose 1.2% in May
  • Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions boosted crude oil costs
  • Supply chain disruptions contributed to price increases
  • Joint USMCA review begins July 1 2026, deciding between a 16‑year extension or annual reviews through 2036
  • Mexico imposed tariffs up to 50% on Chinese goods covering ~8.6% of its imports as of Jan 1 2026
  • Chinese exports to Mexico reached nearly $130 bn in 2024 versus $10 bn Mexican exports to China, a record imbalance
  • Mexico’s electronics exports to the U.S. rely on components from South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Vietnam, Malaysia and Thailand
  • U.S. worries that Chinese firms could use Mexico as a duty‑free backdoor into the American market
  • Hong Kong ranked 2nd globally in competitiveness, its highest position in seven years
  • The city moved up one spot from last year, now trailing only Singapore
  • Hong Kong outperformed 68 economies, ranking ahead of Switzerland and Taiwan
  • Floor area ratio limits will be relaxed for developers building low‑rent apartments
  • Incentive targets units priced about 20% below market rents
  • Central Tokyo condominium rents rose roughly 8% year‑on‑year as of May
  • Policy aims to increase affordable housing supply alongside Shibuya redevelopment
  • Middle East arrivals fell 25% year-on-year to about 150,000 in Jan-May.
  • Drop linked to regional turmoil, including the Iran‑Israel conflict.
  • Tourism revenue hit may pressure Thailand's Q2 economic growth.
  • Effective July 1, autopay borrowers receive a 1-percentage-point reduction in loan interest rates
  • Non‑autopay borrowers must enroll by Sept. 30 to qualify; discount remains through June 30, 2028
  • More than 42 million Americans hold federal student loans exceeding $1.6 trillion; only ~40% are on autopay
  • A $10,000 loan at 6.5% cut to 5.5% would save roughly $8 per month for borrowers
+
  • Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan signed agreements on mining, banking and tourism on June 16
  • The pact includes joint development of an Uzbek gold deposit and other mineral resources
  • The cooperation aims to expand Azerbaijan's presence in Uzbekistan's fast‑growing mining sector
  • Two new Housing Authority schemes to be introduced in September
  • Owners can lease subsidised flats without paying a premium
  • Elderly owners may swap their flat for a smaller or remote unit
  • Measures relax current restrictions on subsidised sale flats
  • Hong Kong replaces single income‑based poverty line with a 21‑indicator framework
  • Government says previous metric overestimated poverty by ignoring billions in assets
  • Experts argue the new method lacks objective measurement and may be harder to assess

Central Banks 24

+
  • Fed kept its benchmark rate at 3.5‑3.75% and split 9‑9 on a possible hike later this year
  • Meta fell 5.4% and Microsoft 3.7%, pulling the Nasdaq lower
  • S&P 500 dropped 1.21% after the Fed's hawkish tone, with expectations of stable rates through H2 2026
  • Year‑end policy rate projected at 3.8%, but a gradual easing bias is seen over the next 1‑2 years
  • A US‑Iran peace agreement is expected to offset some negative sentiment by easing oil‑supply concerns
+
  • BoE left the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% with 7 of 9 MPC members in favour; 2 members voted for a 25‑bp hike
  • UK CPI held steady at 2.8% in May, while April GDP contracted 0.1%
  • Traders had priced a 96% probability of no change, but markets still price potential hikes later in the year
  • Energy price cap set to rise 13% this summer, raising concerns about future inflation pressures
+
  • Warsh emphasized inflation fight, hinting at a more hawkish Fed than expected
  • 2-year Treasury yield jumped; FedWatch odds rose to ~33% for a July hike and 67% for September
  • Market-implied Fed funds rate for May 2031 hit 4.78%, suggesting up to five hikes from the 3.50‑3.75% range
  • Core inflation up only 0.2% in May, with some analysts expecting no rate hikes this year
  • Stocks initially fell but later rallied as investors focused on lower energy costs and geopolitical developments
+
  • Norges Bank kept its policy rate at 4.25% in June but issued hawkish guidance and a higher rate path projection.
  • Nomura now expects a 25bp hike to 4.50% in Q3, most likely in August, bringing forward its previous September forecast.
  • Reasons for the earlier hike include an upward revision to the policy rate projection and continued concerns about sticky inflation.
  • Norges Bank's projection implies a peak of 4.55% in Q4 2026 and Q1 2027, suggesting a potential third hike this year.
  • Nomura maintains its forecast for gradual easing from September 2027, as the policy rate is considered restrictive.
  • Further ECB rate hikes remain justified even under a milder economic scenario.
  • The ECB could look through temporary shocks if they are not expected to have a lasting impact on inflation.
  • Food prices are likely to keep rising despite lower oil prices.
+
  • Bank of England keeps policy rate unchanged, citing inflation still above the 2% target
  • Energy prices have fallen since the Middle East conflict but remain higher than pre‑conflict levels, especially gas
  • Governor warns of inflation persistence amid a softened UK economy, ruling out imminent cuts
  • Bailey condemns fake videos of officials, calling them fraud attempts that undermine public trust
  • Brexit has shrunk the UK market size and lowered growth, confirming a long‑run negative impact
+
  • ECB has raised rates while the BoE, SNB, Norges Bank and Riksbank remain on hold
  • Regional inflation concerns are largely domestic, limiting broader price pressures
  • Markets price downside growth risks for the euro area amid the policy divergence
  • MPC voted 7–2 to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75%
  • CPI inflation fell to 2.8% but is expected to rise later in the year
  • Brent crude averaged $100/barrel since April, dropping to about $79/barrel ahead of the meeting
  • Two‑year OIS rates are ~70 bps above pre‑war levels; mortgage rates ~80 bps higher
  • Market median expectation was for no change, aligning with the decision
+
  • Bank Indonesia lifted the seven‑day reverse repo rate to 5.75%, a 25‑basis‑point increase, bringing total hikes to 100 bps in four weeks.
  • Overnight deposit and lending facility rates were also raised by 25 bps to 4.75% and 6.50% respectively.
  • The rupiah firmed to about 17,725 per USD from 17,805 after the move, after touching a lifetime low of 18,190 on June 8.
  • May inflation edged up to 3.1%, staying within the 1.5‑3.5% target range.
  • Foreign‑exchange reserves fell by roughly $12 billion in the first five months of 2026.
+
  • ECB raised key rates 25bps to 4.25% on June 12, citing persistent inflation risks from Middle East energy disruptions
  • Euro area HICP inflation rose to 3.2% in May (vs 2% start-2026), driven by energy; normalization may take months even post-ceasefire
  • Bundesbank projects German 2026 GDP growth at 0.5%, warns structural reforms are critical amid weak global trade and tariff uncertainty
+
  • EU households hold €33tn in savings but only 60% of US equity/mutual fund participation, limiting investment in innovation
  • Draghi report estimates EU needs €750-800bn annual investment until 2030 to reduce energy dependence and boost productivity
  • SIU seeks to redirect savings via capital markets to cut funding costs for SMEs and support EU competitiveness vs US/China
  • Geopolitical energy shocks raise euro area inflation and squeeze margins, underscoring urgency of SIU reforms
  • MISP legislative package targets pan-European market operators (PEMO) and centralized ESMA supervision to deepen integration
  • IMF lowered global growth forecast for 2026 to 3.1% due to ongoing conflicts, with global inflation projected to rise to 4.4% in 2026.
  • Eswatini's Q4 2025 GDP grew 5.7% year-on-year, showing continued domestic economic momentum.
  • Eswatini's headline consumer inflation increased to 2.0% in April 2026, driven by housing, utilities, and transport.
  • The Central Bank of Eswatini revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 3.31% and maintained the discount rate at 6.75%.
  • Private sector credit expanded by 0.9% month-on-month in March 2026, with the banking sector remaining stable.
+
  • Fed chair Kevin Warsh did not submit a rate projection in the latest dot plot, breaking tradition
  • Dot plot shows 9 of 18 policymakers expect at least one rate hike in 2024, with 6 projecting multiple hikes
  • Warsh announced a review of Fed communications, including the dot plot, aiming for reforms by year-end
  • Fed holds rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% citing energy-led inflation risks over near term
  • Global oil prices fell after US-Iran deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, easing near-term inflation pressure
  • Lisa Cook’s legal and security expenses total more than $1.3 million, with $1.2 million for legal services and $144,000 for security.
  • The costs were funded by nonprofit groups Democracy Defenders Fund and Contina Impact, not by the Federal Reserve.
  • A Supreme Court decision on Trump’s authority to fire a Fed governor is expected within weeks.
  • Bank of England staff exits under MAR scheme to conclude by end-May 2026, reducing headcount
  • Court approves Leeds office expansion to 500 staff, seeks long-term lease for permanent location
  • Cyber risk update flags AI-driven vulnerabilities (e.g., Anthropic’s Mythos) as emerging threat requiring sustained investment
+
  • European Central Bank is advancing a digital euro pilot, targeting a launch within the next few years
  • The digital currency aims to provide faster, low‑cost payments and improve financial inclusion across the eurozone
  • Regulators emphasize privacy safeguards and interoperability with existing payment systems while addressing cyber‑risk concerns
+
  • SNB kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.00% at the June meeting
  • The bank reiterated an increased willingness to intervene in FX markets if necessary
  • Conditional inflation forecast for 2026 was raised to 0.6% from 0.5%
  • GDP growth is projected to stay around 1% for 2026
  • CHF has depreciated against the euro since March
+
  • Euro area now includes 21 countries, up from 11 at launch, covering over 350 million people.
  • Convergence criteria emphasise price stability, fiscal discipline, long‑term interest‑rate alignment and a minimum two‑year ERM II participation.
  • Vujčić stresses that the EMU’s institutional framework underpins the euro’s role as the world’s second‑largest currency in trade and finance.
  • Central Bank of Ireland promotes financial literacy through its Consumer Protection mandate
  • New Consumer Protection Code requires firms to provide clear and accessible information to consumers
  • Code aims to create an environment that supports better consumer outcomes and financial wellbeing
  • Minutes of the monetary policy meeting held on April 27-28, 2026 were published
  • Document details the discussions and viewpoints of the policy committee
  • No immediate policy decision was announced in the released minutes
  • The Fed prohibited former CEO Thomas Engelbrecht from future participation in the banking sector
  • Engelbrecht was fined $125,000 for misconduct
  • He allegedly arranged imprudent credit extensions to a relative's company and fabricated board minutes
  • Fed issues consent prohibition order against Matthew Cheong, former employee of Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company
  • Order relates to embezzlement by bank employee
  • Additional enforcement actions can be searched for on the Fed's website
  • Central Bank of Chile Governor Rosanna Costa presented the Financial Stability Report (IEF) H1 2026 to the Senate Finance Commission.
  • The IEF analyzes financial system vulnerabilities, potential risks, and its capacity to absorb severe shocks.
  • Unlike the Monetary Policy Report (IPoM), the IEF focuses on risk scenarios rather than economic projections.
  • The Central Bank's dual mandate includes safeguarding monetary stability and ensuring financial system stability.
  • The report aims to explain how the Chilean economy and financial system are prepared for adverse scenarios.

