◆ Daily Global-Macro Brief LIVE
TODAY IN 30 SECONDS
  1. Fox to Acquire Roku in $22B Deal · 5 sources
  2. US stocks rise and oil falls after US‑Iran cease‑fire agreement · 3 sources
  3. US-Iran peace deal lifts equities, pushes oil down, crypto gains remain modest · 3 sources
  4. US Stocks Surge on U.S.-Iran Peace Deal · 2 sources
  5. BoJ set to raise rates to 1% as USD/JPY hovers above 160 ahead of Fed decision · 2 sources

Markets 40

+
  • Dow Jones hit an intraday record as US‑Iran deal lifted equities
  • Crude oil futures slipped to three‑month lows while gold jumped
  • US dollar fell to a 10‑day low versus euro and pound; Treasury yields dropped to one‑month lows
  • Tech sector led gains with chip stocks surging
+
  • Global equity indices rallied, with MSCI Asia‑Pacific up 3% and Japan's Nikkei 225 hitting a record high
  • Oil prices fell more than 4% on expectations that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen
  • Bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies were largely unchanged, with the CoinDesk 20 Index up only 2.4% in 24 h
  • BTC derivatives open interest rose 7% to $17.4 bn, while funding rates stayed near‑zero, indicating limited directional bets
+
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average gains 607 points, or 1.2%, to hit fresh record
  • S&P 500 climbs 1.3%, Nasdaq Composite pops 2.2%
  • US crude falls 5% to around $80 per barrel
+
  • AUD/USD rises 0.35% to 0.7070 as US-Iran framework agreement reduces demand for safe-haven assets
  • US Dollar weakens, with DXY falling 0.3% to 99.50
  • Oil prices decline sharply, with WTI losing 5%
+
  • Japanese Yen in focus as FX markets react to geopolitical de-escalation and shifting risk sentiment.
  • Markets watching upcoming Fed and BoJ decisions and potential intervention risks.
  • Risk repricing supports risk assets, but investors remain attentive to policy divergence involving JPY, KRW and USD.
+
  • USD/JPY holds near 160.15 after early losses, with Yen underperforming peers amid BoJ policy uncertainty
  • BoJ expected to hike rates by 25bps to 1.0% on Tuesday, but guidance from Deputy Governor Uchida remains a key risk
  • Risk sentiment lifted by US-Iran deal finalization, but Yen remains pressured by fiscal easing plans and energy price risks
+
  • US Dollar extends losses after US-Iran interim agreement
  • Deal expected to ease global economic risks and support Dollar reversal
  • Fed rate hike expectations scaled back, but hawkish surprise possible
+
  • US stocks surge 1.2% as investors react to Iran nuclear pact
  • Brent crude drops 3.5% to $68.23, lowest since March 5
  • WTI crude falls 2.8% to $63.45
+
  • Nvidia announced a $25 billion corporate bond sale, its first in five years
  • The issuance targets investors seeking high‑yield exposure to the tech sector
  • At $25 billion, the offering ranks among the largest single‑company bond issues this year
  • Proceeds are expected to support Nvidia's R&D, capital expenditures, and working capital
  • Analysts anticipate strong demand given Nvidia's recent performance and growth outlook
+
  • Retail investors bought $117 million of SpaceX shares on debut, accounting for 56% of all retail equity purchases that day.
  • SpaceX IPO allocated 20% to retail investors, while institutions took 70% and hedge funds 10%.
  • The stock rose about 11% in early trading, reaching $179 per share.
  • The offering expands the tech elite from the 'Magnificent 7' to a 'FAB 10' that now includes SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic.
  • Weekly net retail buying of individual stocks fell to $209.3 million, the lowest level since March 2020.
  • Global equity markets climb after interim peace agreement is announced
  • Major indices such as the S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx rise roughly 0.5%–1%
  • Fox Corp. announces acquisition of Roku, expanding its streaming presence
  • AI startup Anthropic faces consumer lawsuit over alleged usage limits
+
  • DJIA futures climbed about 1% to a fresh intraday high near 51,950, approaching the 52,000 resistance level
  • The rally was sparked by a preliminary US‑Iran cease‑fire framework that pushed crude oil prices lower
  • The Fed’s June FOMC meeting is expected to keep rates unchanged, with a 97% probability of no hike
  • Key technical support sits around 50,800, with the 50‑period EMA near 49,850 and the 200‑period EMA near 47,900
+
  • VIX fell below 16 on Monday, marking a sharp unwind of recent volatility spikes.
  • Nasdaq 100 jumped 3% and the S&P 500 rose about 1.7% as semiconductor stocks added over 4% to a new all‑time high.
  • SpaceX shares surged 13% after the $2 trillion IPO, pushing the company's market cap toward $2.5 trillion.
  • Options trading saw $93 million in premium, with more than $70 million in puts; the 16‑strike VIX put was the most‑traded contract (46,000 contracts).
+
  • USD index fell to a one‑week low near 99.38, trading around 99.57
  • DXY holds above 50‑, 100‑ and 200‑day SMAs (≈98.88‑98.70), limiting downside
  • Fed outlook remains hawkish; markets expect rates unchanged with possible year‑end hike
  • US‑Iran peace framework eased safe‑haven demand, weakening the dollar
+
  • EUR/USD holds around 1.1598 after hitting an intraday high of 1.1662.
  • US‑Iran peace framework pushes oil prices lower, reducing energy‑price pressure on the Eurozone.
  • Fed rate decision on Wednesday is fully priced in as a pause, shifting focus to forward guidance.
  • ECB officials cite upside inflation risks and keep policy options open for the July meeting.
+
  • AI sector gains face valuation pressure if Fed signals prolonged high rates
  • Higher borrowing costs could slow venture capital and startup funding for moonshots
  • Market focus shifts to Fed meeting for cues on rate trajectory and economic outlook
+
  • Oil and AI-related trades surged during the conflict
  • Bonds, most European equities, and precious metals fell
  • Current market reaction is consistent with the broader context
+
  • Record short yen positions, up 4x since late Feb, with leveraged funds increasing shorts since conflict started
  • USD/JPY above 160.00 ahead of BoJ meeting, with MUFG expecting a fully priced 25 bps hike
  • Persistent yen weakness may prompt intervention, especially if energy prices and Fed expectations support a stronger yen
  • A tentative agreement on Iran's nuclear program was announced
  • Equity markets rallied sharply on the news
  • Major indices rose, reflecting investor optimism
+
  • EUR/USD holds above 1.1600, near 10-day highs, after US-Iran peace deal boosts risk appetite
  • Eurozone industrial production rose 0.1% in April vs. 0.3% expected; trade balance swung to €1B deficit
  • Brent crude fell to 3-month lows near $82 on Iran peace hopes, easing pressure on Eurozone importers
  • ECB hawks Kazaks and Nagel flag inflation concerns, supporting hawkish rate expectations
+
  • BoE expected to hold at 3.75% with 7-2 vote split on Thursday
  • GBP/USD forecast to fall to 1.3100 amid weak UK growth vs stronger US outlook
  • UK political risks (e.g., Reform UK lead in polls) may worsen fiscal credibility and pressure GBP
+
  • USD/JPY trades near 160 with dips bought despite lower oil prices and BoJ 25bp hike expectations
  • BoJ rate hike seen as certain; market eyes narrowing 2-year UST/JGB spreads to ease intervention pressure
  • Speculative short JPY positioning at multi-year highs amid high-stakes BoJ-Fed policy divergence
+
  • NZD/USD up 0.17% to around 0.5840 as US‑Iran tensions ease
  • WTI crude drops nearly 5% on expectations of resumed flow through the Strait of Hormuz
  • US Dollar Index falls toward the 99.50 level amid broader USD weakness
  • Fed rate decision expected later this week, markets anticipate a hold
  • New Zealand services PMI slips to 47.5, marking a fourth month of contraction
+
  • GBP/USD opened around 1.3450 after US‑Iran ceasefire but retreated to ~1.3400 by close
  • US data (Empire State Index 5.7, Industrial Production +0.1%) softened the dollar but it held ahead of the Fed’s 3.50‑3.75% rate decision
  • UK CPI expected at 2.8% YoY; BoE likely to hold rates, leaving the pound without a domestic catalyst
  • Technicals show GBP/USD pinned between 200‑EMA at 1.3400 and 50‑EMA near 1.3450, limiting upside unless Fed signals dovishness
  • Market pricing shows a 57% probability of a Fed rate hike in December, keeping the dollar resilient
  • June triple witching (simultaneous stock, index and futures options expiry) set for June 21
  • New SpaceX options contracts slated to launch this week, adding a fresh trading instrument
  • A shortened four‑day trading week compresses activity, raising potential volatility
+
  • Canadian precious metals miners are highlighted amid stable gold prices
  • Palm oil prices remain steady, supporting commodity exporters
  • London-listed mining companies receive coverage in the market talk
  • Overall basic materials sentiment stays neutral
  • 78 World Cup games across 11 U.S. cities are being financed partly with municipal bonds
  • Funding targets four infrastructure categories: transit, airports, convention centers, and urban projects
  • Secondary‑market muni bonds offer higher spreads than primary issues, according to Nuveen
  • Houston airport expansion and Dallas convention center bonds highlighted as attractive risk‑adjusted returns
  • Nuveen holds related bonds in multiple funds, including the All‑American Municipal Bond Fund
  • Hot inflation and jobs readings mask a more somber reality, according to Citrini
  • This could be good news for the stock market
  • Strategists expect a potential rally if the market gets the go-ahead
+
  • USD/CAD holds above 1.3950, eyeing 1.4020 seven-month highs amid mixed drivers
  • Brent crude at three-month lows weighing on CAD, Canada's key export revenue driver
  • Fed decision on Wednesday in focus; BoC left rates unchanged last week amid inflation-growth trade-offs
+
  • USD/CAD expected to trade within a broad range in the near term
  • Limited directional conviction due to shifting expectations for Fed and BoC policy
  • Sustained break outside of range requires material shift in interest rate expectations or significant oil price move
+
  • AUD/USD trades at 0.7072, up ~0.3% on day, supported by risk-on sentiment and falling oil prices
  • Pair breaks above trendline resistance, with RSI and MACD indicating sustained bullish momentum
  • RBA expected to hold rates Tuesday; Fed seen on hold Wednesday, with potential dovish shift under new chair Warsh
+
  • Rabobank expects EUR/USD to rise from 1.15 to 1.16 in 3 months and 1.17-1.18 in 6-9 months
  • Dollar softened after ceasefire eased tensions, reducing safe-haven demand and Fed hike expectations
  • Technical resistance at 1.1673-1.1677 (200-day and 50-day SMAs) may cap gains
+
  • Riksbank seen holding policy rate at 1.75% for sixth straight meeting on Thursday
  • Bank may push back against market pricing for a 25bps hike by year-end, weighing on SEK
  • Updated forecast likely signals no rate changes through Q4 2026, extending hold into 2027
+
  • Bitcoin fell about 1% to $66,500, still up 4.5% over the past 24 hours
  • SpaceX stock rose 18% in afternoon trading, up 40% since IPO, now around $190
  • Nasdaq index near session high, up roughly 3% in late trading
  • Fed meeting this week; markets expect no immediate rate change but anticipate hikes later in the year
+
  • WSJ Dollar Index fell 0.12% to 96.22.
  • Marks the second decline in three trading days.
  • Index stays near recent mid‑90s support level.
  • Recent market data shows a rise in the frequency of price gaps across major indices
  • Analysts argue gaps may indicate underlying momentum or supply‑demand imbalances
  • Strategies that monitor and react to gaps are being evaluated for potential edge
+
  • Cramer advises investors to focus on a handful of high-conviction stocks to boost portfolio returns
  • He cites Nvidia as a prime example of an AI-driven growth stock
  • He recommends balancing passive index exposure with active stock selection based on age, risk tolerance, and time horizon
+
  • USD/CHF fell over 0.34% to 0.7943, staying below the 0.8000 resistance.
  • Pair remains in an inverted head‑and‑shoulders pattern above the 200‑day SMA at 0.7906; RSI stays above 50.
  • Next resistance levels: 0.8000, then 0.8042 and 0.8100; support at 0.7906, 0.7900, 0.7864, 0.7835.
  • Move follows broader G8 FX appreciation of the dollar after US‑Iran peace deal.
  • Nordic banks under scrutiny
  • Indonesia's Jakarta Composite Index gains
  • Malaysia's consumer-price index rises
  • Market sentiment mixed

