◆ Daily Global-Macro Brief LIVE
TODAY IN 30 SECONDS
  1. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: April 2026 shows mixed inflation and income trends
  2. ECB's Schnabel compares stablecoins to money market funds, warns of financial stability risks
  3. Bank of Japan releases May monetary base data
  4. May Update on Current Account Balances and Market Operations
  5. Powell emphasizes Fed independence and role in past crises at JFK award ceremony

Macro/Economy 2

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  • BOJ published May monetary base figures in a PDF (66KB) and XLSX (71KB) on June 2, 2026
  • Release includes long‑term time‑series data for the monetary base
  • No immediate policy change indicated; data serves as a statistical update
  • Current account balance moved to a modest surplus in May, reflecting an improved trade balance
  • Export growth and reduced imports were the main drivers of the balance shift
  • Central bank market operations stayed steady, with open market purchases unchanged
  • Analysts project the surplus to persist if commodity prices remain stable

Central Banks 3

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  • Median perceived inflation over past 12 months rose to 4.0% from 3.5% in March
  • Nominal income growth expectations for next 12 months fell to 0.8% from 1.2%
  • Economic growth expectations for next 12 months worsened to -2.2% from -2.1%
  • Credit access tightened further, with net tightening at highest since Feb 2024
  • ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel draws parallels between stablecoins and 1970s money market funds, highlighting risks to financial stability and monetary policy transmission
  • Stablecoins and money market funds both offer stable-value, liquid investments outside traditional banking, potentially disintermediating banks and increasing short-term funding volatility
  • Schnabel argues central banks must adapt regulation, monetary policy, and payment infrastructure to address risks from tokenization and private monetary innovations
  • Fed deployed emergency liquidity tools in two major crises: the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Federal Reserve governors and Reserve Bank presidents have legal protection against removal, insulating policy from political pressure
  • Fed's dual mandate is to promote maximum employment and stable prices, with credibility seen as essential for economic stability