Energy/Oil 24

+
  • Crude fell ~30% from $113 on April 7 to below $80, the steepest decline since COVID.
  • June oil flows through Hormuz estimated at 5.1 mbd, up from 2.9 mbd in May (≈25% of pre‑war levels).
  • Goldman Sachs cut its Brent price target by $5 to $80 per barrel, citing higher supply and weaker demand.
  • Empty tankers in the Persian Gulf dropped to 130, well below the pre‑war average of ~250.
  • U.S. gasoline prices projected to fall below $3.50 per gallon within two weeks as crude retreats.
+
  • Crude prices have dropped about 38% from recent peaks, erasing the war‑related premium.
  • WTI and Brent futures both fell sharply, mirroring the overall 38% decline.
  • The swift correction underscores how quickly geopolitical risk premiums can unwind, affecting oil‑producing economies.
+
  • Front-month Brent crude fell 1.2% in European trading
  • WTI dropped 1.8% following the announcement
  • Deal aims to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, easing shipping constraints
+
  • More than 60 million barrels of crude on ~36 supertankers are slated to leave the Strait of Hormuz for Asia within weeks.
  • Asian refiners have built inventories for June‑July, reducing immediate demand pressure despite the delayed supply.
  • Morgan Stanley cut its Q4 2026 Brent forecast to $80/bbl (down from $100) and Goldman Sachs lowered its Q4 forecast to $80/bbl (down from $90).
  • Analysts expect full tanker traffic recovery by end‑July, prompting lower oil price outlooks.
+
  • Brent crude fell below $80/bbl, potentially underestimating supply recovery
  • OPEC+ production cuts and global demand concerns may offset supply gains
  • Market sentiment remains cautious, with prices vulnerable to further declines
+
  • U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum for toll‑free reopening, but full traffic expected only after at least 60 days
  • Kpler estimates 118 tankers stranded; clearing the backlog could take 10‑15 days, with full recovery taking weeks to months
  • Oil prices slipped below $80 per barrel on the news, but limited supply restoration may keep prices near that level
  • Pre‑war daily transits were 90‑110 vessels; priority likely given to oil and LNG tankers over container ships
+
  • US and Israel signed a 14‑point MoU with Iran to halt the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz
  • The deal lifts sanctions on Iran’s energy exports, potentially increasing global oil supply and lowering crude prices
  • Pro‑Israel lawmakers criticize the MoU but avoid confronting Trump, creating a political rift
  • Iran will receive a $300 billion reconstruction fund and release of frozen assets, while nuclear and missile issues remain unresolved
  • War‑driven oil price surge that has fed US inflation may ease as sanctions are lifted
+
  • Global oil demand forecast to reach 113.3 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2030, up from 105.1 m bpd in 2025
  • Demand projected to top 124 million bpd by 2050, indicating no near‑term peak
  • OPEC’s outlook emphasizes growth driven by India rather than Europe
  • The World Oil Outlook 2026 maintains a bullish view on long‑term oil consumption
+
  • WTI fell over 2% to about $73.20, marking a weekly drop of more than 10%
  • US‑Iran peace agreement expectations eased supply concerns despite an 8.262 million‑barrel inventory draw
  • EIA data showed a tenth consecutive weekly decline, with US crude stocks at the lowest level in over 40 years
+
  • Exports to Price Cap coalition countries fell by 59.5 million tons, while non‑coalition exports rose by 65 million tons
  • A shadow fleet of 1,065 vessels now transports roughly $100 billion of sanctioned Russian, Iranian and Venezuelan crude
  • Around 25% of identifiable Russian oil cargo buyers are linked to entities in Dubai’s free zones
  • It took about 18 months for Russian oil exports to rebound to near‑2022 volumes despite sanctions
+
  • China’s crude imports fell to 7.8 mbd in May, lowest since 2017, amid inventory drawdowns
  • JPMorgan estimates 3 mbd of demand decline is temporary, with recovery starting August
  • PetroChina named top pick with 6.4% dividend yield, outpacing Sinopec’s 4.8%
  • Indonesia requires thermal coal exporters to report shipments to a new state-owned firm starting this month
  • A fatal mining accident in China has halted coal production, tightening global supply
  • Strong demand and an LNG shortage linked to the Iran war are pushing coal prices higher
+
  • U.S. gasoline spot price fell below $4 per gallon.
  • The decline follows an interim Iran‑U.S. agreement to wind down the war.
  • Analysts expect the pact to reduce geopolitical risk premiums on energy markets.
+
  • Thailand welcomes US‑Iran ceasefire framework but warns global energy markets could stay under pressure
  • Deputy PM says oil prices may dip short‑term but are unlikely to return to pre‑conflict levels for 2‑3 years
  • Damage to regional oil and natural‑gas infrastructure could take 2‑3 years to fully recover, keeping supply risks high
  • Thailand will accelerate renewable and alternative energy development to improve long‑term energy security
  • Panic buying after the Israel‑US‑Iran conflict caused fuel demand to triple in a single day in March.
  • Government reserves were sufficient for at least 60 days, yet stations ran dry as consumers stockpiled hundreds of litres.
  • Authorities recommend clearer crisis communication, using the Oil Fuel Fund as a price‑volatility buffer, and accelerating renewable‑energy adoption.
+
  • International Petroleum Corp.'s Blackrod project has entered its first production phase
  • Project aims for an average output of 80,000 barrels per day once fully ramped up
  • First new Alberta oil sands development since 2014, ending a decade-long pause
  • Production launch occurs amid ongoing scrutiny of oil sands emissions and high extraction costs
+
  • Average US gasoline price fell to $3.99 per gallon, down from $4.48 in May but still above $2.98 in February.
  • Consumer inflation is at 4.2%, with energy prices up roughly 8% over the past two months.
  • US job growth added 172,000 jobs in May, below the 214,000 peak in March and far from the ~300,000 average under the previous administration.
  • The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate unchanged in the 3.5‑3.75% target range.
+
  • U.S. natural gas futures settled higher on the day
  • Weekly storage build landed at the low end of market expectations
  • Storage surplus remained unchanged from the previous week
+
  • State-owned refiners in China and India cannot secure VLCCs for June shipments as freight rates surge.
  • VLCC freight rates from the Persian Gulf to Asia have risen to roughly three times previous levels.
  • PetroChina received six VLCC offers for Basrah crude but rejected all due to excessive pricing.
  • Absence of safe‑passage guarantees through the Strait of Hormuz adds to shipping constraints.
+
  • Permian marketed natural gas production reaches 27.6 Bcf/d in 2025, a 60% rise from 2021.
  • Permian crude oil production climbs to 6.6 million b/d in 2025, up 39% since 2021.
  • Higher gas‑oil ratios (GOR) drive the faster growth in natural‑gas output.
+
  • Brunei exported 105,000 barrels per day in April, highest since 2018, per Kpler data
  • 70% of April exports shipped to Thailand, which faces fuel shortages amid Middle East supply risks
  • Brunei's light sweet crude (SLEB) traded at premium to Brent in April despite market volatility
+
  • Woodside projects LNG and crude oil sales to increase roughly 50% year‑on‑year.
  • Growth is driven by strong appetite for LNG in the United States.
  • The surge follows multi‑billion‑dollar investments in Australian upstream assets.
  • Higher sales are expected to boost cash flow and support dividend outlook.
  • Survey shows a majority of Americans are worried about rising energy prices
  • Renewable energy sources gain support as respondents seek cleaner options
  • Energy reliability and grid stability remain top concerns among respondents
+
  • Analysts warn of possible oversupply in the global crude market
  • Rising inventories could pressure oil prices lower
  • Market participants monitor OPEC output and demand trends

Gold/Metals 14

+
  • Gold fell to about $4,210 per ounce in early Asian trading.
  • Fed kept the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and signaled possible future hikes.
  • The US‑Iran interim peace deal was expected to support gold, but its impact was limited.
  • Higher‑yielding US Treasury assets and a strong dollar pressured the non‑yielding metal.
+
  • Gold slipped 0.7% to $4,223, below $4,300 support after Fed’s hawkish dot‑plot.
  • Fed dot plot shows 9 of 19 policymakers (≈47%) favoring a year‑end rate hike, raising December hike odds to 85%.
  • US Dollar Index rose to 100.81, its highest since May 2025, pressuring gold.
  • Technical outlook: XAU/USD must stay above $4,300 to resume gains; a break below $4,200 could test $4,023 support.
  • Next week’s data includes flash PMIs, jobs, Q1 GDP and Core PCE.
+
  • Gold prices fall 1.5% as Fed meeting suggests rate hikes may continue
  • Strong US labor market data supports Fed's hawkish stance
  • Gold prices may struggle to break above $2,000/oz in near term
+
  • Fed left policy rate at 3.75% and issued a more hawkish projection, pushing yields higher
  • Treasury yields rose post‑FOMC, lifting the US dollar index
  • Gold price steadied around $4,275‑$4,285 support, with resistance at $4,300‑$4,325
  • Yield and dollar strength remain the main headwinds for gold in the short term
+
  • Updated feasibility study triples the Horne 5 project's estimated value to $3.3 bn
  • Project contains gold and zinc resources in western Quebec
  • Provincial environmental review is ongoing, supporting project advancement
+
  • Solar photovoltaic sector used 10% less silver year‑over‑year, the sharpest drop in three years
  • Total silver consumption is still about 5% below its 2022 peak despite the solar decline
  • Silver spot price has slipped roughly 8% over the past month, keeping it below $22 per ounce
+
  • Silver (XAG/USD) fell ~2% to $66.07, staying below the 200‑day SMA at $68.99
  • RSI remains bearish; a break under $65.77 could expose $63.32 and $61.50 support levels
  • Further downside requires $66.00 breach; upside needs $68.00 to clear the SMA and test $70.00
+
  • Gold price slipped modestly, framing the move as a short‑term correction
  • Technical analysis shows gold still above key support near recent highs
  • Analysts expect the pullback to be limited and the uptrend to resume
+
  • Gold slipped about 1% as investors questioned the durability of the US-Iran peace agreement
  • The drop coincided with a modest rise in the US dollar index, pressuring safe-haven demand
  • Analysts say the selloff may signal broader market skepticism toward the accord's geopolitical impact
+
  • Copper concentrate shipments from Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi mine resumed on Thursday.
  • Exports were briefly halted after protesters blocked a key transport route.
  • The mine is a significant source of copper, and its operational status impacts global supply.
+
  • Gold closed at $4,224.10, up 0.22% for the week
  • Silver dropped 6.3% on Thursday
  • Gold posted a weekly gain, contrasting with silver's weekly loss
+
  • Technical analysis shows $69.20/oz as the key resistance for silver to turn bullish.
  • If price stays below $69.20, bearish momentum is likely to persist in the short term.
  • A breakout above $69.20 could trigger a shift to bullish sentiment and higher price targets.
+
  • Magma Silver plans to develop the Niñobamba mine with a target of 100 Moz of silver output.
  • The project was highlighted in a sponsored video presented at the Mining Investment Event in Quebec City.
  • Achieving the 100 Moz goal would position Niñobamba as a major new source of primary silver.
  • CEO Simon Britt discussed the upcoming TerraGold drilling at a mining investment event in Quebec City.
  • The company is set to commence its first drilling phase at the TerraGold project in Quebec.
  • The announcement was presented in a sponsored video highlighting the exploration plans.