Macro/Economy 18

  • Rebalancing towards real assets and inflation hedges: 30% of institutional portfolios now allocated to real assets
  • Selective risk in equities: quality over momentum, with defence, semiconductors, and energy transition technologies seeing sustained inflows
  • The rise of infrastructure as a core allocation: 15% of institutional portfolios now allocated to infrastructure
  • Digital finance and the institutionalisation of crypto: 5% of institutional portfolios now allocated to digital assets
  • Liquidity, optionality, and the value of dry powder: 20% of institutional portfolios now held in cash or near-cash instruments
+
  • Retail sales rose only 0.2% in April, forecast to be flat in May YoY
  • Industrial output expected to tick up to 4.3% in May, from 4.1% in April
  • Fixed‑asset investment YTD projected to fall 2% in first five months, with a 13.7% real‑estate drag
  • Analysts doubt Q2 GDP can sustain 4.6% growth, see 4% as likely ceiling
  • AI‑related chip exports lift inflation, but property slump remains the biggest downside
+
  • New bank loans in May totalled 520 billion yuan, down from 620 billion yuan in the prior month.
  • Household deleveraging persisted, signaling continued weakness in consumer credit demand.
  • Investment activity remained subdued, with the tech sector the only area showing notable growth.
  • Overall consumption stayed sluggish, underscoring ongoing demand challenges for the Chinese economy.
  • 90% of global businesses plan to electrify operations by 2035
  • Geopolitical instability drives demand for renewable energy
  • Survey of 1,994 business leaders across 18 markets
+
  • 10-year Treasury yield falls 2.1 bps to 4.459%
  • 2-year Treasury yield drops 3.1 bps to 4.054%
  • Oil prices tumble 5% after Iran deal announcement
  • Higher oil prices, China's export surge, and US AI investment driving hawkish shift at central banks
  • Supernormal profits and manageable funding costs expected to support risk assets through 2026
  • Spikier inflation and hawkish central bank thinking complicate macro landscape
+
  • US inflation has risen to 4.2%, the highest level in more than two years.
  • Tisco expects inflation to stay elevated while economic growth slows in the second half of 2026, raising stagflation risks.
  • Three major risks identified: a potential oil shock from Middle East tensions, persistently high US Treasury yields, and stagflation.
  • Thai equities are projected to maintain an upward trajectory, with valuations below historical averages and GDP growth potential of 3‑4%.
  • Tisco recommends overweighting commodities, energy, consumer staples and gold to hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.
  • EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) imposes tariffs on imported steel based on carbon intensity
  • Chinese steel firms must certify emissions data, adding compliance costs and causing production delays
  • The rules are described as "absurd" by Chinese exporters, heightening trade friction between Beijing and Brussels
  • Bank of Thailand workforce fell to 116,721 in Q1 2026 from 119,051 at end‑2025.
  • Bank branches declined to 4,575 in April 2026, down from 4,696 at end‑2025.
  • AI adoption is expected to impact employment gradually, with no immediate large‑scale job cuts.
  • TMBThanachart Bank plans to invest 3.5 billion baht in digital and IT projects in 2026, up from 2.7 billion baht in 2025.
  • Japan accounted for 28% of direct investment in Asia-Pacific commercial real estate in 2023
  • Grade‑A office vacancy in Tokyo fell to 0.7% in Q1 2024
  • Tokyo rents have risen for nine straight quarters, up 13.2% year‑on‑year
  • Government extended the 2025‑autumn environmental exemptions for fuel refineries
  • Selected refineries may produce gasoline and diesel with higher sulfur content
  • Policy aims to alleviate domestic fuel shortages while export bans on refined products stay
  • Central government asked 15 states or territories to speed up clearances for nuclear plants and battery storage projects
  • Fast‑track approvals aim to bolster energy security amid rising power demand
  • The push targets both new nuclear power plants and large‑scale battery energy storage systems
  • Investors focus on ECB tightening and potential higher‑for‑longer rates
  • Upcoming Fed and BoJ decisions are key drivers of market sentiment
  • China's growth remains supported by external demand, yet equity outflows continue
  • Indium imports from China rose to 94.2% in 2025, up from 44.1% in 2015.
  • Gallium's Chinese share fell from 73.6% in 2024 to 26.0% in 2025 after export controls.
  • Germanium imports now 70.7% from Canada, with China down to 14.8% in 2025.
  • Antimony's Chinese share dropped to 27.2% in 2025, while Thailand supplies 48.6%.
  • Social Security trust fund projected to deplete by late 2032, requiring 78% benefit payouts unless action taken
  • Raising retirement age to 69 could cut median retiree benefits by $345–$741/month (17–35%)
  • Republicans previously proposed raising retirement age but latest budget claims no cuts to benefits
  • Experts warn age hike is long-term fix, not immediate solution, and disproportionately affects lower-income seniors
  • Solar capacity expected to rise 22% per year, outpacing overall power demand
  • Total electricity demand forecast to increase 6% annually over the next decade
  • Data‑center expansion and broader electrification identified as primary demand drivers
  • End of Middle East war seen as positive for Thai/global economies, reducing energy-price crisis risk
  • Oil prices may remain elevated for years due to damaged production/storage facilities
  • Thailand plans 200B baht loan to boost renewable energy and reduce oil dependence
+
  • Eurozone industrial production rises 0.1% in April, slower than 0.3% estimates
  • Annualized industrial output rises 0.3% after declining 2.8% in March
  • EUR/USD up 0.35% to near 1.1610 due to cheerful market sentiment

Central Banks 10

+
  • USD/JPY trades above 160.00, near multi-decade highs ahead of the BoJ meeting.
  • BoJ likely to lift its policy rate to 1% (0.25 ppt hike), already ~80% priced.
  • Rate gap with the Fed stays around 275 bps, sustaining carry‑trade pressure on the Yen.
  • Key resistance at 160.50‑161.00; intervention odds rise near 162.00, support around 159.50‑159.00.
+
  • BOJ raises short-term policy rate to 1% from 0.75%
  • First rate hike since December, aligns with other central banks
  • Rate hike expected to combat inflation and energy shock
+
  • President Trump publicly backs new Fed chair Kevin Warsh, giving him political leeway
  • Warsh is expected to keep rates steady at the upcoming meeting despite Trump’s demand for cuts
  • Core PCE inflation is 3.3%, above the Fed’s 2% target, prompting some members to signal possible hikes
  • CME FedWatch now expects at least one 0.25% rate increase this year
  • Warsh may seek to remove the Fed’s “easing bias” and tolerate dissent within the FOMC
+
  • Fed funds futures price in 0% chance of June rate cut, per CME FedWatch
  • Warsh may favor 'trimmed mean' inflation metric, which currently signals dovish tilt vs. rising core CPI
  • Higher borrowing costs and energy prices strain U.S. household budgets, exacerbating K-shaped recovery
+
  • ECB’s Peter Kazimir emphasizes need for further monetary tightening despite US-Iran peace framework
  • Core inflation outlook above 2% remains uncomfortable, favoring front-loaded rate hikes
  • Energy shock impact on economy requires ECB vigilance and potential policy response
+
  • ECB to pilot wholesale tokenised transactions in central bank money via Pontes and Appia projects in 2026
  • Digital euro proposed to ensure public money access in retail payments, breaking dependence on foreign card schemes (60%+ of EU card payments)
  • ECB linking TIPS instant payment system to India’s UPI, ASEAN Nexus, and Switzerland’s SIC IP to enable cross-border payments in seconds
+
  • Argentina's central bank president Santiago Bausili met People's Bank of China governor Pan Gongsheng in Shanghai.
  • The meeting hints at a possible revival of a currency swap line with China after Argentina previously unwound it.
  • The overture proceeds despite pressure from the United States for Argentina to abandon reliance on Beijing.
  • 2026: functional changes to keep RTGS stable; 2027: CHAPS opens at 1.30 am (Sept) and adds API features; 2028+: move toward near‑24/7 settlement hours
  • Bank released consultation on near‑24/7 settlement, with industry backing but highlighting large risk and operational impact
  • API enhancements will be signposted early to help participants secure investment funding for integration
  • Retail fraud claim limit stays at £85,000 for Faster Payments and CHAPS, with simplified email/spreadsheet reporting
+
  • All 35 economists in Reuters poll expect SNB to keep policy rate at 0% on June 18
  • 28 of 35 see rates remaining at 0% through end-2024
  • Only 4 economists forecast rate hikes in 2027
  • ECB and Eurosystem portfolios' emissions fell 13% in 2025, driven by portfolio run-off
  • Green bond share in ECB own funds portfolio rose to 33% in 2025, targeting 35% in 2026
  • First-time inflation-adjusted emissions metrics introduced to reflect real decarbonisation progress

