Daily Global-Macro Brief LIVE

Energy/Oil 4

  • Brent crude fell below $90, trading around $88‑$89 per barrel
  • U.S. WTI crude dropped to roughly $85‑$87 per barrel
  • President Trump said a peace agreement with Iran is close, easing Middle‑East tensions
  • Fuel tax hikes affect six states, adding to energy inflation pressures
  • Traders priced in the possibility of the Strait of Hormuz reopening
  • UK to ban imports of diesel and jet fuel refined from Russian crude by Jan 1, 2027
  • Sanctions aim to close loophole allowing Russian oil products into UK market
  • Move builds on May sanctions prohibiting refined oil imports from Russian crude
  • Jamaica currently imports all its fuel, spending $1.5‑2 billion a year on energy imports.
  • Caribbean oil exploration has surged after successful discoveries in Guyana and Suriname.
  • The International Energy Agency urges an end to new oil exploration, highlighting climate risks.
  • Jamaica's potential offshore drilling could reduce import costs but faces environmental scrutiny.
  • Household solar systems see surge in interest due to rising energy bills
  • Battery installations gain popularity as prices decrease and awareness grows
  • Australia leads the way in adopting home battery technology

Macro/Economy 1

  • Borrowers can lower monthly payments by reducing pretax income through retirement contributions or health savings accounts
  • Dependent claims can reduce monthly payments by $50 per dependent
  • RAP leads to student loan forgiveness after 30 years, compared to 20-25 years on other IDR plans

Geopolitics 2

  • Russia, China and Iran are expanding a convenience-driven partnership aimed at countering Western sanctions.
  • US experts say the alliance is already delivering tangible strategic benefits, particularly for Iran's isolated regime.
  • The cooperation was highlighted at a June 10 national security briefing organized by the Independent Women's Forum.
  • UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs says reports of releasing frozen Iranian funds are "entirely false".
  • Reuters cited sources claiming the UAE agreed to unlock $10‑$20 billion, with a $3 billion tranche already delivered.
  • No Iranian attacks on UAE in the past week, while neighboring Kuwait and Bahrain have been hit.

Markets 2

  • SpaceX's market cap reached $2.1 trillion after its IPO, making it the sixth most-valuable U.S. company.
  • The company raised $75 billion, triple the size of Alibaba's 2014 IPO.
  • SpaceX's valuation is 112 times last year's revenue, despite a $4.9 billion loss.
  • SpaceX's public debut is just the beginning, with key index additions to come this summer
  • Nasdaq 100 rebalances on July 6 to reflect SpaceX's IPO shares
  • S&P 500 Index Committee delays SpaceX's inclusion, making other index events more significant

Other 3

  • Lilly’s retatrutide (triple agonist) achieved 28% avg weight loss in Phase 3, outperforming current GLP-1s
  • Novo’s Wegovy oral pill prescriptions hit 3M in 5 months, signaling shift toward oral GLP-1 options
  • Pfizer and Amgen testing monthly/quarterly injectables to improve convenience vs. weekly GLP-1s
  • Pipeline includes amylin-based drugs (e.g., Zealand’s petrelintide) targeting fewer side effects than GLP-1s
  • WHO estimates 890M obese globally; pricing and insurance coverage remain key market uncertainties
  • Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe's new robotics company, Mind Robotics, aims to create humanoid robots for industrial use.
  • The company has raised over $1 billion and expects to reveal its first product within a year.
  • Rivian will be a large minority shareholder and launch customer for Mind Robotics.
  • Anthropic halted all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for foreign nationals after receiving a U.S. export control directive at 5:21 p.m. ET.
  • The shutdown affects only the two models; Anthropic's other AI models remain available to customers.
  • The directive cites national security concerns and follows a prior DoD label of Anthropic as a supply‑chain risk.
  • Anthropic had previously limited the models to a select group of companies under its Project Glasswing initiative.