Crypto 34

+
  • Federal Reserve, Treasury, OCC, FDIC and others opened a 60‑day public comment period on the draft rule.
  • The proposal would require stablecoin issuers to meet Bank Secrecy Act ID standards, including verification of name, address and terrorist‑list checks.
  • Fed Governor Michael Barr voiced concerns about extending ID requirements to secondary‑market stablecoin transactions.
  • FinCEN has pursued related AML rules; the current notice follows 450 comments on a September preliminary proposal.
+
  • Bitcoin dropped 3% to around $63,900 after the Fed left rates unchanged but signaled higher‑for‑longer inflation concerns
  • Ether fell 3.4% to $1,733 as tighter financial conditions weighed on risk assets
  • The Fed kept the policy rate at 3.5%‑3.75% and projected slower rate cuts, prompting a bearish tone for crypto
  • US‑Iran interim peace deal boosted S&P 500 futures (+0.9%) and Nasdaq futures (+1.5%) but crypto prices stayed down
  • May exchange volume fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since Sep 2024, while RWA perpetual futures rose 10.4%
+
  • Bitcoin dropped 7% to about $61,300, triggering $330 million in liquidations.
  • Nasdaq 100 rose 1% toward its all‑time high while Bitcoin fell, indicating decoupling.
  • A stronger US dollar and 5‑year Treasury yield at 4.21% pressured non‑yielding crypto assets.
  • AI sector gains, such as Intel up 10%, contrasted with Bitcoin’s bearish momentum.
  • Bitcoin’s $60,000 support level may be tested as investors rotate into AI stocks.
+
  • CME alleges CFTC treats Bitcoin perpetual futures as swaps, violating the Commodity Exchange Act
  • The suit challenges a May 29 CFTC approval for Bitcoin perpetual futures on platforms like Kalshi and Coinbase
  • CME says CFTC Chair Michael Selig acted unilaterally without a full five‑member commission panel
  • The dispute underscores regulatory uncertainty for crypto derivatives and potential market competition impacts
+
  • Bitcoin’s 4-year cycles feature 70%+ drawdowns, making DCA suboptimal vs. regime-aware allocation
  • Cycle-smart approach cuts max drawdown from −80% to −44% and boosts Sharpe ratio to 1.22 vs. 0.82 for buy-and-hold
  • 10x Research tracks 10 signals (momentum, trend, on-chain) to identify bull/bear regimes; avg monthly return +25% vs. 6% respectively
  • Advisors urged to use dynamic allocation bands (e.g., max 5% BTC) rather than fixed positions
  • Public calls since 2022 include Oct 2022 bottom, Jul 2023 $125k target, and Oct 2025 bear signal
+
  • MoonPay now embedded in ChatGPT for direct crypto purchases
  • Coinbase’s Base MCP enables AI assistants to execute wallet/blockchain tasks
  • AI could replace traditional exchange/wallet onboarding for new crypto users
+
  • Bitcoin and other major tokens fell, with the CoinDesk 20 Index down >1.2% and DeFi Select Index down 5%
  • Futures open interest dropped to 730,000 BTC from 742,000 BTC, and over $440 million in long positions were liquidated
  • XRP open interest sits at 2.30 billion tokens, the highest since October, while most top‑25 tokens show negative 24‑hour volume delta
  • Put‑option demand rose for contracts expiring June 21, indicating hedging ahead of the weekend
  • May exchange volume fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since Sep 2024, while RWA perpetual futures rose 10.4%
  • Michelle Bond, wife of former FTX executive Ryan Salame, will face illicit campaign finance charges.
  • Bond allegedly used $400,000 from FTX and hundreds of thousands of dollars from Salame to fund her congressional campaign.
  • Each of the four charges Bond is facing carries a maximum of five years in prison.
+
  • Buying bitcoin below its 200-week average has historically delivered over 100% in median returns over a year
  • Median time to break even on investment has been just 2 days, with a maximum drawdown of 9% over the subsequent year
  • Historical record shows bitcoin has tended to offer immense value at these levels
+
  • Next bull market will be slower and less volatile due to investors' shift to real-world applications like tokenization and AI
  • Interest in stablecoins and tokenization is growing, with combined market value reaching a record high $322 billion
  • Bitcoin price may take longer to recover due to Wall Street's focus on real-world applications
+
  • Microsoft discovered a new malware called “Crypto Clipper” that spreads via USB drives
  • The worm monitors clipboard for wallet addresses or seed phrases and captures five screenshots in 10 seconds
  • It exfiltrates data through Tor via a SOCKS5 proxy, bypassing traditional C2 infrastructure
  • The malware targets cryptocurrency credentials, raising security concerns for crypto users
  • MFSA launched public consultation on June 12, open until July 10.
  • Proposal creates a new legal category for "software‑based organizations" to cover DAOs and other DeFi entities.
  • Regulator says many DeFi projects retain centralized features, potentially bringing them under MiCA's scope.
  • EU regulators continue reviewing MiCA, with the European Commission seeking feedback on DeFi and stablecoin rules as of May 2026.
+
  • Irish finance ministry labels crypto assets as "very significant" risk for money laundering and terrorism financing.
  • Government plans to implement crypto-related safeguards by the second half of 2027, following its first digital-asset risk assessment in seven years.
  • Around 10% of the Irish population holds crypto, and a $24 million AML fine was levied on Coinbase Europe in November 2025.
  • Crypto flagged for sanctions evasion, tax compliance challenges and bribery, prompting tighter regulatory focus.
+
  • Token automatically toggles between a bank‑issued deposit and a cash‑backed stablecoin as it moves between consortium banks and external users
  • Built on Ethereum, the system has been live since March and is being piloted by banks ahead of a planned Q4 2026 rollout
  • Hazel network aims to let banks offer tokenized payments without moving deposits outside the banking system
  • Stablecoin market cap sits at roughly $315 billion, up from $251 billion a year ago, underscoring rising demand for such solutions
+
  • Co-executive director Hsiao-Wei Wang announced immediate resignation after sabbatical
  • Foundation records roughly 19 layoffs and departures in 2024, adding to earlier exits
  • Vitalik Buterin emphasizes the Foundation's limited role and ongoing governance debate
  • Ethereum's market performance faces pressure amid leadership turnover
  • CFTC permanently bans Alexander Mashinsky from any commodities activity
  • Ban follows his 12-year prison sentence and $48 million restitution order
  • No additional fines were imposed; the ban is recorded in Southern District of New York
  • Regulatory action highlights ongoing scrutiny of the crypto sector
+
  • IREN leads with a $21.1 bn AI infrastructure funding gap, the largest among public miners
  • Sector‑wide capital needed to convert mining sites to AI‑ready data centers is estimated at $50 bn
  • Bitcoin mining difficulty dropped 10.09% to 124.93 trillion on June 14 after ~100 EH/s offline
  • Hashprice fell to about $28 per PH/s, leaving up to 20% of miners operating at a loss
  • Riot Platforms and HIVE Digital face funding gaps of $7.2 bn and $4.6 bn respectively
+
  • Hsiao-Wei Wang steps down as co-executive director of the Ethereum Foundation effective immediately
  • Her resignation follows Tomasz Stańczak’s earlier exit, marking two co-executive departures in 2024
  • Eight senior figures have left the foundation over the past five months, heightening governance concerns
  • Ethereum faces heightened scrutiny and competition from rival blockchains amid leadership turnover
+
  • Ledn will enable Tether Gold (XAUt) as loan collateral later this year
  • Tokenized commodities account for roughly 17% of the $43 bn RWA market
  • Tether Gold's market cap peaked at about $2.89 bn as gold prices neared $5,600/oz
  • Loans will be issued and repaid in USDT or USAT stablecoins, with no scheduled payments
  • Algorand to introduce post-quantum accounts, multisignature wallets, and staking support in 2026
  • Blockchain to achieve broad quantum resistance by the end of 2027
  • Crypto network joins Ethereum and Solana in preparing for quantum-computing threat
+
  • The CoinDesk 20 Index fell 0.9% to 1750.15 since Wednesday.
  • Stellar (XLM) surged 10%, making it a top performer, alongside HBAR (+0.2%).
  • Internet Computer (ICP) dropped 4.1% and Sui (SUI) fell 4%, leading the index's declines.
  • Only 3 out of 20 assets in the index traded higher.
  • May combined exchange volumes decreased 3.45% to $4.41T, the lowest since September 2024, though RWA perpetual futures volumes rose 10.4% to a new all-time high.
  • Fed proposes stablecoin issuers maintain effective customer identification programs
  • Requirements comparable to banks and credit unions
  • Comments due 60 days after Federal Register publication
+
  • Capital B shareholders approve up to $120.4B in financing capacity for Bitcoin accumulation strategy
  • Company to issue up to 125B new shares and 100B euros in credit instruments
  • Existing shareholders to be diluted to 0.24% of ownership if fully exercised
+
  • Bitcoin trades near $63,900, down ~1% on the day amid a rising Dollar Index.
  • Dollar Index up 0.26% to 100.66, approaching a breakout from a 13‑month range above 100.60.
  • BTC’s 90‑day correlation with DXY is –0.82; further DXY gains could push Bitcoin toward the 200‑week SMA at $62,258.
  • May crypto exchange volume fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, lowest since Sep 2024, while RWA perpetual futures rose 10.4%.
+
  • ASTER token rose >10% to ~0.80 USD after announcing a buyback‑and‑burn program allocating 99% of fees
  • The rally reversed, with ASTER down about 5% to ~0.68 USD as the Fed’s hawkish stance lifted the dollar and pressured risk assets
  • Buyback will trigger bi‑weekly token burns until supply reaches a target of 3 billion from the current 7.82 billion
  • May exchange volume fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since Sep 2024, while RWA perpetual futures rose 10.4%
  • MFSA seeks feedback on treating decentralisation as a spectrum rather than a binary concept
  • Paper highlights that many DeFi projects retain centralized features like admin keys and governance concentration
  • Public comments on the discussion paper are open until July 10
  • MiCA excludes fully decentralised crypto services but lacks clear criteria for defining full decentralisation
+
  • Bitcoin slipped to 15th largest asset by market cap, down 10 places in a year.
  • Its market cap is $1.287 trillion, about 50% below the October 2023 peak.
  • Analysts estimate a 5‑10 year horizon for Bitcoin to regain top‑five status, possibly not until 2036.
  • The current bear market is considered roughly 70% complete.
+
  • Aztec's private rollup bridge lost ~1,158 ETH, 150,000 DAI and 0.46 renBTC (~$2.15 million) in Thursday attack
  • This is the second exploit on Aztec within a week, following a $2.1 million theft from Aztec Connect on Sunday
  • The attacks exploited deprecated, immutable smart contracts lacking admin keys or pause functions
  • Researchers advise migrating assets from legacy contracts to mitigate further security risk
+
  • Grayscale projects Aave (AAVE) price at $175 in a one‑year base‑case scenario.
  • The firm estimates Aave could generate $60 million net income in 2026 and values the token at $80‑$100 today.
  • Aave's revenue is expected to grow over sixfold from 2023 to 2025, with an estimated 50% profit margin.
  • Grayscale applies discounted cash flow and earnings multiples, similar to banks and fintech valuations, to DeFi tokens.
  • Rodney 'Bitcoin Rodney' Burton pleaded guilty to conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business.
  • The charge is connected to the $1.8 billion HyperFund crypto fraud, which promised daily passive returns of 0.5% to 1%.
  • Burton personally received at least $7.8 million from promoting HyperFund between June 2020 and January 2022.
  • He faces a maximum sentence of five years in federal prison, with sentencing scheduled for July 23.
  • HyperFund is one of the largest crypto fraud schemes, impacting thousands of investors worldwide.
+
  • Crypto-related stocks close mostly higher as US equities rebound 1.08-1.91%
  • Bitcoin falls 2% to $63,000
  • Miners lead gains, with Cipher Mining up 10.7%
+
  • XRP fell 2.5% to approximately $1.19, dropping below the $1.20 level after briefly trading above $1.22.
  • Heavy selling volume, more than double normal levels, pushed XRP down, but buyers stepped in near $1.18, holding above the $1.17-$1.18 support zone.
  • The pullback does not fully negate last week's breakout but highlights continued resistance near $1.25.
  • Traders are watching $1.20 as immediate resistance and $1.1750 as critical support for future price action.
+
  • Tether is winding down its gold-backed, overcollateralized aUSDT stablecoin and Alloy by Tether after two years.
  • The move aims to reallocate resources to products with stronger user demand, deeper liquidity, and broader long-term market opportunity, such as its XAUT gold-backed digital asset.
  • Users have three months, until September 17, to return aUSDT and reclaim their XAUT collateral.
  • Tether Gold (XAUT) remains popular with a market capitalization of $3 billion, backed by 22,169 kilograms of physical gold.
  • This follows previous discontinuations of Tether's Chinese yuan (CNHT) and euro (EURT) stablecoins in recent months.
+
  • The post forecasts Bitcoin at $145,000 in October 2026 but provides no verifiable source or archive link
  • It asserts the author holds around 90% of Bitcoin supply, which is impossible given the ~20 million circulating BTC
  • The claimed $5.7 trillion market cap is incorrect; at $145k per BTC the cap would be roughly $2.9–3.0 trillion
  • Historical price targets (e.g., $67k in Nov 2021, $16k in Nov 2022) align with actual prices, suggesting possible post‑editing