Energy/Oil 24

+
  • An initial US‑Iran agreement pushed Brent and WTI crude prices sharply lower.
  • Analysts warn that sanctions on Chinese firms linked to Iranian oil are unlikely to be lifted immediately.
  • The oil‑price plunge fuels broader market optimism, but sanction policy remains uncertain.
  • Chinese importers of Iranian oil may continue facing restrictions despite the diplomatic breakthrough.
+
  • Brent crude down 3.95% to $83.88 per barrel
  • WTI down 4.62% to $80.96 per barrel
  • Prices dropped after US‑Iran deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, ending 100‑day closure
  • Oil has been trending lower since mid‑May despite earlier escalatory strikes
+
  • An LNG carrier became the first energy vessel to transit the Strait of Hormuz since the US‑Iran deal was announced
  • The US and Iran announced a potential reopening of the Strait, with a formal agreement expected by Friday
  • The Strait of Hormuz had been closed for more than 100 days before the announced deal
  • Brent crude fell to $82 per barrel and WTI slipped similarly after the news
+
  • WTI crude falls 5% to $78.60, a three-month low
  • US-Iran deal eases supply concerns, lifting blockades and sanctions
  • Full recovery of oil traffic may take weeks to months
+
  • US-Iran agreement may lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, adding ~1.5-2.0 mb/d to global crude supply
  • Geopolitical risk premium in oil prices could decline by 10-15%, easing inflation pressures in energy-importing nations
  • Gold and silver may see reduced safe-haven demand, pressuring prices by 5-8% if risk sentiment improves
+
  • Brent crude fell toward $80 as Strait of Hormuz flows expected to normalize post US-Iran deal
  • MUFG expects prices unlikely to drop below $70 due to slow supply restoration and depleted inventories
  • Geopolitical risk premium likely to persist despite de-escalation optimism
+
  • Initial reports cited a loss of over 10 million barrels per day after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran.
  • Analytics firm Kpler says alternative logistics quickly scaled up, restoring flow strength.
  • Traders now estimate the daily supply disruption is far below the previously cited >10 million barrels.
+
  • SPR at 340.3 million barrels on June 12, lowest level since summer 1983
  • Reserve declined nearly 9 million barrels week over week
  • U.S. released 172 million barrels in March as part of a 400‑million‑barrel IEA draw
  • Iran‑U.S. deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz slated for Friday amid dwindling inventories
  • Analysts warn historic low inventories could trigger oil price spikes
+
  • Kpler expects daily transits to rise to ~40 ships, about 50% of pre‑war levels, within a month of a U.S.–Iran deal.
  • Around 118 tankers stuck in the Persian Gulf could exit within 15 days once the strait reopens.
  • Tanker entries into the Gulf may reach 12 per day, half of pre‑war traffic, in the first 30 days post‑deal.
  • Security risks persist, with concerns over mines and differing U.S.–Iran interpretations of the agreement.
+
  • Oil futures settled at their lowest level since March 4.
  • Prices fell following a US‑Iran deal to end the Middle East conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The agreement removes a key geopolitical risk premium from crude markets.
+
  • Dirty tanker shipments from the Americas reached a record 14.5 million bpd in May, up from 13.8 million bpd in April.
  • That volume marks a 40% increase versus May 2025.
  • Transits through the Strait of Hormuz fell 89% from February to May, with vessel movements dropping from over 3,700 to around 400.
  • The sharp decline in Middle‑East crude output is redirecting global oil flows toward the United States and its Americas sphere.
+
  • TTF natural gas futures slipped ~6% to €43.60/MWh, their lowest level in five weeks.
  • The drop follows a US‑Iran preliminary peace framework aimed at ending the war, with a MoU signing slated for June 19 in Switzerland.
  • European equity market rallied, with the STOXX 600 index rising on the news.
+
  • Deputy Prime Minister Aleksandr Novak said oil output fell due to "unscheduled maintenance" on June 4.
  • On June 9 the Energy Ministry confirmed the drop was caused by increased enemy air attacks on fuel and energy facilities.
  • The attacks have created temporary supply complications, deepening Russia's gasoline crisis and raising domestic fuel price concerns.
+
  • U.S. and Iran reached a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ending over 100 days of closure.
  • China is expected to increase crude buying after months of historically low purchases.
  • Renewed Chinese demand could revive global inflationary pressures despite easing Middle‑East supply.
  • Brent crude prices fell sharply on the news, slipping below recent levels.
+
  • OPEC+ to raise output by 2.2 million bpd in 2025, with gradual monthly increases starting Q1
  • Saudi Arabia to cut voluntary supply by 1 million bpd through 2024, easing in 2025
  • Brent crude prices fell 2% to $82/bbl on news of increased supply
+
  • Brent crude dropped 4.1% to $83.75/bbl, WTI fell 4.7% to $80.87/bbl amid US-Iran Strait of Hormuz deal
  • Strait reopening expected within 30 days, easing 20% of global oil/LNG supply choke point risk
  • Analysts warn further downside limited due to 60-day nuclear talks and sanctions relief uncertainty
+
  • Retail gasoline averaged just over $4 per gallon on Monday.
  • A U.S.–Iran cease‑fire agreement is projected to shave several cents off the pump price.
  • Price relief depends on the successful conclusion of the diplomatic deal.
  • Lower fuel costs would aid consumers but could weigh on oil producers.
  • National average gasoline price slipped to $3.99 per gallon, under $4 for the first time in months
  • Price fell 9.3 cents over the past week
  • Price is down 52.4 cents from a month earlier
  • Data compiled from over 12 million reports covering more than 150,000 U.S. stations
+
  • Venezuela's oil exports reach a seven‑year peak, indicating a production rebound.
  • The United States has further relaxed operational rules for Venezuelan crude after taking control of the industry.
  • Higher Venezuelan shipments add supply to global markets, aiding South American producers and U.S. refineries.
  • The increased volumes modestly boost global crude supply amid ongoing Middle East disruptions.
+
  • Natural gas futures edged higher despite a drop in oil prices
  • European gas prices fell, yet U.S. market stayed stable
  • Domestic weather outlook supports cooling demand
  • Taiwan imports ~94% of its energy; LNG and coal arrive via maritime routes vulnerable to conflict
  • About one‑third of Taiwan’s LNG supply was disrupted by the Hormuz crisis; aims to raise US LNG share from 10% to 25% by 2029
  • Semiconductor sector consumes ~8% of Taiwan’s electricity, driving higher power demand and renewable capacity needs
  • China supplies ~80% of global solar panels and 77% of wind turbines, positioning it as a clean‑technology leader
  • US fossil fuel production reached 13.6 million barrels per day in 2025, but price control remains limited by OPEC+ and renewables
+
  • Wood Mackenzie estimates up to 470 billion barrels could be recovered using advanced technologies
  • At current prices, the additional oil is valued at more than $42 trillion
  • The extra supply resides in existing fields, requiring no new exploratory drilling
  • Potential second oil boom could significantly increase global crude supply
+
  • Brent crude has dropped 35% from April peaks but remains above pre-war levels
  • Key technical supports at $82/81, $78, and $75
  • Societe Generale maintains a Brent forecast of $80 by end-2026
  • Fair Work Commission rejected Inpex's bid to suspend the strike at the Ichthys LNG plant
  • The dispute threatens output at the 9.2‑million‑ton per year Ichthys facility
  • No agreement reached with trade unions, so LNG production and exports remain disrupted

Gold/Metals 15

+
  • Gold surged 2.9% to $4,340, rebounding from $4,024 after US-Iran framework deal to end war
  • DXY fell 0.3% to 99.50, supporting gold as weaker dollar boosts non-US buyers
  • Fed policy meeting this week in focus as investors await signals on rate path and US economy
+
  • Gold near record highs above $2,400/oz, up ~15% YTD
  • Central bank buying and geopolitical risks underpin demand
  • Analysts see potential for further gains amid Fed rate-cut expectations
+
  • Gold prices rise 2.5% to $1,930/oz as investors seek safe-haven assets
  • Central banks' rate decisions and monetary policy announcements to shape gold market
  • Pivotal week ahead for Fed, ECB, and BoE, with potential implications for gold prices
+
  • Silver (XAG/USD) surges nearly 4% to ~$70.70, highest in days, amid US-Iran framework agreement
  • US Dollar Index (DXY) falls 0.25% to ~99.55 as geopolitical risk recedes
  • Fed monetary policy decision later this week remains key focus for markets
+
  • Gold prices retreated after failing to sustain above $2,400/oz, down ~2% from recent peaks
  • Technical indicators suggest momentum weakening, with RSI dropping below 70
  • Analysts warn of potential deeper correction toward $2,250–$2,300/oz if support breaks
+
  • UBS expects gold to fall another $300‑$900 per ounce, targeting $3,850‑$4,000/oz in the near term
  • The downgrade follows a May cut of the year‑end target to $5,500/oz from $5,900/oz
  • UBS still forecasts a rebound, citing central‑bank demand and potential US‑Iran de‑escalation
  • The note assumes the Fed may cut rates by up to 50 bps in 2027 while US growth stays below trend
+
  • Gold prices slipped roughly 5% over the last month, but the selloff is viewed as excessive.
  • Elevated inflation expectations and ongoing war risks continue to underpin safe‑haven demand for gold.
  • Analysts forecast gold to stay above the $1,900 per ounce threshold in the near term.
+
  • Silver up >3% on Monday, breaking $70.00 for the first time in five days.
  • Price reclaimed the 200-day SMA at $68.59; a break above $70.50 could test the 20-day SMA at $72.42.
  • Key resistance levels: $75.36 (50-day SMA) and $79.29 (100-day SMA), with a next target near $89.36.
  • Downside support sits at $68.59; a breach would expose $65.00 and the June low around $61.51.
+
  • Spot gold is trading near its 200‑day simple moving average, roughly $2,050 per ounce
  • The 200‑day SMA is seen as a key technical support level for the metal
  • Analysts point to three mining stocks as potential beneficiaries if gold holds the SMA
+
  • Gold fell 26% from peak to trough amid crowded positioning, reduced central-bank purchases, stronger USD, and higher real rates
  • Barclays advises investors to prepare for a potential rebound in gold prices
  • Analysts recommend specific gold-linked stocks as a tactical play on the metal's recovery
+
  • Silver (XAG/USD) up 3.91% to $70.69, paring YTD loss to 0.55%
  • Gold/silver ratio fell to 61.37 from 62.03, signaling relative silver strength vs gold
  • Silver gains driven by weaker USD backdrop and industrial demand tailwinds
+
  • Gold prices under pressure from bearish MACD crossover on daily charts
  • Technical resistance seen at $2,350/oz; support at $2,280/oz
  • Geopolitical de-escalation hopes failing to offset stronger USD and higher yields
+
  • Gold price at ~$2,350/oz, aligning with historical fair-value estimates
  • Recent pullback from record highs (~$2,450/oz) driven by profit-taking and stronger USD
  • Investor focus shifts to Fed rate-cut timing as key driver for near-term gold direction
+
  • Silver's Square of 9 technical pattern indicates a breakout target above $70.90
  • Breakout above $70.90 would mark a significant resistance level for silver
  • Technical analysis suggests renewed upward momentum if resistance is cleared
+
  • Six 1‑ounce gold coins were discovered by the students.
  • Combined value estimated at about $35,000 USD (≈ $25,000 CAD).
  • Find resulted from months of tracing clues in historic New Brunswick mining districts.

