May 8, 20262 stories · refreshed 2026-06-16 07:51 UTC– 2
Central Banks 2
Upside risks to UK inflation and downside risks to growth have increased due to the Middle East conflict.
Market participants expect near-term risks to skew towards Bank Rate moving higher, with varying views on the extent of rate rises.
Risk asset pricing has recovered to pre-conflict levels, while global rates markets and central-bank policy path pricing remain sensitive to energy price developments.