Geopolitics 59

  • US$300 billion reconstruction fund for Iran outlined in ceasefire agreement
  • No details on who will bear the cost of the fund
  • Washington to work with regional partners on Iran's reconstruction and economic recovery
  • North Korea's Kim Yo-jong condemns G7 call for denuclearisation as a violation of its constitution
  • Denuclearisation is an 'irreversibly finalised agenda' that could never be realised, according to Kim
  • North Korea considers nuclear possession its core interest and an irreversible line
+
  • U.S. Navy ended blockade of Iran's ports and coastal areas on President Trump's direction
  • Iran will permit commercial vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz toll‑free for 60 days
  • Kpler reports more than 12 million barrels of oil moved through Hormuz overnight, including three Saudi tankers with ~6 million barrels
  • Forecast: oil flows could reach up to 50 % of pre‑war levels within 30 days if the agreement holds
+
  • Trump called critics of the Iran agreement “fools”.
  • The United States and Iran signed a deal to end the Middle East war, with implementation talks set for Switzerland.
  • The Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen following the accord.
  • Brent crude fell sharply on the news, with prices dropping around 2%.
  • US and Iran leaders sign a ceasefire pact to de‑escalate regional tensions
  • President Trump warns that US attacks could still be resumed
  • The agreement aims to reduce the risk of further conflict between the two nations
+
  • Supreme Leader Khamenei gave final approval to the US‑Iran memorandum after initially dissenting
  • Iran will waive Strait of Hormuz commercial vessel transit fees for 60 days and the US lifted its naval blockade
  • Kuwait Petroleum Corp. lifted force‑majeure notices and aims to raise oil output to 2 million barrels per day within a week
  • Negotiations in Switzerland have a 60‑day window to address sanctions relief and Iran's nuclear programme
+
  • US CENTCOM announced that all naval blockade enforcement on Iranian ports has ceased.
  • US forces will remain in the area to ensure compliance with the agreement.
  • Vice President JD Vance said 12.5 million barrels of oil moved through the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday.
  • Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority will expedite ship authorizations and clear mines during a 60‑day negotiation period.
  • The suspension of hostilities is expected to ease oil‑transport disruptions that previously halted traffic in the Strait.
  • India released the joint air defense doctrine on May 29, a day before CDS General Anil Chauhan’s retirement.
  • The doctrine calls for a layered "kill‑web" system to counter drones, loitering munitions, cruise and ballistic missiles, integrating ten S‑400 batteries and indigenous PAD/AAD systems.
  • It underpins the Mission Sudarshan Chakra "Indian Iron Dome" effort to shield civilian and military assets across land, air and sea.
  • Analysts warn the enhanced defensive capability could embolden India in limited conflicts with Pakistan, reducing crisis stability in South Asia.
  • Pakistan may view the doctrine as a shift away from credible minimum deterrence, potentially prompting its own arms adjustments.
+
  • Traffic through the Strait could stay below 50% of pre‑war levels for several weeks
  • Full volume recovery may require months, with lingering effects for up to half a year
  • Ongoing disruptions could tighten global oil supply and keep crude prices elevated
  • Xi Jinping officially recognized the Myanmar junta as the “new Myanmar government” and urged “peace talks” in a joint statement released on June 17.
  • The statement ties Chinese support to protecting BRI projects, including the Muse‑Mandalay railway and Kyaukpyu deep‑sea port.
  • China and the junta pledged cooperation on artificial intelligence and digital surveillance, potentially enabling mass monitoring of the population.
  • Resistance forces now control roughly 75% of Myanmar’s territory, limiting Beijing’s ability to impose a full‑scale digital authoritarian state.
  • The article calls for expanded sanctions targeting the junta’s aviation fuel supplies and Chinese AI/telecom equipment.
  • No phone call planned between Trump and Taiwanese leader Lai Ching-te
  • US believes a call could derail expected summit with Chinese President Xi
  • Trump prioritizes summit with Xi over potential Taiwan call
+
  • Iran's oil export model is under strain due to the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz
  • The crisis has turned oil into a problematic asset for Iran
  • Iran's military and political room for manoeuvre has narrowed
+
  • US President Trump and Iran’s Masoud Pezeshkian electronically signed a memorandum of understanding to end the US‑Israel conflict with Iran.
  • The agreement aims to prevent further disruptions to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint for global supply.
  • Analysts warn the pact is built on a fragile foundation and could unravel if Israel or regional tensions flare.
  • Continued uncertainty keeps oil prices on edge, with Brent and WTI futures vulnerable to any escalation.
  • Malaysia's PM Anwar Ibrahim visits Russia for energy security talks
  • Asean-Russia Commemorative Summit tests Washington's influence in Southeast Asia
  • Regional leaders meet Russian President Vladimir Putin despite Western pressure
  • China to strengthen navy escorts for energy shipments
  • Alternative routes to be explored to mitigate supply chain risks
  • Boosting emergency responses and safety guarantees at critical nodes
  • Indian Air Force faces a critical shortage, with 29 fighter squadrons against a sanctioned 42, and delays in inducting new jets.
  • Russia reiterated an offer for joint production of its SU-57 5th-generation fighter, previously abandoned by India over cost and tech access.
  • India is developing its indigenous Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) with a $1.8 billion allocation and an ambitious 2035 deadline.
  • Accepting Russia's offer could divert funds from AMCA and strain India's deepening high-tech defense ties with the U.S. and Europe.
  • India is also procuring 114 Rafale jets from France and considering off-the-shelf SU-57s or leasing as interim measures.
  • Senator Sherwin Gatchalian elected as new Senate president
  • 13 senators present voted to remove Alan Peter Cayetano from the position
  • Vote comes ahead of expected impeachment trial against Vice President Sara Duterte
  • Xi Jinping, aged 73, shows no sign of relinquishing power soon
  • Close aide Cai Qi receives a new senior role, reinforcing leadership continuity
  • Analysts view the appointments as a signal that the current generation will stay in power longer than typical retirement norms
  • Insights drawn from veteran China correspondent Katsuji Nakazawa's experience
  • Former President Barack Obama opened the $850 million Obama Presidential Center campus on Chicago's South Side.
  • Dedication ceremony featured high‑profile guests such as Oprah Winfrey, Steven Spielberg, and performances by Stevie Wonder and Bruce Springsteen.
  • All living former U.S. presidents and first ladies attended, except Donald Trump and Melania Trump.
  • Obama highlighted the center’s purpose to uphold democratic norms and the peaceful transfer of power.
  • Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar announced cutting all communication with EU's top diplomat Kaja Kallas.
  • The decision follows reports that Kallas likened Israel to the former South African apartheid regime.
  • Diplomatic strain has intensified since the Gaza war began in October 2023 and amid settler‑Palestinian clashes.
  • EU officials have not yet responded to the Israeli move.
  • Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rules out any Israeli troop pullout from southern Lebanon at present.
  • He describes the area as a "security zone" to keep Hezbollah forces away from northern Israeli communities.
  • Withdrawal would only be considered if Israel's security requirements change, according to the speech.
  • The Lebanese government views the Israeli presence as an occupation of Lebanese territory.
  • Counting has begun in the Makerfield by-election in Greater Manchester.
  • The contest is viewed as a litmus test for Labour ahead of the next general election.
  • A win for Andy Burnham could see him challenge Prime Minister Keir Starmer for Labour leadership.
  • Strategic elites in Japan and South Korea remain largely skeptical about pursuing nuclear weapons, according to a CSIS survey.
  • If either country were to acquire nuclear arms, support in the other could rise sharply, the poll suggests.
  • The study, released Thursday, warns that such a policy shift could have security impacts exceeding prior regional escalations.
  • Judge James Patrick Hanlon ordered the release of Salah Sarsour after 80 days of detention
  • Court found Sarsour had a substantial First Amendment claim, deeming his detention potentially unlawful
  • ICE had held Sarsour in Indiana; he was returned to Wisconsin pending further proceedings
  • Decision rejected the Trump administration's claim that pro‑Palestinian speech threatens US foreign policy
  • Sarsour lost over 30 pounds during his nearly three‑month detention
  • Under Secretary William Kimmitt accused China of subsidies, dumping, regulatory barriers and support for state-owned enterprises.
  • Kimmitt said the United States has been "asleep at the wheel" on enforcing fair trade measures.
  • The remarks highlight growing US concerns over China’s industrial policy and market access.
  • Taiwan's defense ministry proposes a $6.6 bn budget over six years to buy locally made drones
  • Plan targets more than 208,000 coastal attack drones, over 1,400 reconnaissance drones and 1,320 uncrewed surface vessels by 2031
  • Current Taiwanese drone fleet totals about 5,000 US‑made attack drones
  • Taiwanese companies are seeking partnerships to export drones to the US military and other overseas buyers
  • Airstrike on Kyauktaw town killed at least seven civilians, including a five-year-old child
  • Myanmar military's air force is a key tool against pro-democracy guerrillas
  • Rights groups claim the air force often carries out indiscriminate strikes
  • Federal police carried out 18 search-and-seizure warrants in Brasilia, Bahia and Sao Paulo.
  • Senator Jaques Wagner, a senior Lula ally, was among those targeted in the Banco Master investigation.
  • The scandal also touches the Bolsonaro camp, as recent polls show Lula at 49% versus Bolsonaro's 36.8% in the presidential race.
  • Israeli PM Netanyahu stresses the need to preserve ties with the United States
  • US Vice President JD Vance criticized Israel's actions in Lebanon
  • Israeli cabinet members faced rebuke for criticizing former President Trump's deal
  • Clashes this month have left at least 15 dead as security forces confront protesters.
  • Legislative assembly elections set for July 27, the first vote in the region since 2021.
  • Government upheld 12 reserved seats (over 25% of the assembly) for migrants, sparking JAAC protests.