Crypto 28

+
  • CFTC approved Kalshi's bitcoin perpetual futures, the first such product in the US.
  • The contracts generated over $3 billion in notional volume within a week of beta testing.
  • Kalshi's perps offer up to 6x leverage, lower than CME's comparable futures contracts.
  • CFTC chair Michael Selig rejected claims the decision was driven by political pressure from the Trump administration.
+
  • Saylor's Strategy bought 1,587 Bitcoin for $100 million
  • Total Bitcoin holdings increased to 846,842 BTC
  • Funding came from $209 million raised via MicroStrategy stock sales
  • The purchase signals continued confidence in Bitcoin
+
  • Bitcoin's short‑term price target rises to $69,000.
  • The target is driven by expectations of a US‑Iran peace agreement in the coming days.
  • Falling oil prices are cited as an additional catalyst for a risk‑asset rebound.
  • Analysts view the outlook as bullish for Bitcoin in the near term.
+
  • Bitcoin rallied sharply after the US‑Iran interim agreement was announced
  • WTI crude oil fell nearly 5% to just under $81 per barrel, its softest in about two months
  • Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.5% and S&P 500 futures gained 0.9% following the news
  • May exchange volumes dropped 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, while RWA perpetual futures jumped 10.4%
  • Senate Banking Committee advanced the Clarity Act, moving it toward a full Senate vote
  • Bill includes the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, shielding open-source crypto developers from money-transmitter classification
  • U.S. share of global open-source crypto developers fell from 38% in 2015 to about 19% now
  • Weakening developer protections could push talent offshore to Singapore and Abu Dhabi
  • Crypto exchange volumes fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion in May, the lowest since September 2024
+
  • Bitcoin traded around $66,300, up ~1% in 24 hours after a cycle low near $59,000
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted net inflows of $86 million and MicroStrategy bought 1,587 BTC
  • Falling oil prices reduced inflation worries, bolstering the bullish outlook
  • A decisive break above $83,000 (early May high) would confirm a new uptrend
+
  • Kraken launches CFTC‑regulated perpetual futures on Kraken Pro for U.S. customers
  • Initial contracts cover BTC, ETH, SOL and eight other cryptocurrencies
  • Global perpetual futures volume topped $60 trillion in 2025 as U.S. market gains access
  • CFTC issued a no‑action letter permitting true perpetual contracts, policy active until end‑June
  • RWA perpetual futures volume rose 10.4% in May, hitting an all‑time high despite overall exchange volume falling 3.45%
+
  • Perpetual futures on SpaceX via Hyperliquid and Binance traded at $153–$180 ahead of IPO, closely aligning with final $150 stock price
  • Hyperliquid processed 7M SpaceX perps ($1.2B volume) vs 500M SpaceX shares in debut session, underscoring crypto derivatives' growing role
  • CME, Cboe, Nasdaq shares fell after Kalshi secured CFTC approval to trade bitcoin perpetual futures, signaling competitive pressure on traditional exchanges
+
  • Bitcoin rose to ~ $66,000, up about 3.5% from Friday.
  • Fed’s June 17 meeting is expected to keep rates at 3.50‑3.75% unchanged.
  • U.S. and Iran slated to sign ceasefire on June 19, easing geopolitical risk for risk assets.
  • CFTC opens a 45‑day comment period on prediction‑market rulemaking (June 15).
  • May crypto exchange volume fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since Sep 2024.
+
  • Yen short contracts rose to over 115,000 in the week to June 9, the highest since Nov 2017
  • BOJ is expected to raise its policy rate to 1 % from 0.75 % on Tuesday, the highest level since 1995
  • A rapid unwind of yen shorts could strengthen the yen and push Bitcoin down, as seen when it fell from ~$65k to $50k after the July 2024 hike
  • May crypto exchange volume fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since Sep 2024
+
  • Bitcoin trades close to $67,000, the next psychological resistance level.
  • Analysts caution that failing to hold above $66,500 could trigger a sharp pullback.
  • Upward liquidity was captured in early US trading, but price gains remain fragile.
  • Market sentiment stays cautious ahead of a possible rejection at the $67k threshold.
+
  • $250,000 in fighter bonuses paid in USD1 at UFC Freedom 250 on the White House lawn.
  • USD1 circulating supply grew to about $4.6 billion, up from $3.3 billion at the start of the year.
  • World Liberty Financial previously borrowed over $75 million from DeFi protocol Dolomite, temporarily locking retail depositors.
  • The firm is in litigation with crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun over alleged freezing of his holdings.
+
  • XRP up ~4% to $1.1866, breaking above $1.14‑$1.15 resistance
  • XRP‑linked ETFs have drawn about $1.4 billion in inflows since launch, with May the strongest month
  • Over 25 million XRP moved off exchanges, signaling long‑term holder accumulation
  • Trading volume spiked to 107.6 million XRP, >4× the daily average during the June 14 session
  • Next resistance at $1.20; further targets at $1.27‑$1.30; support at $1.18 and $1.14‑$1.15
+
  • Nvidia plans to raise roughly $20 billion via a bond sale, its largest debt offering to date.
  • The funding targets expansion of AI infrastructure, reflecting robust demand for AI compute capacity.
  • Bitcoin mining companies view the AI boom as a new revenue source, planning to convert mining rigs into AI data centers.
  • The development is seen as a bullish signal for the crypto mining sector amid slowing Bitcoin block rewards.
  • CFTC hires former SEC crypto task force adviser to its staff.
  • The new hire brings specialized blockchain forensics experience.
  • Appointment comes as Congress debates the CLARITY Act to reshape digital‑asset regulation.
  • Move signals heightened regulatory focus on crypto markets.
+
  • BitMine's ETH stake is now close to $10 billion in value
  • The holding represents roughly 5% of Ether's circulating supply
  • Accumulation continued despite a prolonged bear market, earning staking yield
+
  • Ventuals is winding down its OpenAI and Anthropic perpetual markets on Hyperliquid
  • Trading in OPENAI and ANTHROPIC contracts halted and all positions settled automatically
  • Ventuals generated over $650 million in volume and attracted more than 500,000 HYPE tokens
  • Hyperliquid processed roughly $234 billion in perpetual futures last month; RWA futures rose 10.4% in May
  • TradeXYZ now accounts for about 97% of HIP‑3 trading volume after market consolidation
  • Bybit launches tokenized bond funds on its platform
  • The funds are managed by PIMCO and CMBI, offering institutional-grade bond exposure
  • Access is limited to eligible users, reflecting rising demand for blockchain-based real-world assets
+
  • Armstrong believes Bitcoin likely found a floor around $60,000, though he cautions certainty is limited
  • Bitcoin rebounded to above $66,000, up roughly 3% in 24 hours after dipping below $60,000
  • Bitcoin remains about 50% below its October 2025 peak of ~ $126,000; on‑chain data shows weak demand and unstable ETF flows
  • Crypto market metrics show exchange volumes fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion in May, the lowest since September 2024
  • Standard Chartered estimates DeFi total value locked will grow to $2.7 trillion by 2030.
  • Growth is expected to be driven by tokenization of assets and expansion of crypto‑native platforms.
  • The forecast points to a multi‑year surge in DeFi capital, far exceeding current levels.
+
  • Bittensor (TAO) leads with a 31.9% rise, pushing the CoinDesk 20 index up 5.9% to 1812.32.
  • Near Protocol (NEAR) gains 22.2%, while laggards BNB and BTC rise modestly 2.5% and 4.2% respectively.
  • Combined exchange volumes in May fell 3.45% to $4.41 trillion, the lowest since September 2024.
  • RWA perpetual futures volumes climbed 10.4%, hitting a new all‑time high.
+
  • Bitmine bought 76,881 ETH (~$136 million) after a $274 million preferred stock offering.
  • The new Series A Preferred Stock (ticker BMNP) offers a 9.5% annualized dividend and will list on the NYSE.
  • Bitmine's treasury now holds 5.62 million ETH, roughly 5% of Ethereum's total supply.
  • Projected staking revenue of about $219 million annually is intended to fund dividend payments.
  • Bitbank alerts users that accounts may be suspended for transactions tied to Polymarket.
  • The warning cites Japan's gambling laws as the regulatory basis.
  • Japanese crypto users and Polymarket participants could face service disruptions.
  • The deprecated Aztec Connect platform’s immutable contract still held over $2 million in crypto assets.
  • Hackers exploited the abandoned contract, extracting approximately $2.1 million worth of tokens.
  • The incident underscores security risks of leaving dormant contracts on-chain after platform deprecation.
+
  • Mining difficulty dropped 10%, the second‑largest downward adjustment in 2024.
  • The adjustment follows an 11% reduction in February.
  • Lower difficulty could boost miner profitability but may indicate weaker network hash rate.
+
  • A single missing feature in Bitcoin Script has led to twelve competing covenant proposals.
  • Covenants would allow more sophisticated transaction rules, potentially expanding Bitcoin's use cases.
  • Cointelegraph Research provides a comparative overview of each proposal's technical approach.
+
  • Bitcoin price stayed within a narrow range, showing modest movement
  • Ethereum and other major altcoins were largely unchanged
  • Regulatory discussions in the US and Europe continued to influence market sentiment
  • CFTC filed a lawsuit against New Mexico, the eighth state sued over prediction markets.
  • The suit contests the state's claim of authority over sports event contracts.
  • CFTC Chair Gary Gensler questioned the regulator's jurisdiction over such contracts.

