◆ Daily Global-Macro Brief LIVE
TODAY IN 30 SECONDS
  1. Euro Zone Inflation Hits 3.2% in May
  2. US job openings rise to 7.6 million in April, highest in nearly two years
  3. ECB VP Boris Vujčić on Eurozone Convergence
  4. June projections indicate shifts in current account balances
  5. US regulators remove references to reputation risk in supervisory guidance

Markets 1

  • Minutes released covering discussions held on May 21-22, 2026
  • Meeting focused on current bond market conditions and outlook
  • No specific yield or policy figures disclosed in the summary

Macro/Economy 3

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  • Euro zone inflation rose to 3.2% in May, driven by 10.9% energy price growth
  • Services inflation rose to 3.5% and food prices cooled to 2% in May
  • Markets now price in a 94% chance of ECB hiking interest rate by 25bps next week
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  • Job openings surged to 7.6 million in April, up 731k from March and the highest since May 2024
  • Hiring fell to 5.12 million, a decline of 419k, while layoffs and quits also decreased
  • Professional and business services accounted for nearly all openings, up 668k
  • Global current account surplus expected to narrow modestly in June
  • Improving trade balances offset weaker services earnings in most economies
  • Emerging market deficits projected to rise as import costs increase

Central Banks 6

  • Eurozone has grown to 21 countries, with 350 million Europeans using the euro
  • Convergence criteria ensure stability and durability of the EMU
  • Participation in ERM II is a key step in adopting the euro
  • Federal Reserve, FDIC, and OCC jointly removed 'reputation risk' from interagency documents
  • Action aims to prevent misuse of risk assessments for political/religious or lawful business reasons
  • Updates focus on ensuring supervisory decisions are based on material financial risks only
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  • Euro's share in global currency use rose to ~20% in 2025, up from prior years
  • Euro-denominated international debt issuance surged ~30% YoY, including record green/sustainable bonds
  • Geopolitical fragmentation and alternative payment systems pose challenges to euro's dominance
  • ECB highlights need for deeper capital markets and EU public debt integration to bolster euro's global role
  • Euro area must reinforce economic resilience, legal integrity, and geopolitical credibility for long-term appeal
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  • BOJ will accept corporate bonds and equities as collateral for its liquidity operations starting end‑May
  • The new list adds roughly ¥10 trillion of eligible assets, broadening funding sources for banks
  • The change supports the BOJ's yield‑curve control framework and aims to improve market functioning
  • BOJ will introduce a wage survey component to the quarterly Tankan questionnaire.
  • Inventory questions on finished goods and wholesalers will be removed.
  • The revised Tankan is slated for rollout in the first half of 2027 after a public consultation that received about 30 comments.
  • BoJ report lists holdings of coins, real estate investment corporation bonds and equity, and index‑linked ETF interests.
  • Foreign currency assets include deposits at foreign central banks, securities, mutual funds and USD‑linked loan programmes.
  • Deposits held by agents for treasury operations and Japanese government securities are disclosed as reserved assets.
  • Loans under special U.S. dollar lending rules are classified separately from other loan assets.

Energy/Oil 1

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  • California natural gas spot prices for Jan‑May 2026 fell to the lowest monthly averages since 2024.
  • Record lows recorded at PG&E Citygate (Northern CA) and SoCal Border Average; SoCal Citygate prices stayed above some 2024 levels but near record lows.
  • Drop driven by above‑average inventories and reduced in‑state demand for gas‑fired electricity.

Other 1

  • Public consultation launched to select UK wildlife for £5, £10, £20, and £50 notes
  • Shortlist includes 3 categories of native species; final decision by BoE Governor Andrew Bailey by end-2026
  • New series to feature nature theme with enhanced anti-counterfeiting security features