  • Rising fuel, wheat and electricity costs fuel public discontent alongside political grievances.
  • 29 nations, led by Norway and including the UK, Canada, France, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands and Sierra Leone, issued a joint statement at the UN Human Rights Council.
  • The coalition warned that up to 500,000 civilians in el‑Obeid face risk of large‑scale atrocities and cited at least 50 civilian deaths from ten days of drone strikes.
  • The Sudan conflict has displaced nearly 14 million people; RSF controls Darfur while the Sudanese army holds central/eastern regions, with fighting intensifying over Kordofan.
  • UN High Commissioner for Human Rights warned the offensive could breach international law and urged maximum pressure on RSF and SAF to protect civilians.
  • Indonesia and Timor-Leste launched the first joint truth commission (CTF) in August 2005 to investigate the 1999 violence.
  • The CTF focused on institutional accountability and reconciliation, rather than individual criminal prosecutions.
  • Leaders emphasized shared historical narratives and moral courage as essential for lasting peace, citing lessons for ASEAN.
  • NGOs criticized the commission for limited victim engagement and prioritising diplomatic goals over substantive justice.
  • Attack on Diori Hamani International Airport in Niamey killed at least 11 soldiers and 2 civilians
  • Security forces repelled the raid, killing 22 attackers
  • Gunfire erupted early morning and lasted for hours near the airport
  • Foreign Minister Wang Yi calls for stronger representation of emerging economies in the UN and other global bodies.
  • Beijing's new white paper proposes strengthening the UN's role and giving the Global South a louder voice.
  • Analysts question whether China can successfully lead the Global South amid ongoing conflicts and economic headwinds.
  • Trump blocks Senate hearing for Jay Clayton, keeping Bill Pulte as acting DNI
  • Democrats say Section 702 FISA reauthorization will be blocked while Pulte remains in post
  • Trump ties FISA extension to passage of the SAVE America voter‑ID bill, which lacks Senate support
  • Republican leaders warn of insufficient votes to pass the election bill and express concerns over Pulte's qualifications
  • PM Shehbaz Sharif signed a MoU between the United States and Iran
  • The agreement aims to end hostilities between the two nations
  • The signing took place on Wednesday, 18 June 2026
  • Trump and Modi met on the G7 sidelines in Evian, their first face‑to‑face in 16 months
  • No concrete deals were announced; trade, Quad, defense and visa talks were absent
  • Modi highlighted Indian mariners' safety and the Strait of Hormuz but did not demand an apology for the sailors' deaths
  • Trump hinted at a future G2 summit with China, potentially sidelining the Indo‑Pacific and Quad focus
  • Floating pumice from the Titan Ridge eruption blocks boat travel and access to fishing grounds in Manus Province.
  • The disruption could persist for months or years, affecting food security and livelihoods in coastal communities.
  • Previous submarine eruptions have shown that pumice can remain afloat for years, causing widespread ecological impacts.
  • Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's visit to Mongolia reaffirmed the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, focusing on infrastructure, trade, and critical minerals.
  • Discussions included upgrades to border ports, the Gashuun Sukhait-Ganqimaodu railway, and diversification into agricultural products and renewable energy.
  • Mongolia reiterated its 'One-China' principle and affirmed friendship with China as a top foreign policy priority.
  • Ulaanbaatar continues its 'Third Neighbor' policy, strengthening ties with Japan (Special Strategic Partnership), South Korea (CEPA, tech), and India (mining, defense).
  • A potential state visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to Mongolia in 2026 is under consideration, alongside Mongolia's preparations to host UNCCD COP17.
  • UK Ambassador Peter Wilson visits Yanan, a Chinese communist heartland
  • Yanan is a historic site where President Xi Jinping performed hard labor as a young man
  • The visit is a rare occurrence for a Western official
  • India’s Bharat Innovates summit held in Nice, first outside India, with 120+ startups and focus on AI/tech
  • Nice’s airport (15M passengers/year) and Sophia Antipolis tech park bolster its role as a geopolitical crossroads
  • France-India partnership expands beyond defense to AI, innovation, and Indo-Pacific strategic alignment
  • BJP secured a contentious victory in West Bengal on May 4, amid allegations of electoral roll manipulation affecting over 9 million voters
  • Post-election reports of anti‑Muslim incidents rose, with BJP leaders labeling Muslims as “vermin” and urging stricter border enforcement
  • India’s Border Security Force plans to fence 2,216 km of the Bangladesh frontier in West Bengal, prompting diplomatic pushback from Bangladesh
  • Bangladesh on June 4 said it blocked attempts by India to force migrants across the border, heightening bilateral tensions
  • Two Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office personnel were sentenced in London, receiving eight and up to ten years in prison
  • Bill Yuen Chung-biu, the HKETO office manager, got an eight‑year term for aiding a foreign intelligence service
  • Hong Kong authorities condemned the convictions, calling the allegations unfounded
  • The case underscores ongoing UK‑Hong Kong tensions over espionage and political activism
  • Afghanistan‑Central Asia Consultative Dialogue held in Kabul on April 5, 2026, creating a new regional format
  • Uzbekistan delivered over 290 t of humanitarian aid in March 2026 and 215 t in May 2026 to Afghanistan
  • Kazakhstan aims to raise bilateral trade with Afghanistan from ~$500 m to $3 bn, with rail freight up 77 % to 1 m t in Q1 2026
  • Tajik parliament approved a $57 m China‑financed border‑infrastructure project in March 2026
  • Second Termez Dialogue took place in Tashkent June 4‑6, 2026, underscoring Afghanistan’s integration into the regional landscape
  • G7 leaders called for joint action against North Korean cryptocurrency theft and broader cybercrime.
  • Chainalysis estimates DPRK-affiliated actors stole at least $2 billion in crypto in 2025, raising the total to $6.75 billion.
  • Recent high‑profile hacks linked to North Korea include a $285 million Drift Protocol exploit and a $36 million Humanity Protocol breach.
  • The G7 statement did not specify concrete measures such as exchange screening or sanctions.
  • Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth announced a six‑month Pentagon review of US forces in Europe.
  • Review outcome will depend on how quickly European allies assume primary responsibility for their own defence.
  • Hegseth warned NATO must accelerate and shift to a Europe‑led security posture amid the Iran war.
  • 44.9% of 1,127 respondents said goodwill toward mainland is the most important security approach
  • Survey was carried out from May 28 to May 31, shortly after President Trump's visit to Beijing
  • Conducted by the government-funded Institute for National Defence and Security Research in Taipei
  • Malaysian police sent two Indian nationals back to India after a request from Indian authorities.
  • The deportees are suspected of involvement in an explosion on a railway line in Punjab.
  • Authorities link the suspects to a Khalistan separatist plot targeting the rail network.
  • The case highlights cross‑border cooperation on counter‑terrorism between Malaysia and India.
  • Labour's Andy Burnham is favourite to win the Makerfield seat
  • Victory could boost Burnham's chances of becoming UK prime minister
  • Reform UK candidate faces long odds in the closely watched vote
  • A 6m × 6m floating platform placed by Chinese forces at Scarborough Shoal was removed after patrols by Philippine agencies.
  • Removal was confirmed by aerial and maritime patrols conducted by the Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources and the Philippine Coast Guard.
  • China’s research vessel Yue Zhan Yu Ke 6 was seen dismantling the platform and loading it onto its stern; a smaller Chinese vessel remains nearby.
  • The episode highlights continuing South China Sea tensions, with Manila reaffirming its claim over the shoal.
  • Bangladesh summoned India’s Deputy High Commissioner over alleged mistreatment of PM adviser Zahed Ur Rahman at Delhi airport
  • Incident follows recent diplomatic friction over Assam CM’s remarks on infiltrators and Indian envoy’s perceived 'Akhand Bharat' reference
  • Bilateral tensions persist despite India’s goodwill gestures, including participation in Rahman’s swearing-in ceremony
  • Kentucky AG sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, Webull for operating unlicensed sports betting platforms
  • Prediction markets recorded $25B monthly trading volume in May; lawsuits risk blocking access to major US markets
  • CFTC backs platforms, suing 8 states for overstepping federal commodities law authority on event contracts
  • Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will travel to Assam in early July.
  • Delegation includes leaders from over 50 Japanese companies and organizations.
  • Visit aims to deepen Japan-India ties and explore opportunities in the chip sector.
  • Japan lifted its ban on lethal weapon exports in April, opening new financing opportunities.
  • Large banks such as MUFG, SMBC and Mizuho will now evaluate defense loan requests case‑by‑case.
  • The policy shift is driven by heightened geopolitical risk and expectations of rising defense spending.
  • World Cup matches provide a rare distraction for civilians living under war conditions in Gaza.
  • Frequent blackouts and fuel shortages limit the ability of many to watch the games.
  • A large number of families are displaced, living in tents after Israeli attacks.
  • Hong Kong property tycoon Gordon Wu is optimistic about China's future due to its stability
  • Wu has been betting on China since its opening up in 1978
  • He received the Game Changer Award from the Asia Society for his contributions to China's development
  • Chinese state media and influencers reject claims the film is a propaganda tool
  • The Teochew‑dialect film follows a young man tracing remittance letters from Thailand
  • Counter‑message timed ahead of the film’s release in Singapore and other Southeast Asian markets on Thursday
  • Critics argue the movie aims to expand Beijing’s influence over the Chinese diaspora
  • Chinese officials label the criticism as disrespectful
  • Interview recorded on June 17 in Hong Kong.
  • Features discussion with John Mearsheimer, professor of political science at the University of Chicago.
  • Transcript generated using Alibaba's Tongyi Tingwu AI service and edited for accuracy.
  • A European nation has formally requested Japanese defence equipment.
  • Japanese Defence Minister Shinjiro Koizumi confirmed the request on a Radio Nikkei podcast.
  • The inquiry was raised ahead of the Shangri‑La Dialogue security forum.
  • Potential deal could deepen defence trade ties between Japan and Europe.