Geopolitics 41

+
  • Preliminary memorandum of understanding signed, extending cease‑fire for 60 days.
  • Equity markets surged and bond yields fell following the news.
  • Oil prices dropped as investors await the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Formal signing scheduled for Friday in Geneva; Strait reopening to be confirmed.
  • Release of frozen Iranian funds remains a key issue for future nuclear negotiations.
+
  • U.S. and Iran agreed to end war with immediate ceasefire, naval blockade removal, and 60-day nuclear talks
  • EU, UK, France, Germany, Italy to lift sanctions if Iran curbs nuclear program and reopens Strait of Hormuz within 30 days
  • Brent crude fell 4% to $83/barrel, WTI slid 4.8% to $80.80 on deal announcement
  • Chinese authorities arrest US citizen Min Zin, head of ISP-Myanmar, on suspicion of espionage
  • Min Zin's think tank has analyzed China's influence in Myanmar's civil war and infrastructure projects
  • Arrest comes ahead of Myanmar regime head Min Aung Hlaing's visit to China
+
  • Vice President JD Vance says the Strait of Hormuz will be opened toll‑free for the long term once the U.S.–Iran agreement is signed.
  • Iran announces an initial 60‑day toll‑free period before joint Iran‑Oman management of the strait.
  • Shipping groups warn that unclear transit protocols and mine threats keep the security situation volatile.
  • Frontline CEO expects rapid vessel movements, noting five of its tankers are currently stuck in the Persian Gulf.
  • EU formally opened accession talks for Ukraine and Moldova, beginning with five key policy clusters
  • Accession will require reforms across 35 chapters covering rule of law, justice, procurement and financial control
  • Hungary lifted its veto after unlocking €16 bn in frozen EU funds, clearing a major obstacle for Ukraine
  • EU foreign policy chief called the launch a "major milestone" amid concerns over Ukraine's readiness and ongoing war
  • Israel occupies roughly 570 sq km (220 sq mi) in Lebanon, which Netanyahu says will remain under Israeli control.
  • Hardliners note Israel also holds about 1,000 sq km (386 sq mi) across Gaza and Syrian territories.
  • A US-Iran ceasefire agreement is slated for Friday, but Netanyahu insists occupation will continue regardless.
  • An Israeli strike on Beirut suburbs killed three people, prompting concerns from the United States.
  • Defence Minister Israel Katz reaffirmed no set timeline for withdrawing Israeli forces from Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza.
  • Israeli far‑right ministers Itamar Ben‑Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich say the U.S.–Iran deal could end hostilities on all fronts
  • They point to a potential cessation of fighting in Lebanon as a key outcome
  • Leaders describe the agreement as a step toward regional stability while noting implementation challenges
  • EU foreign ministers verified reports that Chinese military trained Russian personnel for the Ukraine war
  • Kaja Kallas said the bloc is carefully assessing the implications of the findings
  • EU ministers agreed to consider sanctions on several Chinese entities in response
  • US-Iran peace deal may bring immediate relief to Asia
  • Oil prices may ease if Strait of Hormuz reopens
  • Geopolitical distrust still a concern in nuclear talks
  • Opposition INDIA bloc re-commits to coordinated fight against Modi government
  • BJP's landslide victory in Assam and Bengal, and minor inroads in southern states, may seem ominous for opposition parties
  • Public discontent with high fuel prices, inflation, and unemployment, but opposition unable to translate into electoral losses for BJP
  • Odds of normal traffic by August: 58%
  • Probability of normal traffic by end of year: 75%
  • Deal to reopen strait expected to be signed on Friday in Geneva
  • Preliminary U.S.-Iran deal extends ceasefire by 60 days, pending nuclear program negotiations
  • Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz and destroy enriched uranium stockpile under framework terms
  • U.S. expects long-term Strait access and sanctions relief if Iran complies with inspection/verification regime
  • Long-range bombers and missiles could threaten Northern Australia, reducing geographic sanctuary.
  • PLAN's blue‑water fleet grew, with Task Group 107 circumnavigating Australia in 2025, signaling more frequent expeditions.
  • Australia's defence strategy must adapt to a shifting Indo‑Pacific balance, focusing on deterrence and rapid response.
  • A Taiwan conflict could disrupt key shipping lanes and make Australian sites like Pine Gap and Darwin targets.
  • US VP Vance expects Strait of Hormuz to be open toll-free in the long term
  • Two-step verification process to be implemented
  • Details still to be sorted out with Tehran
  • Iran's Baghaei: Sovereignty and territorial integrity of Lebanon part of agreement with US
  • US to commit to giving Iran access to frozen funds, but not provide direct payment
  • Iran to ensure safe passage in Strait of Hormuz in coordination with Oman and other countries
+
  • Trump warns France to scrap 3% tech 'sales tax' or face 100% tariffs on wine/champagne imports
  • French wine exports to U.S. fell 15.9% in value to $2.2B in 2025 from $2.4B in 2024
  • Digital services tax targets U.S. tech giants like Amazon, Meta, Alphabet with 3% levy on French revenues
  • Japanese shipping companies to wait for formal agreement on Hormuz deal
  • Several hundred vessels stuck near Strait of Hormuz since March
  • Iran to reopen strait after US-Iran agreement on Friday
  • Vietnamese police disrupt two online scam groups, arresting 23 individuals and seizing equipment worth millions.
  • The operations targeted Chinese citizens seeking loans, with scammers posing as loan app employees.
  • The crackdowns suggest Cambodia's anti-scam efforts are having a spillover effect, with scammers relocating to Vietnam and other countries.
  • Newsom alleges Trump ordered the Justice Department to probe him and his wife.
  • He claims the motive is political, linked to his potential presidential run.
  • Federal police in Sacramento are conducting several related investigations.
  • Parliament approved a constitutional amendment capping prime‑minister tenure at eight years.
  • The rule bars former premier Viktor Orban, who served 16 years, from returning to office.
  • The amendment passed with a two‑thirds majority, enabling further roll‑backs of Fidesz‑era laws.
  • UK government to impose ban on social media use for children under 16
  • Limitations on AI tools, including 'romantic companion' chatbots, to be implemented
  • Ban could be in place by next spring, with Australia being the first country to impose a similar ban
  • EU announces emergency cyber security assistance now available to Ukraine
  • Ukraine can activate incident response services from trusted private providers for large‑scale attacks
  • Moldova was added to the EU cyber support system in 2024
  • Indian captain charged with sanctions offences after British forces seized the oil tanker Smyrtos.
  • The vessel, identified as part of Russia's shadow fleet, was intercepted off the southern English coast on Sunday.
  • The operation, praised by Kyiv and London, is presented as a blow to Russia's war‑machine logistics.
  • Press TV reporter Hadi Hoteit was hit by shrapnel while filming Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon.
  • The journalist was wearing a press vest but was still injured.
  • Hoteit is receiving treatment in a hospital following the incident.
  • Zelensky says he is willing to meet Putin on US soil, proposing the idea in a call with President Trump
  • The proposal follows Putin's repeated refusals to hold face‑to‑face talks with Zelensky
  • Putin has ignored a recent G7 invitation to discuss the Ukraine conflict
  • Zelensky is awaiting a response to his meeting offer
+
  • Trump announced a preliminary cease‑fire agreement with Iran, saying it will reopen the Strait of Hormuz
  • He said he will seek to mediate an end to the Russia‑Ukraine war and the conflict in Lebanon
  • Trump linked falling oil prices and rising stock markets to the Iran deal
  • G7 tensions remain over possible new tariffs on France and criticism of NATO support
  • Netanyahu, 76, confirmed his candidacy for elections scheduled later this year
  • Announcement follows a recent US-Iran deal and rising criticism of his wartime leadership
  • He remains on trial for corruption and faces opposition claims he failed to meet war objectives
  • China sees its oil imports for East Asia still funneled through the Strait of Hormuz and Strait of Malacca.
  • Beijing is adding overland routes as secondary buffers rather than full replacements for sea trade.
  • Iran serves as a conditional transit hub linking north‑south, east‑west and Caspian corridors, but political limits reduce reliability.
  • The corridor‑hedging logic weighs geopolitical exposure, scalability and redundancy value of alternative routes.
  • Maritime routes stay primary because they can be scaled quickly, while overland corridors need longer political and infrastructure coordination.
  • Resource nationalism in Africa has spurred a rise in international arbitration claims against state projects.
  • Arbitration awards can equal a sizable portion of a country's GDP, making payment feasibility a key concern.
  • London courts are frequently chosen for enforcement, allowing seizure of bank accounts, property and bond flows.
  • Coordinated asset‑tracing and political pressure are recommended to secure settlements before costly seizure actions.
  • China’s Belt and Road has invested tens of billions in Kazakhstan’s energy, transport and agriculture since 2013
  • Kazakhstan ranks among the world’s top‑15 oil‑reserve nations; Turkmenistan holds the 4th largest natural‑gas reserves globally
  • Infrastructure initiatives like the International North‑South Transport Corridor and Ashgabat Agreement boost the region’s logistics leverage
  • Disruptions such as the Strait of Hormuz blockade underscore Central Asia’s importance as an overland trade hub linking West Asia, India, China and Russia
  • Central Asian capitals now court multiple powers (Russia, China, India, Turkey) rather than aligning with a single bloc
  • Norinco displayed a miniature drone assembly line at the Eurosatory defence expo in Paris.
  • The model indicates plans to move production of drones like the BZK-005E to overseas facilities.
  • Middle Eastern buyers are identified as the primary target for the expanded export effort.
  • UK-led GCAP program remains on schedule despite delays in other defense projects
  • Italy and Japan reaffirm commitment to joint sixth-generation fighter development
  • Program aims to replace aging Eurofighter and F-2 fleets by mid-2030s
  • 51% of Taiwanese say Taiwan's interests could be overlooked or sacrificed after the summit, versus 29% who think they'll be considered.
  • Support for US military intervention fell from 54% in March 2026 to 44% in May 2026, a 10‑point drop.
  • Those expecting US non‑intervention rose from 37% to 42% over the same period.
  • Survey covered 1,127 adults, margin of error ±2.92 percentage points at 95% confidence.
  • Poll highlights growing uncertainty about Taiwan's role in US‑China relations.
  • Thaksin Shinawatra was granted a royal pardon after serving eight months in prison.
  • The pardon comes shortly before his 77th birthday.
  • The release raises questions about his future role in Thai politics.
  • Bangladesh and Turkey will establish ministerial-level joint defense committees and hold annual 2+2 foreign‑defence minister meetings.
  • Dhaka operates 12 Turkish Bayraktar TB2 drones (six active since 2023) and has acquired the $60 million TRG‑300 Kaplan rocket system with 18 launchers.
  • Both countries are exploring domestic production of Turkish defense equipment, especially drones, through technology‑transfer arrangements.
  • Over 3,000 Bangladeshi defence personnel have received training in Turkey; Turkish firms have supplied 15 types of weaponry since 2018.
  • The Qosh Tepa Canal plans to divert up to 15% of the Amu Darya to irrigate hundreds of thousands of hectares in northern Afghanistan.
  • Downstream nations—Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Iran and Pakistan—warn reduced flows could jeopardize cotton, wheat and food‑processing sectors, heightening regional friction.
  • Regional water‑saving measures could offset up to 35% of flow reductions, but financing and Afghanistan's lack of political recognition impede infrastructure upgrades.
  • Proposed benefit‑sharing deals include cheaper electricity for Afghanistan in exchange for regulated dam releases to ensure downstream water availability.
  • Absent cooperative mechanisms, the water dispute may disrupt Afghanistan's wheat imports from Uzbekistan and increase climate‑driven conflict risk.
  • A LNG tanker is heading to the Strait of Hormuz following a preliminary US‑Iran agreement.
  • President Trump announced a deal to reopen the Hormuz chokepoint, with a signing slated for Friday.
  • The agreement includes a 60‑day cease‑fire period while negotiations on war‑ending conditions continue.
  • Iranian Americans filled Los Angeles stadium ahead of Iran vs New Zealand Group G match
  • Iran's team arrived from Tijuana, landing in LA on Sunday before the game
  • Protesters displayed anti-government symbols while some urged unity beyond politics
  • Gathering coincided with announcement of a deal to end the US‑Iran war
  • 41% of AAPI adults report carrying proof of immigration status or know someone who does.
  • 34% say they have changed travel plans due to immigration status concerns.
  • The poll was released ahead of the US 250th independence anniversary, reflecting rising immigration anxieties under the Trump administration.
  • Israeli forces killed four Palestinians, including a father and his son, while they filled water containers.
  • The victims were 7-year-old Zeina Al-Habeel’s father and younger brother.
  • The strike occurred on Monday in Gaza amid ongoing hostilities.
  • Amanat announced merger with Adilet at its June 12 congress; merger confirmed at Adilet congress two days later
  • Amanat holds 62 of 98 seats in the lower house of parliament
  • Kazakhstan's legislative elections set for August under a new single‑chamber Kurultai with 145 proportional seats
  • Merger viewed as further consolidation of power under President Kassym‑Jomart Tokayev

Tech/AI 23

  • Friday's Commerce Department letter invoked export controls, barring non‑Americans from Anthropic's Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models
  • Anthropic shut down both top models to all customers to comply with the directive
  • The action required no court approval, marking a swift unilateral government intervention
  • Security researchers argue the cited guardrail bypass should not trigger export controls
  • Experts warn the move sets a precedent that could affect other U.S. AI firms
  • Sarvam raises $234M at $1.5B valuation, becoming India's newest AI unicorn
  • HCLTech leads $150M investment, strategic partner for commercializing AI tech
  • Sarvam aims to diffuse AI technology widely in India, creating value across sectors
  • Cybersecurity startup NewCore emerged from stealth with $66 million in seed funding, valuing it at $300 million post-investment.
  • The company aims to solve the challenge of authenticating, governing, and controlling AI agents at scale, treating them as 'first-class identities'.
  • NewCore's platform manages both human and AI-agent identities in a single system, differentiating itself from traditional identity providers by being built ground-up for a hybrid workforce.
  • The rise of AI agents, increasingly viewed as employees (e.g., Goldman Sachs, McKinsey), is creating a need for new identity management solutions.
  • NewCore predicts AI agents could outnumber human employees in many tech organizations within years, stressing existing enterprise identity systems.
+
  • First use of vision-language model (Gemma 3) on orbit by NASA JPL and Loft Orbital's YAM-9 satellite
  • AI triage reduces raw data flood for analysts, enabling real-time monitoring of infrastructure or borders
  • Loft Orbital aims for 50-100 AI-equipped satellites for global coverage, currently operates 12
+
  • Tech layoffs hit 150,000 in 2024 (44% YoY increase), with AI cited as primary reason for cuts
  • AI insiders see record wealth creation (e.g., Cerebras IPO, SpaceX $2.1T valuation) amid layoffs
  • Cost of living pressures (6-7% health premium hikes, 28% home price rise since 2020) exacerbate public discontent
  • ETDA releases 2026 AI governance strategy aiming to make Thailand a regional AI hub
  • 12 AI governance toolkits are available now, with two additional kits slated for release this year
  • Target to certify 80 AI governance trainers and train over 3,000 public‑sector personnel by 2027
  • SME and citizen programs aim to train 2,000 instructors across 400 districts and reach 60,000 citizens by 2026
  • AI Governance Week 2026 scheduled for June 29‑July 3 to host international AI policy leaders
  • Prime Minister Keir Starmer announces ban on social media for anyone under age 16 in the UK.
  • Restrictions will also cover gaming platforms and livestreaming apps.
  • Critics argue the blanket ban may be difficult to enforce and ineffective.
  • The move follows similar youth‑protection measures adopted by other countries.
  • Upper stage of Zhuque-2E rocket disintegrated shortly after June 9 launch
  • Debris scattered in low-Earth orbit near SpaceX's Starlink network and ISS
  • US Space Force tracking debris for conjunction assessments, no immediate human spaceflight threat
  • Both Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump advocate a federal equity stake in leading AI firms
  • Proposal framed as a way for the public to share wealth generated by AI technologies
  • Critics argue the plan amounts to government ownership of private AI companies
  • Debate highlights tension between innovation incentives and public control
  • AMD previously extended TSME, a memory‑encryption feature, from high‑end to consumer Ryzen processors.
  • The protection was silently dropped from consumer CPUs, remaining only on PRO models.
  • AMD provided no explanation, stating TSME is a PRO‑only technology; detection on Windows is difficult.
  • 76 cybersecurity veterans signed an open letter demanding the US lift the export control on Anthropic's Fable and Mythos models.
  • The US government ordered Anthropic to restrict export of the models, leading the company to suspend worldwide access.
  • Anthropic's Fable includes strict guardrails that block most cybersecurity prompts, which experts say hampers defensive AI use.
  • The letter argues the ban is based on a disputed Amazon paper and warns it could weaken cybersecurity defenses.
  • Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi and Italian PM Giorgia Meloni pledged tighter collaboration on advanced technologies such as semiconductors
  • The agreement targets stronger supply chains for critical minerals to boost economic security and defence ties
  • Both leaders welcomed a US‑Iran preliminary deal aimed at ending the war that disrupted global oil supplies
+
  • SPCX's gravitational pull effect expected to boost chip stock
  • Analysts see 20% upside potential in the chip stock
  • Increased demand for chips expected due to SPCX's growth
+
  • Tech sector leads market rally post-ceasefire, with SOXX up 71% since April 8
  • S&P 500 tech surged 34% and Nasdaq 17% in same period, fueling broader market gains
  • JPMorgan turns tactically bullish on tech, favoring AI theme and US over Asia exposure
  • Risk of deal collapse by Friday could temper momentum, per JPMorgan and JD Vance comments
+
  • KeyBanc sets $50 target on Firefly Aerospace (57% upside) and $135 on Rocket Lab (32% upside)
  • SpaceX IPO valued at $2.1T, but aerospace ETF and peers like Rocket Lab (-11%) and Firefly (-19%) sold off
  • NASA and satellite demand growth cited as key drivers for space sector upgrades
+
  • SpaceX IPO valuation hits $2 trillion; Ron Baron Capital buys $1bn stake, increasing total to $25bn
  • Baron cites SpaceX's 10-year lead in rockets/satellites, sees $20-40tn valuation potential in a decade
  • SpaceX now 33% of Baron Partners Fund ($10.4bn AUM) and 25.5% of Baron Asset Fund
+
  • UBS warns US AI model curbs could trigger semiconductor selloff
  • Software stocks may benefit from regulatory constraints on AI models
  • Impact hinges on scope of new US restrictions on AI model releases
  • Chinese AI equities trade at lower valuations than U.S. counterparts
  • Valuation gap creates potential upside for investors seeking cheaper exposure
  • Geopolitical tensions could heighten volatility and risk in the sector
  • Capital inflows into satellite, laser‑comm and in‑space mobility firms are accelerating.
  • Two‑ton satellite projects and laser communication systems attract heightened investor interest.
  • SpaceX's recent achievements are cited as a catalyst for broader space‑sector investment.
  • Thailand's AI strategy should pivot from basic training to cultivating 'super talents' capable of building advanced AI models
  • Lack of top-tier innovators risks ceding competitive edge in AI-driven sectors like healthcare and agriculture
  • Recommendations include importing elite talent, investing in high-performance computing, and creating startup incubation programs
  • Fourth delay in five months for Isar Aerospace's Spectrum rocket second test flight
  • Issue detected in vehicle's fluid systems, requiring data analysis to identify root cause
  • 92-foot-tall Spectrum rocket awaiting liftoff from Andøya Spaceport in Norway
  • 40% of daily mobile time in China is spent watching videos, driving World Cup streaming demand
  • Xiaohongshu secured free streaming rights; it has 245.3 million MAU, ranking ninth among World Cup apps in China
  • Douyin holds over 1 billion monthly active users and promotes AI‑enhanced match commentary
  • Tencent Cloud supports streaming in 16 regions, covering two‑thirds of Asia‑Pacific broadcast platforms
  • The article reviews the 20-year history of Intel-powered Macs.
  • macOS 26 marks the final major chapter for Intel Macs, with future updates limited to security and Safari for two more years.
  • The Rosetta compatibility layer for running Intel code on Apple Silicon Macs will continue to exist in some form.
  • Apple initially switched to Intel to enhance Mac performance but later transitioned away as the partnership's benefits diminished.