Tech/AI 37

+
  • JPMorgan forecasts chip financings to grow to 60% of total annual spending by 2030
  • Nvidia expected to ship 8.9 million GPUs this year, surpassing Google's TPU shipments
  • Total AI capex forecasts grow to $5.5 trillion through 2030
+
  • Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla down 20-33% from highs
  • Semiconductors, memory stocks, and SpaceX-linked opportunities gain momentum
  • Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF up 140% this year
  • DeepSeek raises $7.3B in Series A round, valuing the company at $59.2B
  • Post-investment value of 400 billion yuan ($59.2 billion)
  • Deal marks a significant milestone in China's AI landscape
  • Waymo recalls 3,900 robotaxis in the US to fix software issues related to freeway construction zones
  • 13 known incidents of robotaxis driving into construction zones or entering freeway lanes with active construction
  • Company has limited robotaxi availability for use on freeways while developing a remedy
  • FERC directs grid operators to prioritize data center interconnections within 30 days
  • Data centers will be responsible for paying costs of interconnection
  • Grid operators must submit report detailing spare generating capacity within 60 days
  • Google, Meta, Amazon and Microsoft together plan $750 bn in capex for 2024.
  • The combined AI spending equals roughly 50% of the UK government's annual budget.
  • This represents the highest capex level for the quartet and is projected to rise next year.
  • Analysts warn the spending surge could create depreciation pressure on assets.
  • Block's new AI tool, Builderbot, executes 15% of all production code changes
  • Builderbot merges 1,500 pull requests per week and executes 200,000 operations daily
  • AI tooling is a scaling signal as autonomous agents take on more work
+
  • AI forecasts assume ample electricity, but supply constraints could curb sector expansion
  • Bitzero (AIBZ) locked in over 1 GW of low‑cost power across Norway, Finland and North Dakota
  • Bitzero is already cash‑flow positive, positioning it to profit from the looming power shortage
+
  • 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals upheld Ohio's Social Media Parental Notification Act in a 2‑1 decision.
  • The law mandates parental consent for anyone under 16 on platforms such as Instagram, TikTok and YouTube.
  • Ohio's law, passed in 2023 and effective Jan 2024, had previously been blocked by a district judge.
  • NetChoice argues the law is vague, but the court deemed the parental‑consent requirement a marginal burden.
  • The ruling may set a precedent for other states and countries considering similar child‑protection measures.
  • Chinese team created a brain‑implant electrode array thinner than a hair strand and as soft as brain tissue
  • The flexible array survived 18 months in animal trials while delivering clear long‑term neural recordings
  • The breakthrough addresses durability challenges that have limited brain‑computer interface development
+
  • Meta contracts roughly 1.6 GW of AI computing power from Crusoe across two U.S. sites
  • The data centers are located in Childress, Texas and Warrenton, Missouri
  • One gigawatt can power about 750,000 U.S. homes, underscoring the scale
  • Financial terms and delivery schedule were not disclosed
  • Baseten is close to finalising a $1.5 billion funding round, valuing the company at $13 billion.
  • The round follows a $300 million Series E raised five months earlier at a $5 billion valuation, and a $150 million Series D nine months prior.
  • Investors are split‑priced at $13 billion and $11 billion valuations; co‑led by Spark Capital, Sands Capital, Altimeter Capital and Wellington Management.
  • Valuation rose roughly 160 % in under six months, highlighting the AI inference “gold rush.”
  • NASA has asked Northrop Grumman to stop work on the Lunar Gateway Habitation and Logistics Outpost (HALO) module
  • The HALO module is a 6.1‑meter pressurized habitation unit built under a $1.1 billion contract
  • The move follows NASA's shift from an orbital lunar station to a surface Moon base, repurposing the Power and Propulsion Element for a nuclear‑electric propulsion demo
+
  • Meta lobbies for federal immunity from state child‑harm claims under the Kids Online Safety Act.
  • Proposed language could block thousands of pending lawsuits against Meta and YouTube.
  • KOSA passed the Senate 91‑3 in 2024 but failed in the House; it is now reintroduced with bipartisan backing.
  • A recent trial awarded $6 million in damages to plaintiffs against Meta and YouTube for addictive features.
  • The immunity provision would apply to any claim involving users under 18 and preempt state safety laws.
  • Android developer verification system goes live on September 30, 2026
  • Initial deployment limited to Brazil, Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand
  • Verification will require identity checks for developers publishing outside Google Play
  • Goal is to reduce malware and scam apps by extending verification to participating app stores
+
  • AWS is considering selling its Trainium AI chips to third parties, estimating a $50 billion annual run‑rate if commercialized.
  • Nvidia currently generates about $326 billion in revenue, dwarfing the potential $50 billion chip business.
  • Amazon says Trainium capacity sold out instantly, with the next generation (Trainium 4) not expected for over a year.
  • Selling chips could force AWS to prioritize external sales over existing cloud customers unless production surplus is achieved via partners like TSMC.
  • Arete Research sets a 2027 price target of $401 for SpaceX, implying more than double the current ~$192 price
  • Other Wall Street targets are lower: Oppenheimer $250 (12‑18 months) and Stephens $296
  • SpaceX’s projected 63% CAGR to 2030 hinges on Starship reusability and expansion of Starlink AI data centers
  • Current market cap around $2 trillion; a $401 price would lift it above $5.2 trillion, overtaking Nvidia
  • Company reported a $5 billion loss in 2025 on $18.5 billion revenue
  • Around 53% of U.S. adults say they want to reduce their screen time.
  • Average daily smartphone usage is roughly five hours per person.
  • Companies like Back Market, Light Phone and MOQA are launching products to promote "slowtech" and limit screen time.
+
  • One‑time 50% tax on stock of AI companies with over $200 million in annual AI sales
  • Tax proceeds would create a sovereign wealth fund estimated at $7 trillion
  • Projected dividend to each American could exceed $1,000 annually (5% payout)
  • Major AI firms such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon could be subject to the tax
  • Space firms including Orbital, Starcloud, Lonestar Data Holdings and Cowboy Space are in preliminary talks with insurers for orbital AI data center coverage.
  • The global space insurance market writes roughly $500 million in annual premiums, covering launch failures, satellite malfunctions, debris and space weather.
  • Insurers say the key hurdle is modeling risk for AI chips in orbit, with premium levels still undefined.
  • A briefing at Marsh with about 25 insurers highlighted that broader coverage will depend on startups securing debt financing.
+
  • Developers can distribute iOS apps via alternative stores and process payments outside Apple’s platform in Brazil.
  • New rules require notarization, authorization for alternative marketplaces, and child‑protection safeguards.
  • Apple’s 5% Core Technology Commission fee applies to apps sold through the App Store, web, or alternative stores in Brazil.
  • Developers must accept the updated license agreement by July 6, 2026.
  • Startup is in talks to raise about $300 million, pushing valuation to just over $2 billion.
  • Previously raised a $134 million seed round eight months after spinning out of Medal.
  • Backers include Jeff Bezos, Eric Schmidt, Khosla Ventures and General Catalyst.
  • Uses Medal's dataset of roughly 2 billion videos per year to train embodied AI world models.
  • Guardrails Alliance super PAC has $5 million and aims to raise $15 million this cycle.
  • PAC will fund ads for New York congressional candidate Alex Bores, opposing the $100 million Leading the Future PAC.
  • Leading the Future PAC, backed by OpenAI president Greg Brockman, has amassed over $100 million for AI‑related political spending.
  • Deutsche Bank is leveraging AI to drastically cut technology project completion times from years to 3-6 months.
  • AI is clearing internal work backlogs, reducing tasks that once took months to just weeks.
  • The bank is managing rising AI computing costs by implementing usage-based pricing models and token quotas for engineers.
  • Deutsche Bank is developing AI tools for automating financial data analysis and linking external events to portfolio exposure.
  • The bank maintains a cautious approach, deploying simpler AI models for routine tasks and assessing traditional solutions.
+
  • Adobe is integrating its Firefly AI assistant into Premiere, Illustrator, InDesign, and Frame.io.
  • New AI features enable generation of brand kits, product videos from photos, and storyboards.
  • The Firefly app now allows users to save AI-generated elements and projects for reuse across different creative endeavors.
  • Specific app enhancements include asset sorting and batch renaming in Premiere, and layer reorganization and font checks in Illustrator.
  • Firefly is already compatible with Express, Photoshop, and Acrobat, and supports ChatGPT, Claude, and Copilot, with Google Gemini and Slack integration planned.
  • French software firm ChapsVision grants ethics committee veto power over contracts deemed risky, citing OECD/UN/EU transparency rules
  • ArgonOS positioned as European alternative to U.S.-based Palantir amid privacy and surveillance concerns
  • Company secures government contracts in France and Germany, with French intelligence agency as primary client
  • Pixi released a free iOS app on the App Store that lets iMessage users send AI-powered AR characters.
  • The launch includes three characters—a robot, a cat, and an animated envelope—and simple AR games like tic-tac-toe.
  • On-device AI processes visual and audio data locally, preserving privacy while allowing characters to react to surroundings and facial cues.
  • App is limited to iPhone 11 and newer at launch; expansion to Android, WhatsApp, Instagram and a third‑party character marketplace is planned.
  • Pixi will allow brands to charge for premium characters, but the consumer experience remains free.
  • Baseten secured $1.5 bn in a new financing round.
  • Funding values the startup at about $13 bn.
  • The firm targets cheaper AI model services to compete with OpenAI and Anthropic.
  • Investment highlights rising demand for cost‑effective generative AI solutions.
  • ByteDance plans to invest billions of dollars in AI infrastructure using domestic chips.
  • The firm is evaluating a handful of tier‑two Chinese chipmakers as alternatives to Nvidia.
  • Regulatory constraints on Nvidia have created a gap that Chinese start‑ups hope to fill.
  • Suppliers must scale production quickly to meet ByteDance's AI workload demands.
  • France’s ANSSI to halt certification of security products lacking quantum-resistant encryption starting 2027, full adoption by 2030
  • ANSSI certification required for French government and critical infrastructure contracts
  • US NSA also mandates quantum-resistant algorithms (CNSA 2.0) for national security systems by 2027
  • Japan's cancelled SpaceJet project leaves a gap in its civil aviation ambitions.
  • A Boeing partnership is seen as a way to leverage Japan's advanced manufacturing and captive market for a new commercial aircraft.
  • Analysts say the tie‑up could help Japan keep pace with China's fast‑moving aerospace sector.
  • Chery's KunPeng Sky Optimus engine claims the highest thermal efficiency among recent ICEs.
  • AI‑driven design and fuel‑saving technologies are central to the new efficiency gains.
  • Analysts say the breakthroughs could improve Chinese vehicle fuel economy and export competitiveness.
  • Midjourney, known for AI image generation, announced a body-scanner device for medical imaging.
  • The device claims to capture diagnostic images in about 60 seconds, far faster than typical MRI scans.
  • Company positions the product as a low-cost, spa‑like alternative to conventional MRI equipment.
  • 47% of U.S. singles (aged 18‑39) have a negative view of AI use in romantic contexts.
  • 40% would refuse to date someone using an AI companion app; the figure rises to 51% among women 18‑24.
  • 64% say AI could help them in their dating journey, showing openness to AI features but not AI partners.
  • Only 12% of 18‑24‑year‑olds reported using an AI companion app in the past three months.
  • Mivo Scrolling, released last month, lets users schedule two daily scroll sessions, such as one‑hour windows per day
  • The app offers pause reminders every 2, 3 or 5 minutes to prompt users to reflect on their scrolling intent
  • A home‑screen widget displays daily scroll time and upcoming session schedules
  • Mivo adopts a no‑shaming approach, allowing users to decide whether to continue scrolling after each reflection prompt
  • Kē provides personalized fitness, nutrition and meditation plans with AI chatbot adjustments
  • AI "Karamo" clone, built by Delphi, lets users converse with a digital version of the host
  • Subscription costs $14.99 per month after a 3‑day free trial; available on iOS and Android
  • Launch highlights a growing trend of celebrities partnering with AI voice and clone services
  • Sharp is creating defense communications receivers that can connect to both low‑Earth‑orbit and geostationary satellites
  • Dual‑orbit capability aims to improve link stability for military applications
  • Commercial rollout planned for 2028, with a civilian version also under development
  • Flat‑panel antenna design enables flexible installation on various platforms