Companies 56

+
  • Fox to acquire Roku in a $22B deal, one of the largest media acquisitions in years
  • Combined company to become the third-largest television business in the US by viewership
  • Deal gives Fox direct access to Roku's 100M households, enhancing ad targeting and CTV presence
+
  • SpaceX priced 555.6 million shares at $135, raising $85.7 billion – the largest IPO ever
  • Shares opened at $150 (+11%) and closed at $160.95, up 19% on the Nasdaq
  • Post‑IPO valuation jumped to $2.7 trillion after a 20% price surge
  • Elon Musk became the world’s first trillionaire as his voting stake exceeds 85%
  • Underwriters exercised full option, boosting total IPO proceeds to $85.7 billion (up from $75 billion).
  • SpaceX will allocate about $20 billion to retire legacy debt linked to X and xAI.
  • Funds also earmarked for AI compute infrastructure, launch capabilities, and Starlink expansion.
  • Nasdaq debut valued SpaceX at over $2 trillion, making Elon Musk the first trillionaire.
  • Shares rose on Monday, overtaking chipmaker TSMC in market capitalization.
+
  • Nvidia plans to sell over $25 billion in investment-grade debt, its first bond offering in five years.
  • The bond deal is a seven-part offering with maturities ranging from two to 30 years.
  • The issuance was upsized from an initial $20 billion due to receiving over $85 billion in orders.
  • The bond sale serves as a test of investor appetite for further exposure to the AI sector.
+
  • Salesforce to acquire AI customer service platform Fin for $3.6 billion
  • Deal expected to close in Q4 2027, complementing Agentforce platform
  • Fin's AI agent can resolve queries across multiple channels, powered by Apex model
  • Hancock Prospecting took a stake in SpaceX valued at more than $1 billion.
  • SpaceX's IPO raised $75 billion, the largest on record, and shares rose 19% on day one.
  • The investment ties Rinehart's critical‑minerals portfolio (e.g., Lynas, MP Materials) to future space resource demand.
  • The stake ranks among Rinehart's biggest holdings outside her core iron‑ore operations.
+
  • Ark Invest bought ~3.3 million SpaceX shares worth over $500 million on IPO day
  • SpaceX shares opened at $135 and closed at $160.95, a first‑day rise of about 19.2%
  • Ark sold more than $325 million of other holdings, including $280 million in the week before the listing
  • SpaceX now accounts for 3.28% of the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) portfolio
+
  • Prefeasibility study lifts Berg project NPV to C$4.6 billion, more than double the prior estimate
  • Projected copper output expands significantly, with higher tonnage forecasts
  • Capital cost estimates increase, reflecting higher construction and operating expenses
+
  • United Bankshares stock price reaches 52-week high at 45.93 USD
  • Stock price up from 2023 lows
  • 52-week high indicates positive investor sentiment
+
  • Umb Financial Corporation stock price reaches 136.48 USD, a new all-time high
  • Stock price up 2.5% in the past week
  • Market capitalization exceeds 2.5 billion USD
+
  • Petra placed its Finsch mine into business rescue and issued a Section 189A retrenchment notice at Cullinan.
  • The actions jeopardize roughly 1,800 jobs – about 689 at Finsch and 1,090 at Cullinan.
  • Cuts come amid a prolonged slump in natural diamond demand, with production forecast at ~90 million carats, the lowest since 1987.
  • South Africa's NUM union warned the moves could destabilize mining communities and urged regulatory oversight.
  • Yorkville International Capital sets IPO size at $200 million.
  • Shares will be listed on the NASDAQ exchange.
  • The offering marks the company's first public offering.
  • Around 200 Stanford graduates walked out and booed Pichai during his commencement speech.
  • Protest focused on Google's $1.2 billion Project Nimbus deal to supply cloud and AI services to the Israeli military and its ties to U.S. ICE.
  • Google fired 28 workers in 2024 for opposing the Nimbus contract, but internal dissent persists.
  • Student groups including Stanford Students for Justice in Palestine organized the walkout demanding an end to the defense contracts.
+
  • The Department of Transportation concluded its probe into the July 2024 Delta flight cancellations.
  • Investigation found the outage stemmed from a CrowdStrike service disruption affecting airline IT systems.
  • Delta said it has implemented new safeguards to prevent similar cyber‑related interruptions.
  • No fines or penalties were imposed on Delta or CrowdStrike.
  • GSB teams up with ten asset management firms to launch the "GSB The Selected" programme.
  • New portfolios are divided into three risk tiers—conservative, balanced and high‑risk—with allocations such as 20% global equities and 70% fixed income.
  • MFC focuses on low‑risk fixed‑income and large‑cap equities; Krung Thai targets AI‑related stocks; One Asset offers diversified balanced funds.
  • The initiative aims to help the bank’s 26 million customers achieve returns that exceed inflation amid volatile markets.
+
  • Newmont Corp names John Doe as Chief Financial Officer.
  • Jane Smith is appointed as Chief Operating Officer.
  • The appointments are part of a broader leadership overhaul following the CFO's departure.
+
  • Western Digital (WDC) recorded the largest percentage increase among S&P 500 constituents on Monday
  • Storage-sector stocks are gaining investor favor as pricing power expectations rise
  • Analysts point to potential for higher pricing on storage products as a catalyst for the rally
+
  • CrowdStrike (CRWD) has risen about 83% since April 10.
  • Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG) is up roughly 48% since the same low.
  • CRWD trades about 12% below its 52‑week high of ~ $785.
  • Analyst Joe Terranova cites momentum and strong AI‑related demand for further upside.
+
  • Shares fell about 4% after the buyout announcement
  • First‑quarter membership down 6% YoY to 26.3 million
  • ACA business lost roughly 2 million members in Q1
  • Company projects ACA membership to drop nearly 40% by end‑2026
  • Voluntary Separation Program offered to employees amid cost pressures
+
  • Qualcomm is negotiating to buy Tenstorrent at a valuation between $8 billion and $10 billion
  • Deal may include performance‑based milestone payments, a structure used in prior chip acquisitions
  • Qualcomm shares fell about 1% in extended trading after the report
  • Acquisition would broaden Qualcomm's AI and data‑center chip offerings beyond its handset business
  • Senator Ted Cruz asks FCC to approve T-Mobile's $2.9 bn spectrum deal only with enforceable deployment requirements
  • Deal covers 800 MHz licenses from T-Mobile and Grain Management's 600 MHz licenses, with Grain seeking a 12‑year build‑out extension
  • U.S. mobile data usage reached a record 132 trillion megabytes in 2024, up 35 % from 2023, heightening spectrum demand
  • FCC lost auction authority for two years; legislation mandates Upper C‑Band auction by July 2027
+
  • FY2025 pre‑tax profit fell to €2.95 million, down from €72.5 million a year earlier
  • Result is far below the original target range of €85‑195 million
  • Company cites calmer European markets that cut trading volatility and opportunities
  • Plans to expand into U.S. physical natural‑gas markets to offset the profit decline
  • Meta launches AI Mode on Facebook, allowing plain‑language queries with synthesized answers from public posts, Groups and Reels
  • New AI‑powered editing tools let users add collage cutouts, transition effects and photo presets to Stories and profile pictures
  • AI features extend to Marketplace auto‑replies and creator assistant suggestions for posting times and audience insights
  • Meta introduces global subscription plans at $3.99 per month for Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, with more AI tiers planned
+
  • Ucore and Sumitomo signed an agreement to source rare earth feedstock for Ucore’s Louisiana strategic metals complex and downstream offtake.
  • Sumitomo will serve as the distribution partner for middle and heavy rare earth products sold to Japan and other industrial customers.
  • Ucore shares rose as much as 10% on the news, lifting its market capitalization to C$675.3 million ($483 million).
+
  • Hole DDH-LC26-010 intersected 747.5m averaging 0.69% Cu, 0.06 g/t Au and 142 ppm Mo, including 108m at 1.06% Cu
  • Yaretas Sur hole DDH-LC26-012 returned 42m grading 1.03% Cu, 0.63 g/t Au and 41 g/t Ag
  • AbraSilver shares up 5% to C$15.79, up 250% over 12 months; market cap C$2.5 bn
  • Teck has spent ~US$23 m on La Coipita, exceeding the US$20 m earn‑in threshold
  • DC Advisory's European secondaries team has been dissolved, ending its operations in the region.
  • The move reflects ongoing contraction and retrenchment in the European private equity secondary market.
  • Industry observers view the breakup as a bearish signal for secondary transaction volumes.
  • No direct impact on public market indices or listed securities is expected.
  • EA introduces EA Advertising, enabling brands to place dynamic, real-time ads directly within gameplay
  • The platform reaches over 120 million monthly players and supports more than 1 billion matches per month in EA titles
  • EA unveils an EA SPORTS Partner Program to give brands access to its sports‑gaming community and live‑service activations
  • EA was taken private in 2023 after a $55 billion acquisition by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and partners
+
  • Koné gold resource up 58% to 6.2 M oz measured & indicated, grades rise 24% to 0.8 g/t
  • Measured & indicated ounces increase by 1.42 M oz (29%); inferred ounces rise over fivefold by 1.63 M oz
  • Shares gain more than 9% to C$17.44, valuing the company at C$6.8 bn
  • First gold pour at Koné projected for late Q4 2026
  • Drilled ~330,000 m since 2024 feasibility, with ongoing 90,000 m program
+
  • Tesla submitted self‑published safety data to Swedish and Dutch regulators to seek approval for its Full Self‑Driving system.
  • Reuters investigation finds the data comparisons invalid and assumptions unrealistic, suggesting the safety advantage was overstated.
  • The alleged misrepresentation could be deemed misleading marketing, prompting heightened regulatory scrutiny.
  • Morgan Stanley identifies stocks beating S&P 500
  • Bull market may continue despite peak earnings revisions and liquidity
  • Stocks with strong fundamentals could drive market gains
+
  • CEO steps down after less than two years in the role
  • Fiserv shares have tumbled roughly 71% since the CEO took office
  • Analysts describe the firm as strategically adrift amid the decline
  • The stock continues to trade lower with no clear recovery catalyst
+
  • Q2 earnings missed analyst estimates by 12%, reporting $2.1B vs $2.4B expected
  • Downstream segment profit fell 35% due to refining margin compression
  • Company maintained full-year guidance but signaled cautious outlook on demand
+
  • Nuvei to buy Payoneer in an all-stock deal valued at $2.75 billion
  • Transaction aims to strengthen cross-border payment capabilities and global reach
  • Combined entity expected to process over $100 billion in annual payment volume
+
  • Barclays upgrades European energy services stocks to overweight amid structural demand shifts
  • Stocks selected based on exposure to offshore wind, decommissioning, and energy transition projects
  • Sector seen benefiting from EU energy security policies and decarbonization capex
+
  • Salesforce acquires Fin for $3.6 billion
  • CRM stock up 0.5%
  • Deal expected to boost Salesforce's financial services capabilities
+
  • Morgan Stanley initiates Onto Innovation (ONTO) as overweight with upside to consensus estimates
  • TD Cowen raises Micron (MU) PT to $1,500 ahead of earnings, expecting $23 EPS for MayQ
  • Citi downgrades Old Dominion (ODFL) to Sell and C.H. Robinson (CHRW) to Neutral on valuation concerns
  • Morgan Stanley upgrades Ferrari (RACE) to Overweight, PT raised to $438 from $388
  • KeyBanc upgrades Rocket Lab (RKLB) and Firefly Aerospace (FLY) to Overweight, citing decade-long rocket demand
+
  • Arafura raised A$350 million equity and A$1.01 billion debt, totaling A$1.36 billion in project financing
  • Construction to start in September; aims to produce 4,440 t/yr NdPr oxide (~4% of global supply) from 2029
  • Offtake contracts include 1,500 t/yr NdPr with Hyundai/Kia, 520 t/yr with Siemens Gamesa, and 800 t/yr with Traxys
  • Project NPV of $1.73 b post‑tax and IRR of 17.2%; 90% of cost allocated to on‑site processing plant
  • Australian Significant Project framework approved, streamlining regulatory approvals
+
  • Q1/2026 core net profit THB 115.9m, up 82.9% YoY driven by Xayaburi (+THB 190.7m) and Nam Ngum 2 plants
  • Xayaburi Hydroelectric Power Plant saw higher water inflow and lower financing costs post-loan repayments
  • Liquidity ratio 1.78x and debt-to-equity 0.47x signal strong balance sheet amid rate-cut expectations
  • Raises $21M Series A led by Dawn Capital
  • Helps businesses manage frontline workers using AI agents
  • Customers include Poke, YUM! Brands, and The Stepping Stones Group
  • Unauthorized activity on third‑party applications identified on June 8; investigation launched.
  • Threat actor demanded payment on June 9, claiming access to proprietary and patient data.
  • Incident deemed material on June 10 due to volume of potentially affected data.
  • Company says incident does not affect medical devices, manufacturing, distribution or financial results.
  • New Amex Rewards Checking customers can earn a $300 bonus by July 30, 2026 after $7,500 in qualifying direct deposits within the first 90 days.
  • The account carries no monthly fee, no minimum balance, and offers a 1.00% APY as of June 24, 2024.
  • Eligibility requires existing Amex cardholders with at least five days of account history and no prior Amex Rewards Checking ownership.
  • Bonus funds are deposited within 8‑12 weeks after meeting the deposit requirement.
  • SpaceX will release its financial results directly on its website and X platform.
  • The company will bypass traditional wire services for the announcement.
  • The approach signals a shift toward direct communication with investors and the public.
  • SpaceX remains a private company, so no immediate impact on public market prices is expected.
  • Six firms earned 5‑star ratings based on low fees, advisor credentials, and service breadth.
  • Betterment Premium requires a $100,000 minimum and charges tiered fees from 0.10% to 0.65% AUM.
  • Facet Wealth uses flat fees ranging $2,600‑$8,700 with no AUM minimum, offering membership tiers.
  • Retirable charges 1% AUM capped at $10,000 or a $500 flat fee for planning‑only services.
  • Creative Planning serves clients with at least $500,000 AUM, applying tiered fees of 0.25%‑1.20% AUM.
  • Federal Judge Rita Lin in San Francisco dismissed xAI's lawsuit against OpenAI.
  • xAI claimed OpenAI stole trade secrets tied to its Grok chatbot via former engineer Xuechen Li.
  • The court found xAI failed to prove OpenAI induced Li to disclose confidential information.
  • CEO Meredith Eades announced plan to accelerate development of BC molybdenum project
  • Project will target faster permitting and early production timelines
  • Announcement made at Mining Investment Event in Quebec City
  • Company seeks investment and partnerships to support the fast‑track effort
  • Partnership will raise Lids locations from 46 to 100 Dick's stores by late summer 2026
  • Current rollout covers 46 stores in California, Colorado, New York and Texas
  • Q1 net income rose to $319.8 million ($3.54 per share) but fell short of Wall Street forecasts
  • Legacy Foot Locker turnaround weighed on earnings, contributing to the miss
  • CEO Darren Cooke signals intent to restart the Green Bay copper project quickly
  • The project is located in Green Bay, Quebec
  • Announcement made in a sponsored video at the Mining Investment Event
+
  • Michael Lyons, former Fiserv CEO, will take over as Truist's chief executive in September.
  • The appointment follows Truist's push to improve performance amid regional banking challenges.
  • Lyons' transition aims to leverage his technology background to drive growth at the North Carolina‑based lender.
  • Pudgy Penguins will stop work on the Pudgy Party mobile game.
  • The company will shift resources to its Pudgy World project.
  • The decision follows challenges in finding a sustainable business model for the game.
+
  • Capital One (COF) purchased at $193.81, increasing trust's position to 3.25% of portfolio
  • Analysts cite 7x 2027 EPS valuation as 30-35% discount to peers, bullish on Discover integration
  • Baird estimates COF could maintain $18.70 EPS even with 30% credit loss provisions via marketing spend cuts
+
  • Valens Semiconductor filed a Form 144, indicating potential insider stock sales
  • Form 144 is a notice of proposed sale of restricted securities
  • No specific volume or timing disclosed in the filing
  • El Al becomes first major airline to adopt Starlink for in-flight internet
  • Deal includes high-speed, low-latency satellite broadband for passenger Wi-Fi
  • Starlink expands aviation market presence amid growing demand for inflight connectivity
+
  • Lindblad Expeditions stock hits all-time high at $24.30
  • Shares up 3.1% intraday to reach record level
  • Gains driven by strong travel demand and expedition sector momentum
  • KFC plans to expand boneless chicken options and improve tenders to boost juiciness and crispiness globally
  • New 'Dunked' menu and 20+ global sauces launched in UK/Ireland, rolling out to US/Australia later in 2024
  • Introduces Kwench by KFC drink line with boba, sparkling lemonades, and iced coffees in select markets
  • U.S. market share fell from 16% in 2021 to 9.4% in 2024, trailing Chick-fil-A, Popeyes, and Raising Cane's
  • Same-store sales growth of 2% reported globally, with China and Europe as primary growth drivers
+
  • Verra Mobility stock up ~5% after securing Los Angeles speed camera contract
  • Contract adds recurring revenue stream amid broader smart mobility push
  • Shares outperform peers in small-cap infrastructure/tech space
  • New fund, supported by LVMH and top athletes, commits nearly $50 million to Rhoback
  • NFL quarterback Dak Prescott and NBA guard Tyrese Haliburton are among the fund's partners
  • Investment targets Rhoback's expansion in the activewear and lifestyle segment