Companies 63

+
  • SpaceX saw $85 billion in trading volume on its first day, averaging $66 billion over the first 3 days.
  • The company raised $75 billion in its IPO, more than twice the size of the biggest IPO before it.
  • SpaceX's market cap climbed above Amazon's on Tuesday, closing at $2.66 trillion.
+
  • SpaceX stock fell >6% to $178.50, after a ~5% drop in the previous session
  • Shares stay >30% above the $135 IPO price, valuing the firm at $2.52 trillion
  • Other U.S. space firms fell 3‑7% as profit‑taking spreads across the sector
  • Retail net purchases shrank to $9.1 million on Thursday after $300 million in the prior three days
  • SpaceX is preparing a $20 billion bond offering and a $60 billion stock deal for AI startup Anysphere
+
  • Nippon Steel completed its $14.9 billion acquisition of U.S. Steel one year ago.
  • Vice Chairman Takahiro Mori noted that while some reforms have taken effect, they are not yet meeting expectations.
  • The firm will continue restructuring efforts to improve U.S. Steel's profitability and operational efficiency.
+
  • Demand for memory chips to outpace supply in near term
  • Manufacturing capacity additions unlikely to meet demand
  • Apple, other tech firms vulnerable to ballooning memory-chip costs
+
  • Yum Brands sells Pizza Hut to LongRange Capital for $1.5 billion and to Yum China Holdings for $1.2 billion
  • Pizza Hut's US and international business has struggled with declining same-store sales, while China operations have seen growth
  • Yum China plans to expand Pizza Hut to over 6,000 outlets in China by 2028
+
  • Intel shares jumped 10% after President Trump announced a partnership with Apple on U.S. chip design
  • Intel’s stock has surged 464% over the past 12 months, reaching a market cap of $608.7 billion
  • Apple’s pre‑market price rose 0.3% following the announcement
  • Nasdaq PHLX Semiconductor Index is up roughly 90% year‑to‑date, reflecting sector strength
  • Hive secured a three‑year $220 million GPU cloud contract with Bell Canada and Cohere
  • Deal will deploy 2,304 Nvidia Grace GPUs, adding roughly $70 million in annual recurring revenue
  • Contracted HPC revenue now exceeds $100 million, signaling shift away from bitcoin mining
  • Shares jumped about 10% in pre‑market trading after the announcement
+
  • FDA advisory committee voted 9‑0 to recommend approval of Moderna's mRNA‑1010 flu vaccine
  • Phase 3 trial with over 40,000 adults 50+ showed about 27% higher efficacy versus standard flu shot
  • Substudy of nearly 3,000 adults 65+ showed stronger immune response than high‑dose flu vaccine
  • Safety profile was generally favorable
  • Retail investors have poured billions of dollars into SpaceX-focused ETFs.
  • SpaceX’s implied market value now exceeds the valuation of the most expensive S&P 500 company.
  • The surge is attributed to a “FOMO” mentality rather than traditional fundamentals.
  • ETFs tracking SpaceX have seen the fastest capital inflow among private‑company funds this year.
+
  • Intel names Seok-Hee Lee executive vice president of its contract chip‑manufacturing division.
  • Lee will oversee advanced packaging, system integration, back‑end technology and manufacturing, reporting to CEO Lip‑Bu Tan.
  • The appointment follows Apple’s agreement to design chips with Intel and aims to accelerate Intel’s 18A and 14A process ramps.
  • Intel secured Tesla as its first major customer for the 14A node, targeting mass production by 2029.
+
  • Q2 earnings fell short of analysts' expectations
  • Revenue outlook for the next quarter was lower than consensus forecasts
  • Analysts flag potential integration challenges from newly announced deals
+
  • Akanda stock declined sharply following Nasdaq compliance notice
  • The notice cited failure to meet listing standards such as market cap or share price
  • No immediate timeline provided for remediation; investors monitor potential delisting risk
  • Standard Nuclear has submitted a registration statement to go public.
  • Proceeds are intended to finance the development of advanced nuclear reactors.
  • The IPO could position the company as a key supplier in the emerging nuclear fuel market.
+
  • BHP will book a US$2.3 billion (C$3.25 billion) impairment on the Jansen potash project.
  • The charge reflects rising capital costs and schedule overruns at the Saskatchewan mine.
  • Impairment will weigh on BHP's FY2024 earnings and cash flow.
  • The Jansen mine is a joint venture between BHP and Nutrien.
+
  • Jacobs was awarded a $249 million contract by the U.S. Navy
  • The contract covers engineering services for naval projects
  • The deal expands Jacobs' footprint in the defense sector
  • Contract adds to Jacobs' order backlog and revenue outlook
+
  • U.S. Department of Defense announced a conditional loan commitment of up to $725 million for Energy Fuels
  • Funding will be used to expand the company's rare‑earth production capacity
  • Energy Fuels shares rose sharply following the loan announcement
  • Loan aligns with Pentagon's push for domestic critical mineral supply
+
  • Moody's gave Baa1, Fitch BBB+, and S&P BBB, all investment‑grade with stable outlooks
  • SpaceX's valuation topped $2 trillion after its Nasdaq debut
  • Shares slipped 1.1% in extended trading following a near‑4% drop earlier in the day
  • S&P flagged the AI segment as high‑capital and competitive, adding uncertainty
  • Reformation aims to launch its initial public offering in the summer of 2026.
  • The brand's visibility rose sharply after endorsements by Taylor Swift and Meghan Markle.
  • Analysts expect the IPO could value the retailer in the high‑hundreds of millions of dollars.
  • US President Trump announces a strategic partnership between Intel and Apple
  • Bank of England keeps its policy rate unchanged
  • Investors increase withdrawals from private‑credit funds, indicating sector pressure
  • Snap creates separate company Dotmo to develop generative AI video models for interactive gaming
  • Spin‑off driven by high internal AI costs; Snap will keep a large equity stake and license the technology
  • CTO Bobby Murphy will act as lead investor in Dotmo while remaining Snap's full‑time CTO
  • Follows Snap's 2026 Specs spin‑off and recent layoffs of roughly 1,000 jobs
  • Wealthsimple Predict app slated for summer launch, offering ~4,000 Kalshi event contracts
  • Second Canadian dealer authorized by CIRO to offer prediction market derivatives, with minimum 30‑day settlement
  • Kalshi's recent entry into crypto perpetual futures has triggered a CME lawsuit against the CFTC over classification
  • Regulatory pushback persists globally, with actions in Spain, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea and multiple US states
  • Former Google DeepMind researcher Noam Shazeer, co‑author of the 2017 "Attention Is All You Need" paper, joins OpenAI.
  • OpenAI adds former Trump White House AI policy official Dean Ball to lead a new "Strategic Futures" team.
  • The hires are timed with OpenAI's preparation for a public debut and heightened competition with rivals like Anthropic.
  • Ball's team will focus on AI risk, governance and policy, reporting directly to Chief Strategy Officer Jason Kwon.
  • The moves follow recent U.S. government actions, including a Trump‑ordered export ban on Anthropic's latest models.
  • Two YC Spring 2026 startups are valued at $175 million or more, with 9 Mothers topping $200 million
  • 9 Mothers' AI counter‑drone system has booked $1.6 million in sales and expects a $35 million contract this year
  • Ploy secured a $27 million seed round, led by First Round and Y Combinator
  • Other notable startups focus on AI digital twins, mobile MRI clinics, compliance AI, space‑manufacturing logistics, and no‑code development tools
+
  • Amazon is investigating five engineers who testified before Seattle City Council on a proposed AI data center moratorium.
  • Seattle passed a unanimous moratorium on new AI data centers on June 9.
  • Amazon plans up to $200 billion in capital expenditures this year, mainly for AI infrastructure, while cutting 30,000 corporate jobs since October.
  • A Gallup poll shows 70% of Americans oppose local AI data center construction.
  • SpaceX is planning a bond issuance of at least $20 billion.
  • Bankers expect to meet investors as early as next week.
  • Funds will target AI-related data centers, computing hardware, and power infrastructure.
  • The deal would mark SpaceX's first public debt offering.
+
  • Rivian faces a class‑action lawsuit in California alleging false promises that its first‑gen R1T truck and R1S SUV could operate hands‑free (Level 3 autonomy).
  • The complaint says Rivian marketed the Driver+ system as standard for five years, despite knowing the vehicles could not achieve true hands‑free driving.
  • Rivian previously settled a $250 million shareholder class‑action over price hikes on the same models.
  • Second‑generation 2024 R1 vehicles do include advanced driver‑assist features, but the lawsuit focuses on the earlier generation lacking hands‑free capability.
+
  • Rolls-Royce SMR secured its third major European contract, adding three reactors for Videberg Kraft in Sweden.
  • The project marks Sweden's first new nuclear plant in more than 40 years.
  • The multibillion‑pound export win makes Rolls‑Royce the only SMR developer with multiple binding commitments across Europe.
  • The deal builds on existing contracts in the UK and Czechia, expanding the company's SMR pipeline.
  • Overheating tank of methyl methacrylate prompted evacuation of 50,000 residents in late May
  • Plant, employing ~500 workers, began safety checks to restart limited operations
  • No immediate impact on Boeing 737 MAX, Airbus A350, or Lockheed F‑35 production, according to manufacturers
  • Potential spill of up to 7,000 gallons (26,500 L) of toxic material was averted after tank risk was mitigated
  • GKN plans to double F‑35 canopy capacity by Jan 2027 with a new production line near the site
  • CME filed a lawsuit against the CFTC to stop Kalshi from offering perpetual futures on its platform
  • Kalshi had previously received CFTC approval to list the perp futures on the CME
  • The complaint alleges the regulator violated federal law in permitting the product
+
  • New drilling at the Terronera silver‑gold operation returned high‑grade intercepts.
  • Results point to exploration potential beyond the current mine footprint.
  • Company may extend the mine's life schedule and pursue additional resources in west‑central Mexico.
  • Apple will let developers distribute iOS apps via alternative marketplaces in Brazil
  • Developers can offer non‑Apple payment methods and direct users to external sites for transactions
  • New safeguards include app notarization, marketplace authorization, and child‑safety protections
  • Changes take effect with iOS 26.5 rollout on Thursday following a settlement with CADE
+
  • Spotify introduces "Reserved by Spotify," a new system to hold two tour tickets for eligible top fans before general public sales.
  • The feature is initially available in the U.S. for Premium subscribers (18+) and will debut with artist Role Model's tour.
  • Spotify will not collect fees on transactions, aiming to reward fans and combat scalpers who use automated tools.
  • Currently, the system is limited to Live Nation concerts and Ticketmaster sales, with plans for future expansion to more partners and international users.
  • Eligibility is determined by user activity like streams, shares, and app engagement, with safeguards against bot manipulation.
+
  • Deluxe to acquire Celero Commerce for $625 million
  • Celero Commerce services small and midsize businesses
  • Deal expected to close in Q3 2024
+
  • Manus' original Chinese investors plan to buy back the AI firm from Meta for $2 billion
  • Purchase follows Chinese government order to reverse the deal
  • Meta acquired Manus in 2022 for the same $2 billion valuation
+
  • AgentCard integrates with Visa Intelligent Commerce, letting AI agents transact using Visa-issued tokens
  • Supports AI models from any provider, including OpenAI and Anthropic, while preserving rewards and credit lines
  • Each AgentCard receives a dedicated email address and phone number to establish agent identity
  • Agents can complete purchases like vacations or groceries without the consumer touching a checkout screen
  • BHP plans to divest power transmission assets in Chile valued at about $1.5 billion.
  • The sale is part of a strategic shift to prioritize copper mining over other operations.
  • Assets include high‑voltage transmission lines that support Chile's mining sector.
+
  • STRC closed at $89, about 11% below its $100 par value, its lowest level since launch in July 2025.
  • The decline prompted Strategy to pause its at‑the‑market share issuance, curbing cash for bitcoin purchases.
  • Strategy sold 32 bitcoins (≈$2.5 million) in May to fund preferred‑stock dividends, its first bitcoin sale since 2022.
  • MSTR common stock slipped roughly 5% to $116.52 as the preferred stock dropped.
  • Wall Street firms hesitant to cut jobs despite AI adoption
  • Junior bankers often develop into rainmakers, but AI can model their work
  • Executives weigh AI's potential to augment human talent vs. job losses
+
  • ARK sold its Robinhood (HOOD) stake, exiting the brokerage platform
  • ARK cut its Roku (ROKU) position, reducing exposure to the streaming device maker
  • ARK increased its Eli Lilly (LLY) holding, boosting exposure to the pharma company
  • Komatsu CFO says profit is expected to decline due to weakening demand in the Middle East.
  • Higher fuel costs are projected to erode net profit margins.
  • The company is evaluating price increases for its construction equipment in North America.
  • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan's leading defense contractor, announced development of small interceptor drones.
  • The initiative targets rising demand for low‑cost drones, underscored by the Ukraine and Middle East conflicts.
  • MHI aims to foster a domestic drone industry to lessen reliance on foreign suppliers.
  • The drones are designed for short‑range defense and will complement existing missile systems.
  • Remitly filed a Form 4 insider transaction report on June 17
  • Form 4 disclosures detail changes in holdings by company insiders
  • No immediate market impact anticipated from the filing
+
  • SoundHound AI Inc submitted a Form 4 filing to the SEC on June 17.
  • The filing reports insider transactions, though specific details are not disclosed in the brief.
  • No immediate market reaction or price impact is noted.
+
  • Victoria Ledda appointed group chief information officer, effective July 1
  • Rodrigo Castillo appointed group chief technology officer, also effective July 1
  • Appointments target stronger digital, data and AI capabilities across the bank
  • CBA recently hosted an internal AI summit with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and hired the country's first chief AI scientist in a bank
+
  • Shareholders voted to re‑elect the incumbent board members.
  • Key governance proposals, such as executive compensation plans, received approval.
  • The outcome signals continued support for the company's current management direction.
+
  • COO Jennifer Wong disposed of Reddit shares valued at $6.93 million
  • The insider sale was disclosed in a recent SEC Form 4 filing
  • Analysts may interpret the transaction as a modest bearish signal for Reddit stock
  • Honest Company entered a 10-year lease for its new headquarters
  • The headquarters will be located in Playa Vista, Los Angeles
  • The long-term lease signals a commitment to expand its U.S. operations
  • BTQ Technologies launched a C$150 million share sale program
  • The announcement triggered a drop in BTQ stock price
  • The share offering raises dilution concerns for existing shareholders
  • Team Inc disclosed a change in its chief financial officer.
  • The stock fell on the news of the CFO transition.
  • Investors reacted negatively to the leadership change.
+
  • California CPUC requests court and FCC to reject AT&T’s request to discontinue traditional copper phone service
  • AT&T aims to cease service for about 184,000 residential and 15,000 business customers across 360 wire centers by June 2027
  • State mandates AT&T spend $1 billion annually to maintain a legacy network that serves roughly 3 % of California households
  • AT&T argues replacement services exist, but CPUC says the proof is inadequate
+
  • Options trading on SpaceX saw a sharp increase in volume as the market opened
  • A low-risk strategy is proposed to minimise out-of-pocket costs
  • The approach aims to manage risk while taking advantage of the volume surge
  • Global admin console now shows detailed credit usage by user, product, and model
  • Admins can set default credit limits for the entire workspace and per-group overrides
  • Employees can view their own credit consumption and request additional credits
  • Apple issued Beats Firmware Update 1B211 to address CVE-2025-20701.
  • Vulnerability allowed unauthenticated Bluetooth attackers to eavesdrop via the earbuds' microphone.
  • Fix is delivered automatically when earbuds are paired and within Bluetooth range of an iPhone, iPad or Mac.
  • Users can verify firmware version in Bluetooth settings on their device.
  • New Found Gold transitions from exploration to steady gold production
  • CEO Keith Boyle highlights company's progress in Quebec City
  • Shift in focus from discovery to production expected to drive growth
  • Towngas will increase gas tariffs by 4.4% starting August
  • Half of commercial and industrial customers face up to HK$320 extra per month
  • Around 65% of residential customers will pay no more than HK$10 extra monthly
  • Company pledges no further tariff changes for the next two years
  • Rumble secured 22,000 Nvidia GPU chips to power its AI-driven video services.
  • CEO emphasizes the AI push is a long‑term strategy, not a short‑term fad.
  • The move positions Rumble to compete with larger platforms integrating AI features.
+
  • CFO Hitesh Lath disposed of $374,599 worth of C3.ai shares
  • The insider sale was disclosed in a regulatory filing
  • No other C3.ai executives reported comparable stock sales at the same time
  • BitGo names Angela Ang as head of its Asia-Pacific division.
  • Ang will oversee regional growth, client onboarding, and regulatory compliance.
  • The move underscores BitGo's strategy to expand crypto custody services in APAC.
+
  • Director Joshua Hug sold shares worth $503,675 in Remitly (NASDAQ: RELY)
  • The sale was executed as a cash transaction on the open market
  • No additional insider transactions were reported in the same filing period
  • Wacoal will enter the automotive interior market through a collaboration with BASF's Japanese unit.
  • The company plans to repurpose its Melooop bra‑cup forming technology for car interior components.
  • Expansion is motivated by a shrinking domestic underwear market in Japan.
  • The partnership aims to combine Wacoal's material expertise with BASF's chemical capabilities.
  • Cuentas CAIO OAS Energy LLC bought $4,402 worth of its own shares.
  • The transaction is a modest insider purchase, indicating limited immediate market impact.
  • No specific rationale disclosed; the buyback size is small relative to typical market moves.
+
  • Ajit Mohan, Snap's chief business officer, sold shares worth $38,652.
  • The sale was disclosed in a recent SEC filing.
  • No other insider transactions were reported at the time.
  • Thrivent Financial disposed of $170,081 worth of Gloo Holdings shares
  • The transaction size is modest, suggesting limited exposure to Gloo Holdings
  • No immediate impact on Gloo Holdings' ownership structure was disclosed
  • Sale reported in a recent regulatory filing

Thai Markets 3

+
  • Clicx offers a promotional 4% annual interest on deposits up to 20,000 baht for the first three months
  • Deposits above 20,000 baht earn only 0.5% interest, and each customer may open only one 4% pocket
  • Competing digital savings products from Land and Houses Bank and Kiatnakin Phatra cap rates at 3% for up to 10,000 baht
  • Clicx is a joint venture of Krungthai Bank, AIS and PTT Oil, and plans to add a digital lending service later
+
  • S&P reaffirmed Thailand’s sovereign rating at BBB+ with a stable outlook
  • GDP growth forecast at 2% for 2024, rising to an average 2.3% from 2026‑2029
  • Per‑capita income expected to rise from about $8,000 in 2024 to $9,000 in 2025
  • Fiscal deficit projected to stay near 3.2% of GDP in 2026 and 2027
  • Tourism arrivals down 2.4% YoY in Q1, but remain a key growth pillar
+
  • Average household income dropped 2.5% to 28,308 baht in 2025, the first decline in six years.
  • Earned income contracted 4.8% while income from financial assistance rose 19.4%; 60% of low‑income households rely on aid.
  • Debt burden among lower‑income households increased 1.9%, with over half reporting insufficient income to cover expenses.
  • Income inequality remains high: top 10% earn 14 times the bottom 10%, and labour‑income share of GDP fell to 44%.