Thai Markets 5

+
  • Thailand's Q1 GDP grew 2.8% YoY, up from 2.5% in the prior quarter
  • Listed companies' net profit rose 25.3% YoY, prompting earnings upgrades
  • SET index reached 1,568.37, its highest in 2 years 9 months, up 5% in May and 24.5% since end‑2025
  • Average daily turnover rose 53.4% YoY to 66.5 bn baht in May; foreign investors net bought 3.37 bn baht in May, total >20 bn baht YTD
  • End‑May dividend yield hit 4.3%, above the Asian average of 2.9%
+
  • Small retailers urge government to add accounting and VAT training and longer‑term support programmes
  • Co‑payment scheme delivered only a 10% sales rise, short of the targeted 15% increase
  • High energy prices and rising rental costs are dampening consumer sentiment and hurting small shop profitability
  • Officials warn that expanding the scheme to larger firms could further disadvantage mom‑and‑pop stores
  • Indian wedding tourism to Andaman provinces generates over 8 billion baht annually.
  • New visa rules would impose a 2,000‑baht fee for Indian visitors, risking loss of up to 8 billion baht.
  • Private sector seeks at least a 30‑day visa exemption or fee waiver, with a decision hoped by July for the high season.
  • Diesel sold at 39.80 baht/L and gasohol 95 at 42.30 baht/L on June 15, barely changed from a month earlier.
  • Brent crude slipped to $90 per barrel on June 12, down from $102‑$116 in early March, yet Thai retail prices stayed flat.
  • Forward price for October diesel delivery remains at $100 per barrel, signalling sustained price pressure until October.
  • Oil Fuel Fund deficit narrowed to 58.4 billion baht by mid‑June (from 63.7 billion baht), limiting subsidy capacity.
  • Taxes and levies make up roughly 30% of retail fuel price, with refining costs covering the remaining 70%, decoupling prices from global crude moves.
  • Event in Bangkok (17–20 Jun 2026) to feature 2,000+ brands from 30 countries across 7 specialized exhibitions
  • Key themes: automation, robotics, sustainable materials, and energy-efficient manufacturing solutions
  • Notable innovations: KraussMaffei’s all-electric plastic injection machine (3,200 kN) and SODICK’s energy-saving Wire-cut EDM (up to 50% energy reduction)

Other 27

  • Reverse mortgage scams target people aged 62 or older, with 201,266 complaints and $7.7 billion in losses in 2025.
  • Common types of reverse mortgage scams include unscrupulous salespeople, foreclosure 'saviors,' and nickel-and-dimers.
  • To avoid scams, seek HUD-certified counseling, get quotes from reputable lenders, and don't give sensitive information to unsolicited callers.
  • Eight people died, including military personnel and civilian contractors.
  • The B-52 crashed shortly after takeoff during a routine test flight.
  • The accident occurred at Edwards Air Force Base, about 95 km north of Los Angeles.
  • Officials called the crash "unsurvivable" and reported a large fireball.
  • National Bureau of Investigation website defaced over the weekend
  • Marks the third major Philippine government site compromised in less than a week
  • Earlier attacks hit the Senate site on Wednesday and the House of Representatives page on Saturday, raising investor trust concerns
  • Global luxury handbag sales declined by $8 billion year‑over‑year
  • The drop signals weakening demand for designer accessories
  • Analysts warn the trend could pressure earnings of major luxury brands
  • Consumer preference is shifting toward more affordable or experiential purchases
  • Panel members discussed the importance of security, usability, and cultural representation in banknote design
  • The Bank received over 44,000 responses in a public consultation, with nature and wildlife being a popular theme
  • The panel agreed to consider conservation status and habitat diversity when selecting wildlife for the shortlist
  • UK plans to ban social media platforms for under-16s by spring 2027, stricter than Australia's model
  • Additional restrictions include blocking livestreaming, stranger chats, and default curfews for minors
  • Tech firms warn of unintended consequences, citing VPN circumvention and loss of supervised teen experiences
  • Current salary is $100,000 at age 55
  • Option A offers a $2,900 monthly pension immediately
  • Option B provides $2,200 monthly with a 3% annual increase
  • Plans to continue working until age 60 before retiring
  • Updated COVID-19 vaccines show significant protection against cardiovascular disease
  • Protection holds for those over 75 and those with underlying medical conditions
  • 2024-2025 vaccine continues to lower risk of COVID-19-associated heart attacks and strokes
  • Texas's electricity grid is cited as cleaner and more resilient than many others.
  • Cost efficiency of the Texas grid is highlighted as a model for policy reform.
  • The article suggests Democratic policymakers could adopt Texas-style energy reforms.
  • Trump will host a major rally in Washington on July 4, 2026.
  • The event aligns with the United States' 250th anniversary celebrations.
  • Announcement follows Trump's mixed martial arts fight on the White House lawn on his 80th birthday.
  • A market sample in Hong Kong tested positive for H9N2 avian influenza.
  • The case follows a two‑year‑old boy from Sha Tin who contracted the same strain after visiting the market.
  • Health officials say the risk of a widespread outbreak remains low.
  • Tire wear becomes crucial at Barcelona-Catalunya circuit
  • Undercut strategy emerges as key to success
  • Four-stint pit stops may become standard
  • Cracks in Russia’s Zvezda module (PrK) on ISS, ongoing since 2019, reportedly repaired after emergency shelter alert on June 16
  • NASA astronauts briefly took refuge in Crew Dragon spacecraft amid unspecified risk from module leaks
  • Russian cosmonauts used sealant Germetall-1 in prior attempts to address persistent structural issues
  • Home modifications for disabled individuals may be tax deductible
  • At least half of remodeling cost must be for accessibility features
  • Consult a tax professional for specific guidance
  • 20% unemployment rate among 920,000 U.S. military spouses (2024 DoD data)
  • Prados Beauty founder rejected for funding 50+ times before scaling to 600+ JCPenney stores
  • Proposed SBA legislation aims to waive loan fees up to $1M and reduce down payments by 5% for military spouse entrepreneurs
  • Average revenue for AMSE members under $10,000/year due to relocation and operational hurdles
  • Military families relocate every 2.5 years on average, complicating business continuity
  • BBA says BC mines are encountering tighter power supply availability
  • Permit approval processes are slowing, creating timeline squeezes for projects
  • The combined constraints could delay production starts and raise operating costs
  • BBA urges regulators and utilities to address infrastructure and permitting bottlenecks
  • Douglas Latchford, a British expatriate, built one of the largest Khmer antiquities collections, sourcing items from looted temples during Cambodia's civil war (1960s‑1990s)
  • He coordinated the smuggling chain, moving artifacts from sites like Angkor and Koh Ker to Bangkok, then to Western museums and auction houses
  • Latchford forged provenance documents claiming pieces left Cambodia before 1970, a practice that persisted into the 2010s
  • Bloomberg Businessweek journalist Matthew Campbell's new book examines Latchford's activities and the complicity of dealers and museums
  • FIFA's disciplinary committee found no evidence of code violations by VAR Shaun Evans.
  • The accusation stemmed from an “OK” hand gesture during Germany vs Curacao match broadcast.
  • Evans says the gesture was an involuntary twitch and not intended to convey any message.
  • Higher credit limit reduces credit utilization ratio, which can lift a credit score
  • Lower utilization may positively affect scoring models used by lenders
  • Requesting a limit increase can trigger a hard inquiry on the credit report
  • If not managed, a larger limit may encourage higher debt levels
  • Age 67 with $100,000 annual income
  • Combined retirement assets total $950,000 (plans, Roth IRAs, Treasuries)
  • Debating whether to start $30,000 Social Security benefit now or defer
  • Emam Ashour scored his first international goal in the 19th minute to give Egypt a 1-0 lead.
  • Romelu Lukaku entered in the 66th minute and forced an own goal 23 seconds later, equalising for Belgium.
  • The match ended 1-1, with Egypt on target twice and Belgium registering eight attempts.
  • The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
  • Both Iran and New Zealand scored two goals each.
  • The game was part of the World Cup 2026 tournament.
  • Earth's habitable window extended to ~1.3 billion years from current estimate due to CO2 weathering feedback
  • Silicate rock weathering will delay CO2 depletion and runaway greenhouse effect by ~300 million years
  • Sun's red giant phase remains unchanged but Earth's biosphere survives longer than previously modeled
  • Groundbreaking ceremony held on 9 June at the junction of Sheung Shing Street and Fat Kwong Street.
  • Project marks the start of a new campus aimed at becoming a hub for community health and wellness.
  • Location chosen on a slope site in Ho Man Tin to serve both the university and surrounding community.
  • 34 human fetuses were discovered buried in the garden of a former residence in Poland.
  • 57‑year‑old pathologist Magdalena H. was taken into custody and faces up to 12 years in prison.
  • Authorities suspect the fetuses were used for experiments, sparking public outcry in Catholic‑majority Poland.
  • Former spouse married 23 years may qualify for divorced spouse benefits
  • Social Security gave conflicting answers on eligibility and benefit levels
  • Recipients advised to verify records via SSA website or local office
  • Panel recommended 4 animal categories for June 2026 public consultation on new UK banknote designs
  • Shortlist divided by taxonomy to ensure varied, recognizable species symbolizing UK wildlife
  • Final decision on shortlist rests with Bank of England Governor, with consultation running June 3–July 3