Other 38

  • Decision on June 15 removes 155,865 rai of overlapping land from the park boundary.
  • Around 90,000 rai of forest elsewhere will be added to protection through a land-swap.
  • The change affects an estimated 20,000‑30,000 low‑income families and 5,200 claimants in the most complex group.
  • There are about 450 active court cases out of roughly 550 land‑related cases across all groups.
  • Group breakdown includes 55,000 rai (agricultural reform), 8,000 rai (Ban Thai Samakkhi), 80,000 rai (security settlements) and 6,000 rai (military training).
  • NBA will name winning bidders for 12 permanent European franchises in the next 60‑90 days.
  • Bids are due by the end of June; the league aims to debut in October 2027 with teams in cities such as Rome, Milan, London and Istanbul.
  • Basketball accounts for less than 1% of Europe's commercial sports market, with an estimated 300 million fans.
  • NBA Europe could face U.S. and Canadian teams in preseason games and later in the Emirates NBA Cup.
  • All living former US presidents attended, except current President Donald Trump.
  • The Obama Center, costing $850 million, opened to the public on Friday.
  • The complex includes a museum, a digital archive, a basketball court and a 225‑foot granite tower.
  • Celebrities such as Steven Spielberg, Oprah Winfrey, Stevie Wonder and Bruce Springsteen performed.
  • Foreign guests included former Italian PM Matteo Renzi and former German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
  • Hackers accessed driver’s license and passport data of more than 3 million Texans
  • Breach stemmed from the department's license system vendor that manages hunting and fishing permits
  • Personal details such as email addresses, phone numbers and residential addresses were also exposed
  • State cybersecurity unit detected the incident, but timing and method remain undisclosed
  • Rep. Bryan Steil (R-WI) is introducing a provision to ban lawmakers and their families from betting on political prediction markets.
  • The measure is an amendment to a pending bill that also seeks to ban members of Congress from purchasing new individual stocks.
  • Violators would face a fee of $2,000 or 10% of the transaction value (whichever is greater), plus any gains.
  • The provision allows lawmakers and their families to place bets on non-political events, such as sports.
  • The House bill, backed by Speaker Johnson and Trump, faces a high bar for Senate passage due to a lack of bipartisan support for the broader stock trading ban.
  • Carbon Engineering raises $500M for direct air capture tech
  • Iran's oil revenues may rise as OPEC+ cuts output
  • Recycling giant, Sims Limited, invests in automation
  • Vanguard data shows fewer than 50% of eligible employees contribute to Roth 401(k) plans
  • Many workers still favor traditional pre‑tax contributions despite potential tax‑free growth
  • Advisors recommend younger workers consider Roth contributions to lock in lower tax rates now
  • The White House retired one of the two Air Force One aircraft that have served presidents for over 30 years.
  • The retired jet is a Boeing 747 that was controversially gifted by Qatar to former President Donald Trump.
  • The Qatar‑gifted Boeing 747 is expected to enter service as the replacement for the retired aircraft.
  • Federal court issues ruling limiting Trump's administration's ability to deny wind farm permits
  • First major legal setback in Trump's long‑standing opposition to wind energy
  • Decision could pave way for future wind project approvals despite political resistance
  • The Trump administration had slated the shutdown of the Ocean Observatories Initiative, a $350 million network.
  • Opposition from weather forecasting and fisheries stakeholders intensified after the decision was announced in May.
  • Following a Senate vote, officials indicated the plan will be reversed, with a formal announcement expected today.
  • Fees range from 14%‑23% of enrolled debt (New Era) to 15%‑25% for most firms
  • Minimum debt to enroll is typically $10,000 across providers
  • Debt settlement usually harms credit scores and forgiven amounts may be taxable income
  • Availability varies: New Era excludes IA, ME, OR; Pacific excludes OR; CuraDebt excludes PA
  • DNA from teeth at four Lake Baikal cemeteries revealed Yersinia pestis infection.
  • The outbreak occurred about 5,500 years ago, marking the earliest known plague event.
  • The sequenced strain is the oldest Y. pestis genome identified to date.
  • Findings suggest plague affected hunter‑gatherer groups before the rise of agriculture.
  • NCERT replaced altered image of 4-inch bronze 'Dancing Girl' figurine with original nude version in Class IX textbooks
  • Controversy reflects broader cultural tensions under BJP's conservative Hindutva agenda
  • Pakistan also censored figurine during Partition, opting for clothed male 'priest-king' to avoid religious backlash
  • 93% of mainland Chinese families on Hong Kong talent visas say education is the primary motive for relocation
  • Nearly 80% move when their children are in upper secondary school
  • Survey conducted May‑June by Beacon Group, a leading tutoring and college admissions consultancy
  • Talent visa scheme targets high‑skill workers, potentially boosting Hong Kong's talent pool
  • Lawsuit filed in Kobe district court alleging wrongful detention and interrogation by authorities
  • Girl was held for 18 days, released, and died five months later weighing just 20 kg (44 lb)
  • Case highlights concerns over Japan's "hostage justice" practice in criminal investigations
  • 35-year-old programmer Cheung Lai-ming convicted on four charges for bomb plot activities
  • Sentenced to 14 years in prison for making explosives in his Wong Tai Sin flat
  • Admitted to storing over 20kg of chemicals capable of producing explosives, targeting attacks from Aug 2019 to May 2022
  • Cafe Marz Menu won ballot for dog-friendly licence but faces legal hurdle
  • Homeowners must amend deed of mutual covenant to allow dogs on premises
  • Current land-use document bans dogs on Kai Yan Court in Kai Tak
  • Switzerland won 4-1, scoring all five goals in the final 30 minutes.
  • Johan Manzambi entered at the 71st minute and scored a brace, including the 90th-minute winner.
  • Bosnia received a red card in the 80th minute after Tarik Muharemovic fouled Breel Embolo.
  • The victory puts Switzerland top of Group B with one win and one draw.
  • Bosnia stays on one point and must win its final group match against Qatar to advance.
  • New York Knicks capture first NBA title in 53 years
  • Finals MVP Jalen Brunson honored with city keys
  • Mayor Zohran Mamdani presents keys during Manhattan parade
  • Large crowds raise concerns about Ebola spread as the tournament draws global fans
  • Ticket prices for in‑stadium matches can exceed $1,000, limiting physical attendance
  • Fans rely on online streams and fan zones, especially in Washington, to follow matches
  • Autopsy confirms 11-year-old victim was raped prior to death
  • Girl, identified as Lyhanna, disappeared on May 29 in Fleurance, southwestern France
  • Body found a week later in an abandoned silo
  • Main suspect is 41-year-old father of a school friend, previously accused of rape
  • Twins Olivia and Gianna, Filipino, underwent separation surgery in Saudi Arabia
  • Procedure lasted six hours and was performed in six stages
  • 22 specialized medical staff participated in the operation
  • Neymar will miss Brazil's Group C match versus Haiti as he stays in New Jersey for calf injury recovery
  • The 34-year-old forward remains Brazil's all‑time top scorer with 79 international goals
  • Brazil opened the tournament with a 1‑1 draw against Morocco; his absence fuels debate over his squad selection
  • Elye Wahi obtained travel authorization to Canada for the World Cup match against Germany after an earlier denial.
  • The Ivorian Football Federation announced the visa was secured just hours after stating he could not travel.
  • Wahi was linked to a sport‑corruption probe but has not been charged and faces no judicial restrictions.
  • The federation reaffirmed confidence in Wahi, calling him an important member of the national team.
  • Messi's father Jorge is under medical follow‑up and recovering, according to a family statement.
  • The family asked for privacy after rumors of his death circulated following Messi’s emotional World Cup match.
  • Jorge Messi, who managed Lionel’s contracts and business affairs, has not disclosed the specific health issue.
  • Match ended 1-1 after Teboho Mokoena converted a penalty in the 85th minute.
  • Both South Africa and Czechia earned their first point after losing opening games.
  • South Africa now have one point and face South Korea in their next group match.
  • Czechia also sit on one point and will play Mexico in their upcoming fixture.
  • Mayor Zohran Mamdani announced plans to phase out the 150‑year‑old horse carriage sector.
  • The move follows the death of 18‑year‑old Romanch Mahajan in Central Park.
  • City officials say the industry will be targeted for closure pending safety reviews.
  • A 3‑year‑old boy entered the crocodile enclosure at Johnson’s of Old Hurst zoo in Cambridgeshire.
  • The child suffered serious injuries and was taken to hospital in critical condition.
  • Police arrested a man on suspicion of attempted murder in connection with the incident.
  • The incident occurred on Thursday; authorities are investigating the circumstances.
  • MapTap presents five daily location clues, each scored 0-100 based on proximity
  • Later questions multiply scores by 2‑3, allowing a maximum possible score of 1,000
  • Players share results via a text snippet, e.g., a final score of 828
  • First former ISS long-duration resident to die in 26 years
  • Served twice as a crew member aboard the ISS, including during the final US space shuttle mission in 2011
  • Cause of death unknown
  • Vietnamese police rescued approximately 400 cats destined for slaughter in a major operation.
  • The bust uncovered a nationwide racket involved in the pet meat trade, transporting animals from south to north.
  • Hundreds of desperate cat owners visited police headquarters to identify their lost pets among the rescued animals.
  • This operation is believed to be one of the largest of its kind against the illicit pet meat trade.
  • 37-year-old police officer shot his wife and mother-in-law outside a gym in Buriram province
  • Two gym trainers restrained the officer after he attempted to flee the scene
  • Police from Nang Rong Station arrived and took the officer into custody
  • Two live worms, each about 10 cm long, were extracted from a woman's arm in Shenzhen, Guangdong.
  • The lump grew over a year, eventually reaching the size of a quail egg before treatment.
  • The case was reported by Shenzhen TV after the patient sought care at Shenzhen People’s Hospital.
  • Japanese football fans tidy up stadium after match against Netherlands
  • Meme highlights perceived double standards in men's behavior at home
  • Spoof train etiquette poster goes viral on social media
  • Sony Pictures released a new trailer for 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day'.
  • The film is a follow-up to 2021's 'No Way Home', marking five years since a Spider-Man movie on the big screen.
  • The previous film concluded with Peter Parker's memory erased from everyone, including MJ.
  • The new trailer features the characters Hulk and Punisher alongside Peter Parker.
  • A Singaporean man pleaded guilty to sending an edited photo of Marina Bay Sands on fire to Senior Minister Lee Hsien Loong's Facebook page.
  • The message accompanying the fake photo also mentioned a 'bomb'.
  • He faces charges under the Miscellaneous Offences (Public Order and Nuisance) Act for knowingly sending a false message.
  • A second charge for obstructing justice by performing a factory reset on his phone will also be considered.
  • Young Chinese tourists visit South Korea for cheaper beauty services
  • Services include colour analysis, make-up, hairstyle, and ID photography
  • Shift from traditional cosmetic surgery to day-trip beauty experiences
  • Mangione is charged with killing an insurance CEO.
  • His legal team may argue a mental breakdown as a defense.
  • Experts say proving a mental breakdown defense is difficult in homicide cases.